AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

New research – March 2014

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on April 7, 2014

Some selected papers as included in my New research stream in Twitter and in Facebook during March 2014. There are 162 papers, which makes it about 5.2 papers per day.

CLIMATE SCIENCE

Climate trends in the Arctic as observed from space http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.277/abstract

Intensified warming of the Arctic: Causes and impacts on middle latitudes http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818114000575

Comparison of land skin temperature from a land model, remote sensing, and in-situ measurement http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021026/abstract

Trends in air temperature in the United Kingdom using gridded data series from 1910 to 2011 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3944/abstract

Changes in the frequency of extreme temperature records for Toronto, Ontario, Canada http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1131-1

Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059345/abstract

Modeling sea surface temperatures of the North Atlantic Ocean http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-013-0930-0

Evidence for two abrupt warming events of SST in the last century http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-013-0935-8

Sea surface temperature and salinity seasonal changes in the western Solomon and Bismarck Seas http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009733/abstract

A statistical analysis of sea temperature data http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1119-x

Lake surface temperatures in a changing climate http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1087-2

Trends in the daily and extreme temperatures in the Qiantang River basin, China http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3962/abstract

Variability of temperature extremes in the Yellow River basin during 1961–2011 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618214000974

Trends in Extreme United States Temperatures http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00283.1

Influence of solar variability on the infrared radiative cooling of the thermosphere from 2002 to 2014 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059556/abstract

The relative importance of climate change and shrub encroachment on nocturnal warming in the southwestern United States http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3992/abstract

Urban surface temperature behaviour and heat island effect in a tropical planned city http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1122-2

Urbanization effect on long-term trends of extreme temperatures at Shijiazhuang, North China http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1127-x

Trajectory sensitivity of the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059141/abstract

Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/031003

Historical and future learning about climate Sensitivity http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059484/abstract

Observational estimate of climate sensitivity from changes in the rate of ocean heat uptake http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1770-4

Solar Absorption over Europe from collocated surface and satellite observations http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021421/abstract

Aerosol effects on convective clouds in Nordic background air (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/2203/2014/acp-14-2203-2014.html

An AeroCom assessment of black carbon in Arctic snow and sea ice (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/2399/2014/acp-14-2399-2014.html

Response of surface air temperature to small-scale land clearing across latitudes (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034002

Where does the optically detectable aerosol in the European Arctic come from? (open access) http://www.tellusb.net/index.php/tellusb/article/view/21450

Interannual Variability of The Earth’s Spectral Solar Reflectance From Measurements And Simulations http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021056/abstract

Forcings and feedbacks in the GeoMIP ensemble for a reduction in solar irradiance and increase in CO2 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021110/abstract

Influence of cloud phase composition on climate feedbacks http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020582/abstract

Time-scale and state dependence of the carbon-cycle feedback to climate http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2102-z

The viscosity effect on marine particle flux – a climate relevant negative feedback mechanism http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GB004728/abstract

The European climate under a 2 °C global warming (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034006

Internal variability of Earth’s energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034016

Stable isotopic compositions of precipitation in China (open access) http://www.tellusb.net/index.php/tellusb/article/view/22567

How Will Orographic Precipitation Respond to Surface Warming? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059095/abstract

Precipitation response to La Niña and global warming in the Indo-Pacific http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2105-9

Observed magnified runoff response to rainfall intensification under global warming (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034008

The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1084-5

Projections of climate change impacts on floods and droughts in Germany http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-014-0606-z

Iberian extreme precipitation 1855/1856: an analysis from early instrumental observations and documentary sources http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3973/abstract

Global warming and 21st century drying http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2075-y

Robust spring drying in the Southwestern US and seasonal migration of wet/dry patterns in a warmer climate http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059562/abstract

Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059234/abstract

At what time of day do daily extreme near-surface wind speeds occur? http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00286.1

Daily tornado frequency distributions in the United States (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/2/024018

Storminess over the North Atlantic and Northwestern Europe http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2364/abstract

Sharp rise in hurricane and cyclone count during the last century http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1136-9

A Reanalysis of the 1931 to 1943 Atlantic Hurricane Database http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00503.1

Toward a record of Central Pacific El Niño events since 1880 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1114-2

A Southern Hemisphere Booster of Super El Niño http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059370/abstract

ENSO Asymmetry in CMIP5 Models http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00454.1

The influence of different El Niño types on global average temperature http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059520/abstract

On Forced Temperature Changes, Internal Variability and the AMO http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059233/abstract

The MJO and global warming: a study in CCSM4 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1846-1

Eastward shift of Walker Circulation in response to global warming and its relationship to ENSO http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2091-y

Further observational evidence of Hadley cell widening in the Southern Hemisphere http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059426/abstract

Can sparse proxy data constrain the strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation? (open access) http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/7/419/2014/gmd-7-419-2014.html

The Atlantic Overturning Circulation: More evidence of variability and links to climate (open access) http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00234.1

Wind-forced interannual variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009407/abstract

Impact of land–sea thermal contrast on interdecadal variation in circulation and blocking (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2103-y

HFC-43-10mee atmospheric abundances and global emission estimates http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059143/abstract

Newly detected ozone-depleting substances in the atmosphere http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2109.html

Uncertainty analysis of projections of ozone-depleting substances (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/2757/2014/acp-14-2757-2014.html

Influence of anthropogenic aerosols and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on tropical belt width http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2091.html

Observed Changes in False Springs over the Contiguous United States http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059266/abstract

On the counter-radiation of the atmosphere (open access, Ångström, 1916, now available in English) http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/schweiz/mz/2013/00000022/00000006/art00012

Atmospheric thermal radiation – from historical measurements to investigations of the Earth’s greenhouse effect http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/schweiz/mz/2013/00000022/00000006/art00013

Theoretical Aspects of Variability and Predictability in Weather and Climate Systems (open access) http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00009.1

High predictability of the winter Euro–Atlantic climate from cryospheric variability http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2118.html

Climate variability and vulnerability to climate change: a review http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12581/abstract

Estimation of the mean depth of boreal lakes for use in numerical weather prediction and climate modelling (open access) http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/21295

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS

Weighing the importance of surface forcing on sea ice—A September 2007 modeling study http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2353/abstract

Glacier retreat and lakes in Cordillera Vilcanota, northern central Andes, Peru (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/8/359/2014/tc-8-359-2014.html

Sea ice mass balance observations from the North Pole Environmental Observatory http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059356/abstract

Significant groundwater contribution to Antarctic ice streams hydrologic budget http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059250/abstract

Reconstructing lake ice cover in subarctic lakes using a diatom-based inference model http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059474/abstract

Poleward ocean heat transports, sea ice processes and Arctic sea ice variability http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009435/abstract

Progressive increase in number and volume of ice-marginal lakes on the western margin of the Greenland Ice Sheet http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092181811400054X

Use of scenarios and strategic planning to explore an uncertain future in Greenland http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-014-0593-0

Variability and Trends in Anticyclonic Circulation over the Greenland Ice Sheet, 1948-2013 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059255/abstract

Ensemble of sea ice initial conditions for interannual climate predictions http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2095-7

Decadal trends in the Antarctic sea ice extent ultimately controlled by ice–ocean feedback (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/8/453/2014/tc-8-453-2014.html

Recent Antarctic sea ice trends in the context of Southern Ocean surface climate variations since 1950 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059239/abstract

Disappearing semi-permanent snow in the High Arctic and its consequences http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/jog/2014/00000060/00000219/art00018

Recent retreat of major outlet glaciers on Novaya Zemlya, Russian Arctic, influenced by fjord geometry and sea-ice conditions http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/jog/2014/00000060/00000219/art00015

Modelling of Kealey Ice Rise, Antarctica, reveals stable ice-flow conditions in East Ellsworth Land over millennia http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/jog/2014/00000060/00000219/art00013

Geometric and oceanographic controls on melting beneath Pine Island Glacier http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009513/abstract

Effects of sea surface warming on marine plankton http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12265/abstract

Elevated carbon dioxide and ozone alter productivity and ecosystem carbon content in northern temperate forests http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12564/abstract

Biomass changes and trophic amplification of plankton in a warmer ocean http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12562/abstract

A few extreme events dominate global interannual variability in gross primary production (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/035001

Predicted responses of arctic and alpine ecosystems to altered seasonality under climate change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12568/abstract

Dieback of the boreal forest induced by heat and drought stress may proceed more rapidly than anticipated http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059450/abstract

Thermally tolerant corals have limited capacity to acclimatize to future warming http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12571/abstract

Illuminating geographical patterns in species’ range shifts http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12570/abstract

Effect of climate change on soil organic carbon in Inner Mongolia http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3979/abstract

Interannual variations and trends in global land surface phenology http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-014-0802-z

The effects of coral bleaching on settlement preferences and growth of juvenile butterflyfishes http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113614000452

Climate-driven spatial mismatches between British orchards and their pollinators: increased risks of pollination deficits http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12577/abstract

The relative importance of climate and vegetation properties on patterns of North American breeding bird species richness (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034013

Changes in first flowering dates and flowering duration of 232 plant species on the island of Guernsey http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12579/abstract

Impact of sea-Level rise on coastal wetlands http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-014-0500-4

Widespread rapid reductions in body size of adult salamanders in response to climate change (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12550/abstract

Contemporary evolution of an invasive grass in response to elevated atmospheric CO2 at a Mojave Desert FACE site (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12274/abstract

Response of benthic foraminifera to ocean acidification in their natural sediment environment: a long-term culturing experiment (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/1581/2014/bg-11-1581-2014.html

Climate change may have little effect on global risk of potato late blight http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12587/abstract

The Arctic freshwater cycle during a naturally and an anthropogenically induced warm climate http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1849-y

Calcium carbonate dissolution in the upper 1000 m of the eastern North Atlantic http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GB004619/abstract

Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1080-9

Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract

Managing shoreline retreat: a US perspective http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1106-3

The impact of heat waves on children’s health: a systematic review http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-013-0655-x

Loss of cultural world heritage and currently inhabited places to sea-level rise (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034001

Effect of Asian dust storms on mortality in three Asian cities http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231014001447

Synoptic warming trends across the US Midwest and implications to human health http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3964/abstract

Water, Drought, Climate Change, and Conflict in Syria http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-13-00059.1

Ozone weekend effects in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area, China (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/2419/2014/acp-14-2419-2014.html

Effect of climate change on corrosion rates of structures in Australia http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1099-y

Probabilistic spatial risk assessment of heat impacts and adaptations for London http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1105-4

Global crop yield response to extreme heat stress under multiple climate change futures (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034011

Climate change in Switzerland: a review of physical, institutional, and political aspects http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.280/abstract

Two methods to assess vulnerability to climate change in the Mexican agricultural sector http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-012-9442-y

CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION

Organic carbon stocks and sequestration rates of forest soils in Germany http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12558/abstract

Do grasslands act as a perpetual sink for carbon? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12561/abstract

Temperature and peat type control CO2 and CH4 production in Alaskan permafrost peats http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12572/abstract

North American terrestrial CO2 uptake largely offset by CH4 and N2O emissions (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1072-9

Increasing carbon inventory of the intermediate layers of the Arctic Ocean http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009514/abstract

How deep is deep enough? Ocean iron fertilization and carbon sequestration in the Southern Ocean http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058799/abstract

Implications for C mitigation policy under the threats of a substantial permafrost methane release http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-012-9444-9

Global annual methane emission rate derived from its current atmospheric mixing ratio and estimated lifetime (open access) http://www.ann-geophys.net/32/277/2014/angeo-32-277-2014.html

Peak energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030142151400024X

Reducing greenhouse gas emissions through strategic management of highway pavement roughness (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034007

Explosive growth in African combustion emissions from 2005 to 2030 (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/035003

Slower ozone production in Houston, Texas following emission reductions (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/2777/2014/acp-14-2777-2014.html

The importance of reduced meat and dairy consumption for meeting stringent climate change targets (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1104-5

Roles of transport and chemistry processes in global ozone change on interannual and multi-decadal time scales http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020838/abstract

Post-Fukushima Japan: The continuing nuclear controversy http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421514000196

The energy and CO2 emissions impact of renewable energy development in China http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421513012792

Effects of offshore wind farms on marine wildlife—a generalized impact assessment (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034012

Sustainability of forest bioenergy in Europe: land-use-related carbon dioxide emissions of forest harvest residues http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcbb.12179/abstract

Energy market impacts of nuclear power phase-out policies http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-014-9558-3

The climatic effects of modifying cirrus clouds in a climate engineering framework http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021063/abstract

Do individuals care about fairness in burden sharing for climate change mitigation? http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1091-6

Is there a place for culture in life cycle sustainability assessment? http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-014-0722-5

Public microblogging on climate change: One year of Twitter worldwide http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378014000375

Climate change mitigation policies and poverty http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.281/abstract

Funding public adaptation to climate-related disasters. Estimates for a global fund http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378014000259

Coral reef sustainability through adaptation: glimmer of hope or persistent mirage? http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877343514000062

Biochar as a global change adaptation: predicting biochar impacts on crop productivity and soil quality http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-014-9554-7

What drives national adaptation? A global assessment (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1078-3

PALAEOCLIMATE

Weakening of the East Asian Summer Monsoon at 1000-1100 AD within the Medieval Climate Anomaly http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021199/abstract

Solar forcing of North Atlantic surface temperature and salinity over the past millennium http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2094.html

Direct evidence of central European forest refugia during the last glacial period http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033589414000180

Positive vegetation–climate feedback during early Eocene (open access) http://www.clim-past.net/10/419/2014/cp-10-419-2014.html

Selective extinction of Triassic marine reptiles during long-term sea-level changes illuminated by seawater strontium isotopes http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018212004336

Climate change at the end of the Old Kingdom in Egypt around 4200 BP http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618213004345

Signals of Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age from southwestern Madhya Pradesh (India) http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618213003947

An assessment of growth ring identification in subtropical forests from northwestern Argentina http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786514000046

Linking two centuries of tree growth and glacier dynamics with climate changes in Kamchatka http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1093-4

Different growth sensitivity to climate of the conifer Juniperus thurifera on both sides of the Mediterranean Sea http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-014-0811-y

OTHERS

Use of coal in the Bronze Age in China http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2014/03/03/0959683614523155.abstract

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