AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

New research, December 11, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on December 11, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Predicted slow-down in the rate of Atlantic sea ice loss
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065364/abstract

A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2595.html

Albedo feedback enhanced by smoother Arctic sea ice
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066712/abstract

A growing importance of large fires in conterminous United States during 1984 – 2012
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG002965/abstract

Antarctic Ice Shelf Thickness from Cryosat-2 Radar Altimetry (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066515/abstract

Methane emissions from pan-Arctic lakes during the 21st century: An analysis with process-based models of lake evolution and biogeochemistry
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003184/abstract

On the vertical phytoplankton response to an ice free Arctic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011180/abstract

Temperature and precipitation extremes in the United States: Quantifying the responses to anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0478.1

Robust strengthening and westward shift of the tropical Pacific Walker circulation during 1979~2012: a comparison of 7 sets of reanalysis data and 26 AMIP5 models
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0398.1

Climate mechanism for stronger typhoons in a warmer world
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0585.1

The effect of downwelling longwave and shortwave radiation on Arctic summer sea ice
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0238.1

Unforced surface air temperature variability and its contrasting relationship with the anomalous TOA energy flux at local and global spatial scales
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0384.1

Variability in severe coastal flooding in south-eastern Australia since the mid-19th century, associated storms and death tolls
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0146.1

Data-based estimates of the ocean carbon sink variability – first results of the Surface Ocean pCO2 Mapping intercomparison (SOCOM) (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/7251/2015/bg-12-7251-2015.html

Using satellite data to improve the leaf phenology of a global terrestrial biosphere model (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/7185/2015/bg-12-7185-2015.html

Global temperature response to the major volcanic eruptions in multiple reanalysis data sets (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13507/2015/acp-15-13507-2015.html

Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1621/2015/cp-11-1621-2015.html

Trends and climatic sensitivities of vegetation phenology in semiarid and arid ecosystems in the US Great Basin during 1982–2011 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/6985/2015/bg-12-6985-2015.html

Decadal trends in global CO emissions as seen by MOPITT (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13433/2015/acp-15-13433-2015.html

Assessing the current and future urban heat island of Brussels
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212095515300377

Vulnerability of mountain glaciers in China to climate change (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927815000842

Was atmospheric CO2 capped at 1000 ppm over the past 300 million years?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018215005799

Influence of altered low cloud parameterizations for seasonal variation of Arctic cloud amount on climate feedbacks
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2926-1

Contrasting evolution patterns between glacier-fed and non-glacier-fed lakes in the Tanggula Mountains and climate cause analysis
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1578-9

Extreme hot summers in China in the CMIP5 climate models
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1576-y

Ecological and methodological drivers of species’ distribution and phenology responses to climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13184/abstract

Caribbean mesophotic coral ecosystems are unlikely climate change refugia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13175/abstract

Impact of cyclonic and anticyclonic activity on Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance variation during 1980–2013
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4565/abstract

Greenhouse gas (CO2, CH4, N2O) emissions from soils following afforestation in central China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015305616

More frequent moments in the climate change debate as emissions continue (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/121001/meta

Warm summer nights and the growth decline of shore pine in Southeast Alaska (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124007/meta

Total land water storage change over 2003–2013 estimated from a global mass budget approach (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124010/meta

Dynamic equity carbon permit allocation scheme to limit global warming to two degrees
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-015-9690-8

Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: Can emissions peak before 2030?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515302081

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