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Observations of anthropogenic global warming

Archive for March, 2016

New research, March 29, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on March 29, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Reviews and Syntheses: Ocean acidification and its potential impacts on marine ecosystems (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1767/2016/

Characterizing Recent Trends in U.S. Heavy Precipitation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0441.1

The long-term trend in the diurnal temperature range over Asia and its natural and anthropogenic causes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024549/abstract

Changing Arctic snow cover: A review of recent developments and assessment of future needs for observations, modelling, and impacts (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-016-0770-0

Eurasian snow cover variability in relation to warming trend and Arctic Oscillation
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3089-4

Spatiotemporal analysis of snow cover variations at mt. Kilimanjaro using multi-temporal Landsat images during 27 years
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136468261630089X

The snow and the willows: Earlier spring snowmelt reduces performance in the low-lying alpine shrub Salix herbacea
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12579/abstract

The expansion of Central and Northern European Neolithic populations was associated with a multi-century warm winter and wetter climate
http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2016/03/24/0959683616638435.abstract

Benefits of CMIP5 multimodel ensemble in reconstructing historical ocean subsurface temperature variations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0730.1

Will a warmer world mean a wetter or drier Australian monsoon?
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0695.1

The vertical structure of tropospheric water vapor: comparing radiative and ocean-driven climate changes
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0482.1

A decade of space borne observations of the Arctic atmosphere: novel insights from NASA’s Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00202.1

Trends of mean and extreme temperature indices since 1874 at low-elevation sites in the southern Alps
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024582/abstract

The immediate and prolonged effects of climate extremes on soil respiration in a mesic grassland
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003256/abstract

Contrasting effects of temperature and precipitation change on amphibian phenology, abundance and performance
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-016-3610-9

Optimization of a biochemical model with eddy covariance measurements in black spruce forests of Alaska for estimating CO2 fertilization effects
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316301897

Climatic events inducing die-off in Mediterranean shrublands: are species’ responses related to their functional traits?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-016-3550-4

Assessing Surface Solar Radiation Fluxes in the CMIP Ensembles
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00503.1

Attenuation coefficient of usable solar radiation of the global oceans
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011528/abstract

Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/749/2016/

Reconstructing global overturning from meridional density gradients
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2719-6

Thermal stratification in simulations of warm climates: A climatology using saturation potential vorticity
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0785.1

Simulating the role of surface forcing on observed multidecadal upper ocean salinity changes
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0519.1

Statistical downscaling of North Atlantic tropical cyclone frequency and the amplified role of the Caribbean low level jet in a warmer climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024342/abstract

Impacts of vertical structure of convection in global warming: the role of shallow convection
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0563.1

Temperature trends and variability in the Greater Horn of Africa: interactions with precipitation
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3088-5

Land-use change outweighs projected effects of changing rainfall on tree cover in sub-Saharan Africa Land-use vs. rainfall effects on tree cover
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13299/abstract

US exposure to multiple landscape stressors and climate change
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0934-2

Quality Control Program for Real-Time Hourly Temperature Observation in Taiwan
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-15-0005.1

Depictions of sustainability in children’s books
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9778-7

The energy policy relevance of the 2014 IPCC Working Group III report on the macro-economics of mitigating climate change
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516301288

Renewable energy policies and competition for biomass: Implications for land use, food prices, and processing industry
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516300623

Does moving towards renewable energy causes water and land inefficiency? An empirical investigation
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516301264

Northern Mediterranean climate since the Middle Pleistocene: a 637 ka stable isotope record from Lake Ohrid (Albania/Macedonia) (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1801/2016/

Quantitative analysis of ring growth in spruce roots and its application towards a more precise dating
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786516300297

Towards improving the Central Asian dendrochronological network—new data from Tajikistan, Pamir-Alay
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786516300261

Tailored climate indices for climate-proofing operational forestry applications in Sweden and Finland
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4691/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, March 23, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on March 23, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Anthropogenic carbon release rate unprecedented during the past 66 million years
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2681.html

Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 °C global warming could be dangerous (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3761/2016/

Deciphering ocean carbon in a changing world
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/12/3143.short

Decrease in winter respiration explains 25% of the annual northern forest carbon sink enhancement over the last 30 years
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12441/abstract

Methane oxidation, biogenic carbon, and the IPCC’s emission metrics. Proposal for a consistent greenhouse-gas accounting
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1091-z

Historical reconstruction of ocean acidification in the Australian region (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1753/2016/

Skeletal mineralogy of coral recruits under high temperature and pCO2 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1717/2016/

Contrasting changes in the abundance and diversity of North American bird assemblages from 1971 to 2010
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13292/abstract

Effects of extreme thermal conditions on plasticity in breeding phenology and double-broodedness of Great Tits and Blue Tits in central Poland in 2013 and 2014 (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1152-9

Demographic responses to weather fluctuations are context dependent in a long-lived amphibian
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13290/abstract

Understanding a migratory species in a changing world: climatic effects and demographic declines in the western monarch revealed by four decades of intensive monitoring
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-016-3600-y

The stratospheric pathway for Arctic impacts on mid-latitude climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068330/abstract

Climatic anomalous patterns associated with the Arctic and Polar cell strength variations
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3067-x

Glacier change over the last century, Caucasus Mountains, Georgia, observed from old topographical maps, Landsat and ASTER satellite imagery (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/713/2016/

Analysis of the mass balance time series of glaciers in the Italian Alps (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/695/2016/

Seasonal atmospheric responses to reduced Arctic sea ice in an ensemble of coupled model simulations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0586.1

Recent changes in sea ice area flux through the Beaufort Sea during the summer
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011464/abstract

A high-resolution salinity time series 1993–2012 in the North Atlantic from Argo and altimeter data
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011439/abstract

Intensity–area–duration analysis of droughts in China 1960–2013
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3066-y

On the robustness of near term climate predictability regarding initial state uncertainties
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3078-7

Effect of climate change on surface ozone over North America, Europe, and East Asia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068060/abstract

Toward consistency between trends in bottom-up CO2 emissions and top-down atmospheric measurements in the Los Angeles megacity (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3843/2016/

Accelerated greenhouse gases versus slow insolation forcing induced climate changes in southern South America since the Mid-Holocene
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3081-z

Phase relationships between orbital forcing and the composition of air trapped in Antarctic ice cores (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/729/2016/

Unsaturated zone hydrostratigraphies: A novel archive of past climates in dryland continental regions
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825216300526

Coral-reef records of Quaternary changes in climate and sea-level
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825216300472

Here and now, there and then: How “departure dates” influence climate change engagement
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300243

Ethiopian agriculture has greater potential for carbon sequestration than previously estimated
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13288/abstract

The importance of contrail ice formation for mitigating the climate impact of aviation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024696/abstract

How might adaptation to climate change by smallholder farming communities contribute to climate change mitigation outcomes? A case study from Timor-Leste, Southeast Asia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11625-016-0361-9

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New research, March 18, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on March 18, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Disentangling greenhouse warming and aerosol cooling to reveal Earth’s climate sensitivity
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2670.html

Predictability of the Recent Slowdown and Subsequent Recovery of Large-Scale Surface Warming using Statistical Methods
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068159/abstract

Amplification of Arctic warming by past air pollution reductions in Europe
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2673.html

Pan-Arctic ice-wedge degradation in warming permafrost and its influence on tundra hydrology
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2674.html

Changing climate and glacio-hydrology in Indian Himalayan Region: a review
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.393/abstract

Impacts of warm water on Antarctic ice shelf stability through basal channel formation
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2675.html

Modelled glacier dynamics over the last quarter of a century at Jakobshavn Isbræ (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/597/2016/

Numerical simulations of the Cordilleran ice sheet through the last glacial cycle (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/639/2016/

Thinning of the Monte Perdido Glacier in the Spanish Pyrenees since 1981 (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/681/2016/

Sea-ice melt onset associated with lead opening during the spring/summer transition near the North Pole
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011588/abstract

Anthropogenic climate change drives shift and shuffle in North Atlantic phytoplankton communities
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/11/2964.short

Temperature influence on phytoplankton community growth rates
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005272/abstract

Climate-driven shifts in continental net primary production implicated as a driver of a recent abrupt increase in the land carbon sink (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1597/2016/

Constraining the aerosol influence on cloud fraction
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023744/abstract

A U.S. based analysis of the ability of the clausius-clapeyron relationship to explain changes in extreme rainfall with changing temperature
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024288/abstract

The Impact of Groundwater Depletion on Spatial Variations in Sea Level Change During the Past Century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068118/abstract

Satellite-based global volcanic SO2 emissions and sulfate direct radiative forcing during 2005-2012
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023134/abstract

Evaluation of observed and modelled aerosol lifetimes using radioactive tracers of opportunity and an ensemble of 19 global models (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3525/2016/

Daily personal exposure to black carbon: A pilot study
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231016301935

Paleolimnological records of regime shifts in lakes in response to climate change and anthropogenic activities (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10933-016-9884-4

Impact of ocean acidification on phytoplankton assemblage, growth, and DMS production following Fe-dust additions in the NE Pacific high-nutrient, low-chlorophyll waters (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1677/2016/

Optimising reef-scale CO2 removal by seaweed to buffer ocean acidification (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034023/meta

The role of climate change in the widespread mortality of Holm oak in open woodlands of Southwestern Spain
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786516300236

Quantitative analysis of oyster larval proteome provides new insights into the effects of multiple climate change stressors
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13249/abstract

Modelling marine community responses to climate-driven species redistribution to guide monitoring and adaptive ecosystem-based management
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13285/abstract

Estimating indices of range shifts in birds using dynamic models when detection is imperfect
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13283/abstract

Projected impacts of 21st century climate change on diapause in Calanus finmarchicus
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13282/abstract

Potential change in forest types and stand heights in central Siberia in a warming climate (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035016/meta

Functional diversity enhances silver fir growth resilience to an extreme drought
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12575/abstract

Where, why and how? Explaining the low temperature range limits of temperate tree species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12574/abstract

Climate drivers of seed production in Picea engelmannii and response to warming temperatures in the southern Rocky Mountains
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12572/abstract

Impacts of CO2 leakage on plants and microorganisms: A review of results from CO2 release experiments and storage sites
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ghg.1593/abstract

Climate change communication: what can we learn from communication theory?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.392/abstract

2 °C and SDGs: united they stand, divided they fall? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034022/meta

Carbon tax, emission trading, or the mixed policy: which is the most effective strategy for climate change mitigation in China?
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-016-9710-3

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, March 14, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on March 14, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Robust cloud feedback over tropical land in a warming climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024525/abstract

Cloud–radiation feedback as a leading source of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 models
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0796.1

Water vapor changes under global warming and the linkage to present-day interannual variabilities in CMIP5 models
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3035-5

Long-term trends of the Polar and Arctic cells influence the Arctic climate since 1989
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024252/abstract

Nonlinearities in patterns of long term ocean warming
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068041/abstract

How well would modern-day oceanic property distributions be known with paleoceanographic-like observations?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002917/abstract

The sensitivity of the hydrological cycle to internal climate variability versus anthropogenic climate change
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0408.1

Small global-mean cooling due to volcanic radiative forcing
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3055-1

The 21st century population-energy-climate nexus
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516300830

Interpersonal communication about climate change: how messages change when communicated through simulated online social networks
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1643-z

Ice mass loss in Greenland, the Gulf of Alaska, and the Canadian Archipelago: Seasonal cycles and decadal trends
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL067759/abstract

Fluvial supraglacial landscape evolution on the Greenland Ice Sheet
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL067697/abstract

Glacier variations in the Northern Caucasus compared to climatic reconstructions over the past millennium
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301089

Reanalysis of long-term series of glaciological and geodetic mass balance for 10 Norwegian glaciers (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/535/2016/

Importance of combined winter and summer Arctic Oscillation (AO) on September sea ice extent (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034019/meta

Detection of melt onset over the northern Canadian Arctic Archipelago sea ice from RADARSAT, 1997–2014
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716300967

Monitoring ice break-up on the Mackenzie River using MODIS data (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/569/2016/

An assessment of the possible impacts of climate change on snow and peak river flows across Britain
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1637-x

Suppression of AMOC variability at increased CO2
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0533.1

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0508.1

The Roles of Radiative Forcing, Sea Surface Temperatures, and Atmospheric and Land Initial Conditions in U.S. Summer Warming Episodes
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0471.1

Increasing influence of air temperature on upper Colorado River streamflow
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067613/abstract

Atmospheric methane evolution the last 40 years (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3099/2016/

Contribution of oil and natural gas production to renewed increase in atmospheric methane (2007–2014): top–down estimate from ethane and methane column observations (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3227/2016/

Attribution of changes in global wetland methane emissions from pre-industrial to present using CLM4.5-BGC (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034020/meta

Climate change and N2O emissions from South West England grasslands: A modelling approach
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231016301777

Age and climate contribution to observed forest carbon sinks in East Asia (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034021/meta

Variability of projected terrestrial biosphere responses to elevated levels of atmospheric CO2 due to uncertainty in biological nitrogen fixation (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1491/2016/

The effects of climate warming on the growth of European beech forests depend critically on thinning strategy and site productivity
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316301873

Geographical patterns in the radial growth response of Norway spruce provenances to climatic variation
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016819231630185X

Site- and species-specific treeline responses to climatic variability in eastern Nepal Himalaya
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786516300182

Ontogeny constrains phenology: opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12595/abstract

Vegetation baseline phenology from kilometric global LAI satellite products
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716300864

Evidence for climate-driven synchrony of marine and terrestrial ecosystems in northwest Australia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13239/abstract

Evidence for divergence of response in Indica, Japonica, and wild rice to high CO2 x temperature interaction
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13279/abstract

Significant pre-mass extinction animal body-size changes: Evidences from the Permian–Triassic boundary brachiopod faunas of South China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018215006860

Oceanic redox evolution across the end-Permian mass extinction at Shangsi, South China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018215006082

The atmospheric partial lifetime of carbon tetrachloride with respect to the global soil sink
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL067839/abstract

Wildfires in a warmer climate: Emission fluxes, emission heights and black carbon concentrations in 2090–2099
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024142/abstract

ERA-20C: An atmospheric reanalysis of the 20th century
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0556.1

Fallacies and fantasies: the theoretical underpinnings of the Coexistence Approach for palaeoclimate reconstruction (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/611/2016/

Understanding and responding to danger from climate change: the role of key risks in the IPCC AR5 (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1645-x

Social acceptance of wind and solar power in the Brazilian electricity system
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9772-0

Socio-climatic hotspots in Brazil: how do changes driven by the new set of IPCC climatic projections affect their relevance for policy?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1635-z

Climate, history, society over the last millennium in southeast Africa
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.389/abstract

Evaluating the impact and uncertainty of reservoir operation for malaria control as the climate changes in Ethiopia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1639-8

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, March 8, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on March 8, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

The impact of a future solar minimum on climate change projections in the Northern Hemisphere (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034015/meta

Time variability of the north-western Mediterranean Sea pH over 1995–2011
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113616300174

A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on European Agriculture
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-016-0001-y

Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067448/abstract

Emerging trends in heavy precipitation and hot temperature extremes in Switzerland
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024634/abstract

Trend of monthly temperature and daily extreme temperature during 1951–2012 in New Zealand
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1764-3

Arctic summer warming causes four-fold higher tundra volatile emissions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003295/abstract

Suppressed mid-latitude summer atmospheric warming by Arctic sea ice loss during 1979-2012
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068059/abstract

Using Causal Effect Networks to analyze different Arctic drivers of mid-latitude winter circulation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0654.1

Recent changes in winter Arctic clouds and their relationships with sea ice and atmospheric conditions (open access)
http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/29130

Recent summer sea ice thickness surveys in Fram Strait and associated ice volume fluxes (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/523/2016/

The influence of atmospheric blocking on extreme winter minimum temperatures in North America
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0493.1

The global carbon budget: a conflicting claims problem
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1633-1

Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014/meta

Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00204.1

Climatic impacts of stratospheric geoengineering with sulfate, black carbon and titania injection (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/2843/2016/

Climate change impacts on the power generation potential of a European mid-century wind farms scenario
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034013/meta

Saving energy is not easy: An impact assessment of Dutch policy to reduce the energy requirements of buildings
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516300866

Drivers of changes in stratospheric and tropospheric ozone between year 2000 and 2100 (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/2727/2016/

Can we detect a nonlinear response to temperature in European plant phenology?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1146-7

Response of deciduous trees spring phenology to recent and projected climate change in Central Lithuania
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1149-4

Topography and age mediate the growth responses of Smith fir to climate warming in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1148-5

Choice of baseline climate data impacts projected species’ responses to climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13273/abstract

Communal nesting under climate change: fitness consequences of higher incubation temperatures for a nocturnal lizard
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13231/abstract

Community-level climate change vulnerability research: trends, progress, and future directions (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/033001/meta

Vulnerability to climate change and the desire for mitigation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13412-016-0384-7

Spirituality and attitudes towards Nature in the Pacific Islands: insights for enabling climate-change adaptation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1646-9

Beyond special circumstances: climate change policy in Turkey 1992–2015
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.390/abstract

Carbon reductions and health co-benefits from US residential energy efficiency measures (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034017/meta

Environmental impacts of food trade via resource use and greenhouse gas emissions (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035012/meta

Statistics of regional surface temperatures post year 1900. Long-range versus short-range dependence, and significance of warming trends
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0437.1

Stochastic secular trends in sea level rise
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011301/abstract

Solar forcing over the last 1500 years and Australian tropical cyclone activity
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068012/abstract

Variations of the Global Net Air-Sea Heat Flux During the “Hiatus” Period (2001–2010)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0626.1

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New research, March 4, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on March 4, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

The darkening of the Greenland ice sheet: trends, drivers, and projections (1981–2100) (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/477/2016/

Sensitivity of satellite-derived tropospheric temperature trends to the diurnal cycle adjustment
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0744.1

Evaluation of wetland methane emissions across North America using atmospheric data and inverse modeling (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/1329/2016/

The fossil record of the sixth extinction
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12589/abstract

Elevated atmospheric [CO2] can dramatically increase wheat yields in semi-arid environments and buffer against heat waves
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13263/abstract

The effect of low ancient greenhouse climate temperature gradients on the ocean’s overturning circulation (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/543/2016/

Can renewable energy power the future?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030142151630088X

Increased atmospheric CO2 growth rate during El Niño driven by reduced terrestrial productivity in the CMIP5 ESMs
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00672.1

Development and Analysis of a Long Term, Global, Terrestrial Land Surface Temperature Dataset Based on HIRS Satellite Retrievals
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0378.1

Sources of skill in near-term climate prediction: generating initial conditions
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3036-4

Modelling calving front dynamics using a level-set method: application to Jakobshavn Isbræ, West Greenland (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/497/2016/

Impact of sea ice initialisation on sea ice and atmosphere prediction skill on seasonal timescales
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066626/abstract

On the Observed Relationships between Variability in Gulf Stream Sea Surface Temperatures and the Atmospheric Circulation in the North Atlantic
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0820.1

11-year Solar Cycle Signal in the NAO and Atlantic / European Blocking
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2782/abstract

Global water cycle and solar activity variations
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682616300530

Simulated long-term climate response to idealized solar geoengineering
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068079/abstract

Surface energy budget changes over Central Australia during the early 21st century drought
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4694/abstract

Attribution of annual maximum sea levels to tropical cyclones at the global scale
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4704/abstract

Lightning in the Mediterranean and its relation with sea-surface temperature (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034006/meta

Regional climate change and national responsibilities
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034009/meta

Energy sector water use implications of a 2 °C climate policy (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034011/meta

Large storage operations under climate change: expanding uncertainties and evolving tradeoffs (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035009/meta

Temperature effects on fish production across a natural thermal gradient (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13233/abstract

Drought-survival is a threshold function of habitat size and population density in a fish metapopulation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13265/abstract

Recent range expansion of a terrestrial orchid corresponds with climate-driven variation in its population dynamics
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-016-3592-7

Global climate change impacts on forests and markets (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035011/meta

Are climatic factors responsible for the process of oak decline in Poland?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786516300169

Interannual variations in spring phenology and their response to climate change across the Tibetan Plateau from 1982 to 2013
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1147-6

An observation-based progression modeling approach to spring and autumn deciduous tree phenology
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-015-1031-9

Phenological response of a key ecosystem function to biological invasion
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12585/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

 
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