AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

New research, December 21, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on December 21, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Rapid and highly variable warming of lake surface waters around the globe (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066235/abstract

A reduction in marine primary productivity driven by rapid warming over the tropical Indian Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066979/abstract

Emergence of human influence on summer record-breaking temperatures over Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066560/abstract

Mass gains of the Antarctic ice sheet exceed losses
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/jog/2015/00000061/00000230/art00001

Environmental responses of the Northeast Antarctic Peninsula to the Holocene climate variability
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002785/abstract

Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067143/abstract

Measurements and modelling of snow particle size and shortwave infrared albedo over a melting Antarctic ice sheet (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2357/2015/tc-9-2357-2015.html

Summertime evolution of snow specific surface area close to the surface on the Antarctic Plateau (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2383/2015/tc-9-2383-2015.html

Regional variability of a projected sea ice-free Arctic during the summer months (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066855/abstract

Episodic warming of near-bottom waters under the Arctic sea ice on the central Laptev Sea shelf
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066565/abstract

Consequences of future increased arctic runoff on Arctic Ocean stratification, circulation, and sea ice cover
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011156/abstract

Spectral albedo and transmittance of thin young Arctic sea ice
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011254/abstract

Indirect aerosol effect increases CMIP5 models projected Arctic warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0362.1

Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent mega-drought in central Chile
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067265/abstract

Projected changes in east Australian midlatitude cyclones during the 21st century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067267/abstract

Mid-Holocene permafrost: Results from CMIP5 simulations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023837/abstract

In-situ based reanalysis of the global ocean temperature and salinity with ISAS: variability of the heat content and steric height
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0028.1

Global reconstructions of glacier mass change during the 20th century are consistent (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2399/2015/tc-9-2399-2015.html

Effects of global change during the 21st century on the nitrogen cycle (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13849/2015/acp-15-13849-2015.html

Climate-vegetation modelling and fossil plant data suggest low atmospheric CO2 in the late Miocene (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1701/2015/cp-11-1701-2015.html

Continental-scale temperature variability in PMIP3 simulations and PAGES 2k regional temperature reconstructions over the past millennium (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1673/2015/cp-11-1673-2015.html

Is extensive terrestrial carbon dioxide removal a ‘green’ form of geoengineering? A global modelling study
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301612

Ancient Juniper trees growing on cliffs: towards a long Mediterranean tree-ring chronology
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786515000922

A new paleoclimate classification for deep time
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018215007117

The intensification of thermal extremes in west Africa
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301624

Facing climatic hazards: Paleolithic foragers and Neolithic farmers
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618215011623

Climate change impacts in Central Asia and their implications for development
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0893-z

Climate-induced human displacement: a case study of Cyclone Aila in the south-west coastal region of Bangladesh
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-015-2119-6

Seventeen-year trends in spring and autumn phenophases of Betula pubescens in a boreal environment
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-015-1118-3

Community-wide changes in inter-taxonomic temporal co-occurrence resulting from phenological shifts
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13199/abstract

Cli-fi on the screen(s): patterns in the representations of climate change in fictional films
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.381/abstract

Attribution of extreme weather and climate-related events (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.380/abstract

Climate change in Algeria and its impact on durum wheat
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0889-8

Estimating greenhouse gas emissions from future Amazonian hydroelectric reservoirs (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124019/meta

Land cover and land use changes in the oil and gas regions of Northwestern Siberia under changing climatic conditions (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124020/meta

Nuclear power in the 21st century: Challenges and possibilities (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-015-0732-y

Input–output life cycle environmental assessment of greenhouse gas emissions from utility scale wind energy in the United States
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515302160

Projected habitat loss for Atlantic herring in the Baltic Sea
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113615300878

Characterizing the GHG emission impacts of carsharing: a case of Vancouver (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124017/meta

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, December 15, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on December 15, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Record-breaking temperatures in China during the warming and recent hiatus periods
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023886/abstract

Analysis of CO2 mole fraction data: first evidence of large-scale changes in CO2 uptake at high northern latitudes (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13739/2015/acp-15-13739-2015.html

Physical processes contributing to an ice free Beaufort Sea during September 2012
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC010756/abstract

Enhanced warming of the northwest Atlantic Ocean under climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011346/abstract

Modern to millennium-old greenhouse gases emitted from ponds and lakes of the Eastern Canadian Arctic (Bylot Island, Nunavut) (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/7279/2015/bg-12-7279-2015.html

The political collapse of Chichén Itzá in climatic and cultural context
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301491

Spatial analysis of trends in primary production and relationship with large-scale climate variability in the Ross Sea, Antarctica (1997-2013)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011014/abstract

Recent Hadley cell expansion: the role of internal atmospheric variability in reconciling modeled and observed trends
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066942/abstract

Analytic radiative-advective equilibrium as a model for high-latitude climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067172/abstract

Mortality risks during extreme temperature events (ETEs) using a distributed lag non-linear model
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-015-1117-4

Vegetation dynamics and climate change on the Loess Plateau, China: 1982–2011
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0881-3

Flood risk and climate change in the Rotterdam area, The Netherlands: enhancing citizen’s climate risk perceptions and prevention responses despite skepticism (open access)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0900-4

Antarctic icebergs distributions 1992-2014
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011178/abstract

Further Exploring and Quantifying Uncertainties for Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) Version 4 (v4)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0430.1

Bias in the variance of gridded data sets leads to misleading conclusions about changes in climate variability
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4561/abstract

Timing of the first drainage of the Baltic Ice Lake synchronous with the onset of Greenland Stadial 1
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bor.12155/abstract

Global spread of hypoxia in freshwater ecosystems during the last three centuries is caused by rising local human pressure
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13193/abstract

Assessing the influence of historic net and gross land changes on the carbon fluxes of Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13191/abstract

Temporal dynamics influenced by global change: bee community phenology in urban, agricultural, and natural landscapes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13141/abstract

Climate and land use changes will degrade the configuration of the landscape for titi monkeys in eastern Brazil
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13162/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, December 11, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on December 11, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Predicted slow-down in the rate of Atlantic sea ice loss
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065364/abstract

A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2595.html

Albedo feedback enhanced by smoother Arctic sea ice
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066712/abstract

A growing importance of large fires in conterminous United States during 1984 – 2012
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG002965/abstract

Antarctic Ice Shelf Thickness from Cryosat-2 Radar Altimetry (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066515/abstract

Methane emissions from pan-Arctic lakes during the 21st century: An analysis with process-based models of lake evolution and biogeochemistry
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003184/abstract

On the vertical phytoplankton response to an ice free Arctic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011180/abstract

Temperature and precipitation extremes in the United States: Quantifying the responses to anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0478.1

Robust strengthening and westward shift of the tropical Pacific Walker circulation during 1979~2012: a comparison of 7 sets of reanalysis data and 26 AMIP5 models
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0398.1

Climate mechanism for stronger typhoons in a warmer world
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0585.1

The effect of downwelling longwave and shortwave radiation on Arctic summer sea ice
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0238.1

Unforced surface air temperature variability and its contrasting relationship with the anomalous TOA energy flux at local and global spatial scales
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0384.1

Variability in severe coastal flooding in south-eastern Australia since the mid-19th century, associated storms and death tolls
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0146.1

Data-based estimates of the ocean carbon sink variability – first results of the Surface Ocean pCO2 Mapping intercomparison (SOCOM) (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/7251/2015/bg-12-7251-2015.html

Using satellite data to improve the leaf phenology of a global terrestrial biosphere model (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/7185/2015/bg-12-7185-2015.html

Global temperature response to the major volcanic eruptions in multiple reanalysis data sets (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13507/2015/acp-15-13507-2015.html

Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1621/2015/cp-11-1621-2015.html

Trends and climatic sensitivities of vegetation phenology in semiarid and arid ecosystems in the US Great Basin during 1982–2011 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/6985/2015/bg-12-6985-2015.html

Decadal trends in global CO emissions as seen by MOPITT (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13433/2015/acp-15-13433-2015.html

Assessing the current and future urban heat island of Brussels
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212095515300377

Vulnerability of mountain glaciers in China to climate change (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927815000842

Was atmospheric CO2 capped at 1000 ppm over the past 300 million years?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018215005799

Influence of altered low cloud parameterizations for seasonal variation of Arctic cloud amount on climate feedbacks
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2926-1

Contrasting evolution patterns between glacier-fed and non-glacier-fed lakes in the Tanggula Mountains and climate cause analysis
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1578-9

Extreme hot summers in China in the CMIP5 climate models
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1576-y

Ecological and methodological drivers of species’ distribution and phenology responses to climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13184/abstract

Caribbean mesophotic coral ecosystems are unlikely climate change refugia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13175/abstract

Impact of cyclonic and anticyclonic activity on Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance variation during 1980–2013
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4565/abstract

Greenhouse gas (CO2, CH4, N2O) emissions from soils following afforestation in central China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015305616

More frequent moments in the climate change debate as emissions continue (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/121001/meta

Warm summer nights and the growth decline of shore pine in Southeast Alaska (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124007/meta

Total land water storage change over 2003–2013 estimated from a global mass budget approach (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124010/meta

Dynamic equity carbon permit allocation scheme to limit global warming to two degrees
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-015-9690-8

Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: Can emissions peak before 2030?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515302081

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, December 7, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on December 7, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Can carbon emissions from tropical deforestation drop by 50% in five years?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13153/abstract

A Solar Irradiance Climate Data Record
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00265.1

How much does it rain over land?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066615/abstract

Can public perceptions of Australian climate extremes be reconciled with the statistics of climate change? (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094715300293

Exceptional ocean surface conditions on the SE Greenland shelf during the Medieval Climate Anomaly
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002849/abstract

Quantification of precipitation and temperature uncertainties simulated by CMIP3 and CMIP5 models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023719/abstract

Glacier response to North Atlantic climate variability during the Holocene (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1587/2015/cp-11-1587-2015.html

Getting Greenland’s glaciers right – a new data set of all official Greenlandic glacier names (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2215/2015/tc-9-2215-2015.html

The 2 °C global warming effect on summer European tourism through different indices
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-015-1115-6

Effects of the Mt. Pinatubo eruption on decadal climate prediction skill of Pacific sea surface temperatures
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066608/abstract

Land-use legacies rather than climate change are driving the recent upward shift of the mountain tree line in the Pyrenees
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12407/abstract

The importance of sea-ice area biases in 21st century multi-model projections of Antarctic temperature and precipitation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067055/abstract

Exploring the Tropically Excited Arctic Warming Mechanism with Station Data: Links between Tropical Convection and Arctic Downward Infrared Radiation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0271.1

Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2237/2015/tc-9-2237-2015.html

Snow cover on Arctic Sea ice in observations and an Earth System Model
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066049/abstract

Covariance between Arctic sea ice and clouds within atmospheric state regimes at the satellite footprint level
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023520/abstract

Impacts of climate and reclamation on temporal variations in CH4 emissions from different wetlands in China: from 1950 to 2010 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/6853/2015/bg-12-6853-2015.html

Simulating climate change impacts and potential adaptations on rice yields in the Sichuan Basin, China
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-015-9688-2

High-resolution inventory of technologies, activities, and emissions of coal-fired power plants in China from 1990 to 2010 (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13299/2015/acp-15-13299-2015.html

Geographical spread of global emissions: Within-country inequalities are large and increasing
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515302020

Evaluating economic costs and benefits of climate resilient livelihood strategies
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209631500039X

A 382-year reconstruction of August mean minimum temperature from tree-ring maximum latewood density on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786515000831

Dendroclimatic reconstruction of late summer temperatures from upper treeline sites in Greater Caucasus, Russia
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618215010897

Megacities, air quality and climate
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015305665

Special issue: Ancient polar ecosystems and paleoclimate in deep time: Evidence from the past, implications for the future
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S003101821500574X

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, November 30, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 30, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002/meta

How increasing CO2 leads to an increased negative greenhouse effect in Antarctica
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066749/abstract

Early Warning Signals for Abrupt Change Raise False Alarms During Sea Ice Loss
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066297/abstract

Variability and evolution of global land surface phenology over the past three decades (1982-2012)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13168/abstract

Top ten European heatwaves since 1950 and their occurrence in the coming decades (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124003/meta

Anthropogenic aerosol deposition reduces the sensitivity of oceanic productivity to warming
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066753/abstract

Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice during the last glacial
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066344/abstract

On the enigmatic similarity in Greenland δ18O between the Oldest and Younger Dryas
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066042/abstract

Revealing glacier flow and surge dynamics from animated satellite image sequences: examples from the Karakoram (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2201/2015/tc-9-2201-2015.html

Transitivity of the climate–vegetation system in a warm climate (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1563/2015/cp-11-1563-2015.html

Does GOSAT capture the true seasonal cycle of carbon dioxide? (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/13023/2015/acp-15-13023-2015.html

Hurricane Names: A Bunch of Hot Air? (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094715300517

Bite without Bark: How The socioeconomic context of the 1950s U.S. drought minimized responses to a multiyear extreme climate event (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094715300530

Glaciomorphological Map of the Russian Federation
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618215008927

Drought stress impacts of climate change on rainfed rice in South Asia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1487-y

Temperature, extreme precipitation, and diurnal rainfall changes in the urbanized Jakarta city during the past 130 years
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4548/abstract

Climate-induced mortality of spruce stands in Belarus (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125006/meta

Land use patterns and related carbon losses following deforestation in South America (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124004/meta

Potential emissions of CO2 and methane from proved reserves of fossil fuels: An alternative analysis
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378015300637

Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125003/meta

Changes in the 1963–2013 shallow ground thermal regime in Russian permafrost regions (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125005/meta

Energy use, blue water footprint, and greenhouse gas emissions for current food consumption patterns and dietary recommendations in the US
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10669-015-9577-y

Switching from fossil fuel to renewables in residential heating systems: An empirical study of homeowners’ decisions in Germany
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515301968

Freshwater biota and rising pCO2?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12549/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, November 24, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 24, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Global impacts of the 1980s regime shift (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13106/abstract

Climate change as a migration driver from rural and urban Mexico (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114023/meta

Potential impacts of climate change on vegetation dynamics in Central Asia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023618/abstract

A New method for identifying possible causal relationships between CO2, total solar irradiance and global temperature change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-015-1675-8

Fast and slow climate responses to CO2 and solar forcing: A linear multivariate regression model characterizing transient climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023901/abstract

Predicting the maximum amplitude of solar cycle 25 and its timing
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682615300511

Evidence of a decadal solar signal in the Amazon River: 1903 to 2013
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066089/abstract

Decadal variability of upper ocean heat content in the Pacific: Responding to the 11-year solar cycle
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682615300778

Long-term variations in global sea level extremes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011173/abstract

Ocean versus atmosphere control on western European wintertime temperature variability
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2558-5

Spectral characteristics of instrumental and climate model surface temperatures
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0457.1

Preaching to different choirs: How to motivate dismissive, uncommitted, and alarmed audiences to adapt to climate change?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378015300662

Integrated radar and lidar analysis reveals extensive loss of remaining intact forest on Sumatra 2007–2010 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/6637/2015/bg-12-6637-2015.html

Global weather and local butterflies: variable responses to a large-scale climate pattern along an elevational gradient
http://www.esajournals.org/doi/abs/10.1890/15-0661.1

Temperature changes derived from phenological and natural evidence in South Central China from 1850 to 2008 (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1553/2015/cp-11-1553-2015.html

Indications for a North Atlantic ocean circulation regime shift at the onset of the Little Ice Age
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2561-x

Air pollution and climate response to aerosol direct radiative effects: a modeling study of decadal trends across the northern hemisphere
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023933/abstract

Assessing the role of precursor cyclones on the formation of extreme Greenland blocking episodes and their impact on summer melting across the Greenland ice sheet
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023945/abstract

OMI total column ozone: extending the long-term data record (open access)
http://www.atmos-meas-tech.net/8/4845/2015/amt-8-4845-2015.html

The changing ozone depletion potential of N2O in a future climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065702/abstract

First surface velocity maps for glaciers of Monte Tronador, North Patagonian Andes, derived from sequential Pléiades satellite images
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/jog/2015/00000061/00000229/art00008

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New research, November 19, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 19, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Regional dependence in the timing of onset of rapid decline in Arctic sea ice concentration
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011187/abstract

Can we map the interannual variability of the whole upper Southern Ocean with the current database of hydrographic observations?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011115/abstract

An impulse response function for the ‘long tail’ of excess atmospheric CO2 in an Earth system model
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GB005074/abstract

The relationship between inter-annual and long-term cloud feedbacks
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066698/abstract

Clouds and the atmospheric circulation response to warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0394.1

The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on climate through its influence on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0396.1

Changes in climate extremes and catastrophic events in the Mongolian Plateau from 1951 to 2012
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0282.1

An Initial Study on Climate Change Fingerprinting Using The Reflected Solar Spectra
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0297.1

Antarctic sea ice response to weather and climate modes of variability
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0301.1

Estimation of continuous anthropogenic CO2: model-based evaluation of CO2, CO, δ13C(CO2) and Δ14C(CO2) tracer methods (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/12705/2015/acp-15-12705-2015.html

Radiative forcing and climate response to projected 21st century aerosol decreases (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/12681/2015/acp-15-12681-2015.html

Climate response to Amazon forest replacement by heterogeneous crop cover (open access)
http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/4547/2015/hess-19-4547-2015.html

The effects of global change upon United States air quality (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/12645/2015/acp-15-12645-2015.html

Timing of rice maturity in China is affected more by transplanting date than by climate change
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192315007522

Impacts, risks, and governance of climate engineering (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927815000830

Review: Potential catastrophic reduction of sea ice in the western Arctic Ocean: Its impact on biogeochemical cycles and marine ecosystems
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301247

The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review (open access)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-015-0030-6

Farmer’s intended and actual adoption of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1558-0

Improving the estimation of the true mean monthly and true mean annual air temperatures in Greece (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.592/abstract

Heat content of the Arabian Sea Mini Warm Pool is increasing (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.596/abstract

Projections for the duration and degree days of the thermal growing season in Europe derived from CMIP5 model output
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4535/abstract

Global energy budgets and “Trenberth diagrams” for the climates of terrestrial and gas giant planets
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2704/abstract

Recent changes in Arctic temperature extremes: warm and cold spells during winter and summer (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114020/meta

Why Finance Ministers Favor Carbon Taxes, Even If They Do Not Take Climate Change into Account
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-015-9982-1

A probabilistic analysis of cumulative carbon emissions and long-term planetary warming (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/115007/meta

Nitrogen deposition and its effect on carbon storage in Chinese forests during 1981–2010
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015304970

Environmental impacts of German food consumption and food losses
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-015-0983-7

Between redeemer and work of the devil: The transnational Brazilian biofuel discourse
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0973082615001015

Temperature driven changes in the diet preference of omnivorous copepods: no more meat when it’s hot?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12541/abstract

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New research, November 13, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 13, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Distinct energy budgets for anthropogenic and natural changes during global warming hiatus
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2581.html

Conceptual model analysis of the influence of temperature feedbacks on polar amplification
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065889/abstract

On Anomalous Ocean Heat Transport toward the Arctic and Associated Climate Predictability
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0448.1

Differences Between Conservatives and Liberals in Information Seeking Behavior and Perceived Risks Associated with Climate-driven Changes to Local Forest Conditions
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0046.1

Does the NMME Capture a Recent Decadal Shift Toward Increasing Drought Occurrence in the Southwestern US?
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0311.1

The transient and equilibrium climate response to rapid summertime sea ice loss in CCSM4
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0284.1

The global land shortwave cryosphere radiative effect during the MODIS era (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2057/2015/tc-9-2057-2015.html

Reducing uncertainties in projections of Antarctic ice mass loss (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2043/2015/tc-9-2043-2015.html

Putting the clouds back in aerosol–cloud interactions (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/12397/2015/acp-15-12397-2015.html

Coastal lagoons and rising sea level: A review
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825215300684

Land surface phenology of China’s temperate ecosystems over 1999–2013: Spatial–temporal patterns, interaction effects, covariation with climate and implications for productivity
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192315007509

Is there a transition of solar radiation from dimming to brightening over India?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809515003300

Re-estimation of glacier mass loss in Greenland from GRACE with correction of land-ocean leakage effects
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301168

Approaches to Observe Anthropogenic Aerosol-Cloud Interactions (open access)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-015-0028-0

What shapes perceptions of climate change? New research since 2010
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.377/abstract

Tropical cyclones and climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.371/abstract

Climate change and larval-transport in the ocean: Fractional effects from physical and physiological factors
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13159/abstract

On assessment of the relationship between changes of sea ice extent and climate in the Arctic
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4550/abstract

Multi-decadal shoreline changes in response to sea level rise in the Marshall Islands
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2213305415300199

Metropolitan foodsheds: a resilient response to the climate change challenge?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13412-015-0349-2

Mediterranean climate future: an insightful look into the Basin’s precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/111001/meta

Biogenic acidification reduces sea urchin gonad growth and increases susceptibility of aquaculture to ocean acidification
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113615300672

Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095937801530056X

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New research, November 7, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 7, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Changing Amazon biomass and the role of atmospheric CO2 concentration, climate and land use
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005135/abstract

Loitering of the retreating sea ice edge in the Arctic Seas
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011182/abstract

Climatology and trends of tropical cyclone high wind in mainland China: 1959–2011
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024031/abstract

The relative contribution of orbital forcing and greenhouse gases to the North American deglaciation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066005/abstract

How did ocean warming affect Australian rainfall extremes during the 2010/11 La Niña event?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065948/abstract

Early Cenomanian “hot greenhouse” revealed by oxygen isotope record of exceptionally well-preserved foraminifera from Tanzania
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002854/abstract

Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065750/abstract

Seasonal and interannual variability of fast ice extent in the southeastern Laptev Sea between 1999 and 2013
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011135/abstract

Atmospheric energy transport to the Arctic 1979-2012 (open access)
http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/25482

Mass balance of the Sør Rondane glacial system, East Antarctica
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/agl/2015/00000056/00000070/art00008

Large-scale reconstruction of accumulation rates in northern Greenland from radar data
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/agl/2015/00000056/00000070/art00009

Sensitivities of glacier mass balance and runoff to climate perturbations in Norway
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/agl/2015/00000056/00000070/art00010

Temperature distribution and thermal anomalies along a flowline of the Greenland ice sheet
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/agl/2015/00000056/00000070/art00012

Greenland high-elevation mass balance: inference and implication of reference period (1961–90) imbalance
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/agl/2015/00000056/00000070/art00013

Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0182.1

Characterizing the Hadley circulation response through regional climate feedbacks
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0424.1

Elevation change of the Greenland Ice Sheet due to surface mass balance and firn processes, 1960–2014 (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2009/2015/tc-9-2009-2015.html

Conclusion to the special issue: Observed and projected changes in weather and climate extremes (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094715300463

An Overview of Weather and Climate Extremes – Products and Trends (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094715300451

Chemical weathering and consumption of atmospheric carbon dioxide in the Alpine region
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301053

Intercomparison of the temperature contrast between the arctic and equator in the pre- and post periods of the 1976/1977 regime shift
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-015-1663-z

Climate change impacts on ecosystems and ecosystem services in the United States: process and prospects for sustained assessment
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1547-3

Temporal evolution of Hudson Bay Sea Ice (1971–2011)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-015-1666-9

Mapping current and future potential snakebite risk in the new world
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1544-6

Detection and attribution of the effects of climate change on bat distributions over the last 50 years
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1543-7

Recent Developments in Bayesian Estimation of Climate Sensitivity
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-015-0023-5

Canopy leaf area of a mature evergreen Eucalyptus woodland does not respond to elevated atmospheric [CO2] but tracks water availability
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13151/abstract

Local indicators of climate change: the potential contribution of local knowledge to climate research
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.374/abstract

Reconstruction and homogenization of the longest instrumental precipitation series in the Iberian Peninsula (Barcelona, 1786–2014)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4537/abstract

Novel wildlife in the Arctic: the influence of changing riparian ecosystems and shrub habitat expansion on snowshoe hares
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13058/abstract

Decadal changes in radiative fluxes at land and ocean surfaces and their relevance for global warming (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.372/abstract

Detection and attribution of regional CO2 concentration anomalies using surface observations
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015304180

Life cycle assessment of energy generation in Poland (open access)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-015-0979-3

Leave before it’s too late: Anthropogenic and environmental triggers of autumn migration in a hunted ungulate population
http://www.esajournals.org/doi/abs/10.1890/15-1191.1

Contrasting synchrony in root and leaf phenology across multiple sub-Arctic plant communities
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12506/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, October 30, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on October 30, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Has the grand idea of geoengineering as Plan B run out of steam?
http://anr.sagepub.com/content/early/2015/10/29/2053019615614592.abstract

Holocene North Atlantic Overturning in an atmosphere–ocean-sea-ice model compared to proxy-based reconstructions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002828/abstract

Large methane emissions from a subarctic lake during spring thaw: mechanisms and landscape significance
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003137/abstract

Placing the 2012–2015 California-Nevada drought into a paleoclimatic context: Insights from Walker Lake, California-Nevada, USA
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065841/abstract

Millennial-scale oscillations between sea ice and convective deep water formation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002809/abstract

Increased nuisance flooding along the coasts of the United States due to sea-level rise: Past and future
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL066072/abstract

Distributed subglacial discharge drives significant submarine melt at a Greenland tidewater glacier
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065806/abstract

Future change in ocean productivity: Is the Arctic the new Atlantic?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011167/abstract

The impact of regional Arctic sea ice loss on atmospheric circulation and the NAO
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0315.1

Atmospheric and oceanic contributions to irreducible forecast uncertainty of Arctic surface climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0421.1

Mechanisms of the negative shortwave cloud feedback in mid to high latitudes
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0327.1

Comparison of radiative energy flows in observational datasets and climate modeling
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0281.1

Stratospheric geoengineering impacts on El Niño/Southern Oscillation (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/11949/2015/acp-15-11949-2015.html

How might the North American ice sheet influence the northwestern Eurasian climate? (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/11/1467/2015/cp-11-1467-2015.html

The U.S. Drought of 2012 (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094715300360

Global monsoon change during the Last Glacial Maximum: a multi-model study (open access)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2841-5

Decadal trends of the annual amplitude of global precipitation (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.631/abstract

Air temperature changes in Svalbard and the surrounding seas from 1865 to 1920
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4527/abstract

Negative impacts of high temperatures on growth of black spruce forests intensify with the anticipated climate warming
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13072/abstract

Carbon sequestration in soil
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877343515001013

US major crops’ uncertain climate change risks and greenhouse gas mitigation benefits (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/115002/meta

Impact of the Volkswagen emissions control defeat device on US public health (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114005/meta

Sensitivity of global wildfire occurrences to various factors in the context of global change
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015301448

Uncertainties in decarbonising heat in the UK
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515300306

Fisheries management responses to climate change in the Baltic Sea (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096315000303

Warming affects hatching time and early season survival of eastern tent caterpillars
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-015-3371-x

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

 
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