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New research – temperature (July 26, 2016)

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on July 26, 2016

Some of the latest papers on temperature are shown below. First a few highlighted papers with abstracts and then a list of some other papers. If this subject interests you, be sure to check also the other papers – they are by no means less interesting than the highlighted ones.

Highlights

The rogue nature of hiatuses in a global warming climate (Sévellec, Sinha & Skliris, 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068950/abstract

Abstract: The nature of rogue events is their unlikelihood and the recent unpredicted decade-long slowdown in surface warming, the so-called hiatus, may be such an event. However, given decadal variability in climate, global surface temperatures were never expected to increase monotonically with increasing radiative forcing. Here, surface air temperature from twenty climate models is analysed to estimate the historical and future likelihood of hiatuses and “surges” (faster than expected warming), showing that the global hiatus of the early 21st Century was extremely unlikely. A novel analysis of future climate scenarios suggests that hiatuses will almost vanish and surges will strongly intensify by 2100 under a “business as usual” scenario. For “CO2 stabilisation” scenarios, hiatus and surge characteristics revert to typical 1940s values. These results suggest to study the hiatus of the early 21st Century and future re-occurrences as rogue events, at the limit of the variability of current climate modelling capability.

Underestimated warming of northern Canada in the Berkeley Earth temperature product (Way, Oliva & Viau, 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4808/abstract

Abstract: The Berkeley Earth surface temperature (BERK) project provides gridded global temperature anomaly products using an automated geostatistical approach to adjust station data for systematic biases. Despite its widespread usage, the BERK data set has not been evaluated at the national-scale, especially in data-sparse high latitude environments. This study provides an evaluation of the BERK product across all of Canada using 333 climate stations made available from the homogenized Environment Canada station network (HTcan). Comparison between co-located monthly air temperature anomalies for the two data sets suggests small differences between the two products for mean surface (∼2 m) air temperature. However, the relatively minimal bias in mean temperature is a consequence of contrasting cold and warm biases in minimum and maximum air temperatures, respectively, that are larger but effectively even out when averaged together. The BERK product is shown to exhibit systematic underestimation of recent regional warming in northern Canada which when combined with an overestimation of warmth earlier in the record results in an observable reduction in warming rates for minimum and mean temperature anomalies since 1950. The temporal evolution and spatial pattern of the observed biases suggest that the BERK-automated adjustments to station data in northern Canada miss some inhomogeneities in the raw station data. These results highlight the need for enhanced data recovery and homogenization efforts in data-sparse high latitude regions and emphasize the importance of national-scale climate data sets for evaluating global gridded products. We also recommend caution when using the BERK minimum and maximum monthly air temperature products for long-term trend analyses.

Revisiting whether recent surface temperature trends agree with the CMIP5 ensemble (Lin & Huybers, 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0123.1

Abstract: A weaker trend in global mean temperature over the past 15 years relative to the preceding decades has been characterized as significantly lower than those contained within the CMIP5 ensemble. In this study, divergence between model simulations and observations is estimated using a fixed-intercept linear trend with a slope estimator that has one-third the noise variance compared to simple linear regression. Following the approach of Fyfe et al. (2013) where inter-model spread is used to assess the distribution of trends, but using the fixed-intercept trend metric, demonstrates that recently observed trends in global-mean temperature are consistent (p > 0.1) with the CMIP5 ensemble for all 15-year intervals of observation-model divergence since 1970. Significant clustering of global trends according to modeling center indicates that the spread in CMIP5 trends is better characterized using ensemble members drawn across models, as opposed to using ensemble members from a single model. Despite model-observation consistency at the global level, substantial regional discrepancies in surface temperature trends remain.

Climate change in the Kola Peninsula, Arctic Russia, during the last 50 years from meteorological observations (Marshall, Vignols & Rees, 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0179.1

Abstract: We provide a detailed climatology and evaluation of recent climate change in the Kola Peninsula, Arctic Russia, a region influenced by both the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans. The analysis is based on 50 years of monthly surface air temperature (SAT), precipitation (PPN) and sea level pressure (SLP) data from ten meteorological stations for 1966-2015. Regional mean annual SAT is ~0°C: the moderating effect of the ocean is such that coastal (inland) stations have a positive (negative) value. Examined mean annual PPN totals rise from ~430 mm in the north-east of the region to ~600 mm in the west.

Annual SAT in the Kola Peninsula has increased by 2.3 ± 1.0 °C over the past 50 years. Seasonally, statistically significant warming has taken place in spring and fall, although the largest trend has occurred in winter. While there has been no significant change in annual PPN, spring has become significantly wetter and fall drier. The former is associated with the only significant seasonal SLP trend (decrease). A positive winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index is generally associated with a warmer and wetter Kola Peninsula while a positive Siberian High (SH) index has the opposite impact. The relationship between both the NAO and SH and SAT is broadly coherent across the region whereas their relationship with PPN varies markedly, although none of the relationships are temporally invariant. Reduced sea ice in the Barents and White Seas and associated circulation changes are likely to be the principal drivers behind the observed changes.

Water temperature increases in the river Rhine in response to climate change (Hardenbicker et al. 2016)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1006-3

Abstract: The present study analyzes climate change effects on the water temperature of the Rhine, one of the largest rivers in Central Europe. Simulation calculations were performed based on a range of climate and river flow projections for the near (2021–2050) and for the far future (2071–2100) compared to a reference period (1961–1990). Changes in mean annual water temperature in the near future range between +0.6 and +1.4 °C and between +1.9 and +2.2 °C in the far future (average of nine stations). Monthly mean values of the far future change in a more differentiated way by +0.4 to +1.3 °C in spring and +2.7 to +3.4 °C in late summer. The length of periods of high water temperature, expressed as successive days with water temperatures over 27 °C, increases by a factor of four until 2100. These prolonged durations of periods with unusually high water temperatures may provoke changes in the food web and in the rates of biological processes in the Rhine.

Other papers

Assessing the uncertainty of CESM-LE in simulating the trends of mean and extreme temperature and precipitation over China (Li, Zhu & Dong, 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4837/abstract

Reconciling Observed and Modelled Temperature and Precipitation Trends over Europe by Adjusting for Circulation Variability (Saffioti et al. 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069802/abstract

Geo-spatial analysis of temporal trends of temperature and its extremes over India using daily gridded (1°×1°) temperature data of 1969–2005 (Chakraborty et al. 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1869-8

Sudden stratospheric warmings observed in the last decade by satellite measurements (Kishore et al. 2016)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302656

Longitudinal Asymmetric Trends of Tropical Cold-point Tropopause Temperature and Their Link to Strengthened Walker Circulation (Hu et al. 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0851.1

An in situ-based analysis of the relationship between land surface ‘skin’ and screen-level air temperatures (Good, 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD025318/abstract

Spatiotemporal rainfall and temperature trends throughout the Brazilian Legal Amazon, 1973–2013 (Almeida et al. 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4831/abstract

Spatial variation of deterministic chaos in mean daily temperature and rainfall over Nigeria (Fuwape et al. 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1867-x

Homogenisation of temperature and precipitation time series with ACMANT3: method description and efficiency tests (Domonkos & Coll, 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4822/abstract

The tropical Pacific as a key pacemaker of the variable rates of global warming (Kosaka & Xie, 2016)
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2770.html

The changing shape of Northern Hemisphere summer temperature distributions (McKinnon et al. 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD025292/abstract

Future Decreases in Freezing Days Across North America (Rawlins et al. 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0802.1

Arctic warming, moisture increase and circulation changes observed in the Ny-Ålesund homogenized radiosonde record (Maturilli & Kayser, 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1864-0

Trend analysis of air temperature time series in Greece and their relationship with circulation using surface and satellite data: recent trends and an update to 2013 (Feidas, 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1854-2

Urban Heat Island traverses in the City of Adelaide, South Australia (Clay et al. 2016)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212095516300293

Recent Extreme Arctic Temperatures are due to a Split Polar Vortex (Overland & Wang, 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0320.1

Potential tropical Atlantic impacts on Pacific decadal climate trends (Chikamoto et al. 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069544/abstract

Consistent land surface temperature data generation from irregularly spaced Landsat imagery (Fu & Weng, 2016)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302565

Spatial and temporal variation in daily temperature indices in summer and winter seasons over India (1969–2012) (Kumar et al. 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1844-4

Spatial patterns of recent Antarctic surface temperature trends and the importance of natural variability: lessons from multiple reconstructions and the CMIP5 models (Smith & Polvani, 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3230-4

From Urban to National Heat Island: the effect of anthropogenic heat output on climate change in high population industrial countries (Murray & Heggie, 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000352/abstract

From accelerated warming to warming hiatus in China (Xie, Huang & Liu, 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4809/abstract

Weekly cycles in peak time temperatures and urban heat island intensity (Earl, Simmonds & Tapper, 2016)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074003/meta

Radiative and Dynamical Influences on Polar Stratospheric Temperature Trends (Ivy, Solomon & Rieder, 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0503.1

Posted in AGW evidence, Climate claims, Climate science | Leave a Comment »

New research, June 17, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 17, 2016

After this, there will be a few weeks break in these posts. New research posts will then resume possibly in a new form – stay tuned.

Some new papers from last few days:

Investigating the pace of temperature change and its implications over the twenty-first century
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1659-4

Threshold Sensitivity of Shallow Arctic Lakes and Sub-lake Permafrost to Changing Winter Climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068506/abstract

Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GB005405/abstract

Longer thaw seasons increase nitrogen availability for leaching during fall in tundra soils (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064013/meta

Spatial patterns and frequency of unforced decadal-scale changes in global mean surface temperature in climate models
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0609.1

Uncertainties in the attribution of greenhouse gas warming and implications for climate prediction
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024337/abstract

The linkage between stratospheric water vapor and surface temperature in an observation-constrained coupled general circulation model
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3231-3

A new perspective on global mean sea-level (GMSL) acceleration
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069653/abstract

The analysis of Last Interglacial (MIS 5e) relative sea-level indicators: Reconstructing sea-level in a warmer world
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825216301246

Organic matter losses in German Alps forest soils since the 1970s most likely caused by warming
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2732.html

Reversal of global atmospheric ethane and propane trends largely due to US oil and natural gas production
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2721.html

A high resolution record of Greenland mass balance
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069666/abstract

Derivation and validation of supraglacial lake volumes on the Greenland Ice Sheet from high-resolution satellite imagery
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302267

Revisiting Extreme Storms of the Past 100 Years for Future Safety of Large Water Management Infrastructures (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000368/abstract

Evidence of rising and poleward shift of storm surge in western North Pacific in recent decades
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011777/abstract

Role of ocean evaporation in California droughts and floods
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069386/abstract

Effects of a Warming Climate on Daily Snowfall Events in the Northern Hemisphere
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1

Can significant trends be detected in surface air temperature and precipitation over South America in recent decades?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4792/abstract

On the ambiguous nature of the 11-year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069958/abstract

Improved Retrieval of Cloud Liquid Water from CloudSat and MODIS
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0077.1

Albedo climatology for European land surfaces retrieved from AVHRR data (1990-2014) and its spatial and temporal analysis from green–up to vegetation senescence
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024933/abstract

Using satellite-derived optical thickness to assess the influence of clouds on terrestrial carbon uptake
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JG003365/abstract

An observationally based global band-by-band surface emissivity dataset for climate and weather simulations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0355.1

Decadal to centennial variability of salinity in the Baltic Sea
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0443.1

Highest drought sensitivity and lowest resistance to growth suppression are found in the range core of the tree Fagus sylvatica L. not the equatorial range edge (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13366/abstract

Biodiversity in marine invertebrate responses to acute warming revealed by a comparative multi-omics approach
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13357/abstract

The effects of elevated CO2 and eutrophication on surface elevation gain in a European saltmarsh
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13396/abstract

How will climate change affect the vegetation cycle over France ? A generic modeling approach
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209631630016X

Micro-climatic controls and warming effects on flowering time in alpine snowbeds
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-016-3669-3

Spring bloom onset in the Nordic Seas (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3485/2016/

The influence of climate variability on internal migration flows in South Africa
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300589

Regional organisations and climate change adaptation in small island developing states
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0991-6

Should we build wind farms close to load or invest in transmission to access better wind resources in remote areas? A case study in the MISO region
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302944

Paradigms and poverty in global energy policy: research needs for achieving universal energy access (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064014/meta

Climatic Tipping Points and Optimal Fossil-Fuel Use
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-016-0042-2

Likelihood of climate change pathways under uncertainty on fossil fuel resources availability
http://pubs.rsc.org/en/Content/ArticleLanding/2016/EE/C6EE01008C

A quantitative description of state-level taxation of oil and gas production in the continental U.S
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302920

Towards a low carbon growth in Mexico: Is a double dividend possible? A dynamic general equilibrium assessment
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302956

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, June 13, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 13, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Sensitivity of Arctic warming to sea-ice concentration
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023953/abstract

New visualizations highlight new information on the contrasting Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice trends since the late 1970s
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302218

Conventional intensive logging promotes loss of organic carbon from the mineral soil
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13387/abstract

Bergmann’s rule in the oceans? Temperature strongly correlates with global interspecific patterns of body size in marine mammals
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12476/abstract

Quantifying the drivers of ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GB005400/abstract

Climate impacts on multidecadal pCO2 variability in the North Atlantic: 1948–2009 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3387/2016/

A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2727.html

Variability of Tornado Occurrence over the Continental United States since 1950
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024465/abstract

Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Drought in the Continental U.S. during the Past Century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069660/abstract

Drought in Northeast Brazil—past, present, and future
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1840-8

Anthropogenic influence on the frequency of extreme temperatures in China
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069296/abstract

Fire and Climate in Mongolia (1532-2010 CE)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069059/abstract

Increasing Trend of Pan Evaporation over Semi-Arid Loess Plateau under a Warming Climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0041.1

So, how much of the Earth’s surface is covered by rain gauges? (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00283.1

Century-scale causal relationships between global dry/wet conditions and the state of the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069628/abstract

Future Aerosol Reductions and Widening of the Northern Tropical Belt
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024803/abstract

Recent trends and tele-connections among South and East Asian summer monsoons in a warming environment
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3218-0

Anomalous mid-twentieth century atmospheric circulation change over the South Atlantic compared to the last 6000 years (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064009/meta

Tropospheric moisture in the Southwest Pacific as revealed by homogenized radiosonde data: climatology and decadal trend
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4780/abstract

Lower tropospheric mixing as a constraint on cloud feedback in a Multi-Parameter Multi-Physics Ensemble
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0042.1

Stratospheric Temperature Climate Data Record from Merged SSU and AMSU-A Observations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-16-0018.1

Amphibian Breeding Phenology Trends under Climate Change: Predicting the Past to Forecast the Future
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13390/abstract

Increased variance in temperature and lag effects alter phenological responses to rapid warming in a subarctic plant community
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13386/abstract

Anthropogenic-driven rapid shifts in tree distribution lead to increased dominance of broadleaf species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13394/abstract

Assessing woody vegetation trends in Sahelian drylands using MODIS based seasonal metrics
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302280

Daytime warming lowers community temporal stability by reducing the abundance of dominant, stable species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13391/abstract

Seagrass meadows are threatened by expected loss of peatlands in Indonesia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13392/abstract

Climate-driven vital rates do not always mean climate-driven population
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13330/abstract

Near future pH conditions severely impact calcification, metabolism and the nervous system in the pteropod Heliconoides inflatus
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13350/abstract

On the declining relationship between tree growth and climate in the Midwest United States: the fading drought signal
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1720-3

Recent glacier changes in the Tien Shan observed by satellite gravity measurements
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300321

Greenland Ice Sheet influence on Last Interglacial climate: global sensitivity studies performed with an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1313/2016/

An investigation into linearity with cumulative emissions of the climate and carbon cycle response in HadCM3LC (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/065003/meta

Conflict about Climate Change at the American Meteorological Society: Meteorologists’ Views on a Scientific and Organizational Controversy (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00265.1

Linking climate change perceptions to adaptation and mitigation action
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1718-x

An experimental investigation into ‘pledge and review’ in climate negotiations
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1711-4

Climate change and social transformations: is it time for a quantum leap?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.413/abstract

A people‐centred perspective on climate change, environmental stress, and livelihood resilience in Bangladesh
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11625-016-0379-z

Cost-effective electric vehicle charging infrastructure siting for Delhi (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064010/meta

The relative importance of climate change and population growth for exposure to future extreme droughts
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1716-z

Future heat-related climate change impacts on tourism industry in Cyprus
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0997-0

Assessing the impacts of temperature variations on rice yield in China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1707-0

Temperature and precipitation effects on agrarian economy in late imperial China (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064008/meta

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | 2 Comments »

New research, June 6, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 6, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Isolating the Temperature Feedback Loop and Its Effects on Surface Temperature
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0287.1

Changes in anthropogenic carbon storage in the Northeast Pacific in the last decade
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011775/abstract

Tropical amphibians in shifting thermal landscapes under land use and climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cobi.12769/abstract

Climate change impacts on wildlife in a High Arctic archipelago – Svalbard, Norway
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13381/abstract

Modelling interannual variation in the spring and autumn land surface phenology of the European forest (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3305/2016/

Disturbance and the Carbon Balance of US Forests: A Quantitative Review of Impacts from Harvests, Fires, Insects, and Droughts
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301892

Vulnerabilities of macrophytes distribution due to climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1837-3

Melt onset over Arctic sea ice controlled by atmospheric moisture transport
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069330/abstract

Using timing of ice retreat to predict timing of fall freeze-up in the Arctic
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069314/abstract

Time forecast of a break-off event from a hanging glacier (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1191/2016/

Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1708-z

Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3200-x

Fast–slow climate dynamics and peak global warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3202-8

The Atlanto-Pacific multidecade oscillation and its imprint on the global temperature record
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3179-3

Tropical climate variability: interactions across the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3199-z

On Cold Spells in North America and Storminess in Western Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069392/abstract

Interdecadal Change in Tropical Pacific Precipitation Anomaly Pattern around the late-1990s during Boreal Spring
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0462.1

Tropospheric circulation during the early twentieth century Arctic warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3212-6

Estimation of sampling error uncertainties in observed surface air temperature change in China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1836-4

Seasonality of Global and Arctic Black Carbon Processes in the AMAP Models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024849/abstract

Tambora 1815 as a test case for high impact volcanic eruptions: Earth system effects (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.407/abstract

1200 years of warm-season temperature variability in central Scandinavia inferred from tree-ring density (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1297/2016/

A 2000-year temperature reconstruction in the Animaqin Mountains of the Tibet Plateau, China
http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2016/06/03/0959683616646187.abstract

A refined method for calculating paleotemperatures from linear correlations in bamboo coral carbon and oxygen isotopes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016PA002931/abstract

Vulnerability of and risk to water resources in arid and semi-arid regions of West China under a scenario of climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1709-y

Climate change adaptation: factors influencing Chinese smallholder farmers’ perceived self-efficacy and adaptation intent
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0975-6

Impacts of drought and responses of rural populations in West Africa: a systematic review
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.411/abstract

Local communities’ belief in climate change in a rural region of Sub-Saharan Africa
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9816-5

Modelling climate change impacts on viticultural yield, phenology and stress conditions in Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13382/abstract

Interactive effects of temperature and drought on cassava growth and toxicity: implications for food security?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13380/abstract

Visual climate change art 2005–2015: discourse and practice
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.400/abstract

Nitrogen fertilization challenges the climate benefit of cellulosic biofuels (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064007/meta

Making sense of climate risk information: the case of future indoor climate risks in Swedish churches
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096316300110

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New research, June 2, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 2, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

No significant increase in long-term CH4 emissions on North Slope of Alaska despite significant increase in air temperature
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069292/abstract

Evidence for methane production by the marine algae Emiliania huxleyi (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3163/2016/

Southern Ocean warming delayed by circumpolar upwelling and equatorward transport
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2731.html

Circulation and meltwater distribution in the Bellingshausen Sea: from shelf break to coast
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068998/abstract

Ice flow dynamics and mass loss of Totten Glacier, East Antarctica from 1989 to 2015
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069173/abstract

Extraordinary runoff from the Greenland ice sheet in 2012 amplified by hypsometry and depleted firn retention (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1147/2016/

Modeling of ocean-induced ice melt rates of five West Greenland glaciers over the past two decades
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068784/abstract

Historic drought puts the brakes on earthflows in Northern California
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068378/abstract

Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064006/meta

A new method for generating the thermal growing degree-days and season in China during the last century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4781/abstract

Impact of pollen resources drift on common bumble bees in NW Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13373/abstract

Scale dependence of temperature as an abiotic driver of species’ distributions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12463/abstract

Effect of water temperature on survival of early-life stages of marbled flounder Pseudopleuronectes yokohamae in Tokyo Bay, Japan
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113616300939

Geospatial assessment of long-term changes in carbon stocks and fluxes in forests of India (1930–2013)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301163

Modelling impact of freezing temperatures on reproductive organs of deciduous fruit trees
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316302581

Distribution ranges and spring phenology explain late frost sensitivity in 170 woody plants from the Northern Hemisphere
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12466/abstract

Colony-specific calcification and mortality under ocean acidification in the branching coral Montipora digitata
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113616300940

Vulnerability of a semi-enclosed estuarine sea to ocean acidification in contrast with hypoxia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068996/abstract

Space-based detection of missing sulfur dioxide sources of global air pollution
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2724.html

Arctic sea surface height variability and change from satellite radar altimetry and GRACE, 2003-2014
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011579/abstract

Revealing the early ice flow patterns with historical Declassified Intelligence Satellite Photographs back to 1960s
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068990/abstract

Global snow cover estimation with Microwave Brightness Temperature measurements and one-class in situ observations
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302036

Eroding permafrost coasts release low amounts of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from ground ice into the nearshore zone of the Arctic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005337/abstract

Glacial onset predated Late Ordovician climate cooling
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016PA002928/abstract

Learning the hard way: a case study of an attempt at agricultural transformation in response to climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1698-x

Farmer perceptions of climate change: Associations with observed temperature and precipitation trends, irrigation, and climate beliefs
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300620

Climate change impacts on rainfed cropping production systems in the tropics and the case of smallholder farms in North-west Cambodia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9818-3

Heterogeneous Beliefs and Climate Catastrophes
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-016-0036-0

Green and cool roofs to mitigate urban heat island effects in the Chicago metropolitan area: evaluation with a regional climate model (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064004/meta

Bias present in US federal agency power plant CO2 emissions data and implications for the US clean power plan (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064005/meta

Exploring the causal relationship between carbon emissions and land urbanization quality in China using a panel data analysis
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9813-8

CO2 emission and economic growth in Algeria
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302713

Mode of action uncovered for the specific reduction of methane emissions from ruminants by the small molecule 3-nitrooxypropanol
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/22/6172.short

Impacts of artificial ocean alkalinization on the carbon cycle and climate in Earth system simulations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068576/abstract

A global life cycle assessment for primary zinc production
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1131-8

Life cycle assessment of consumption choices: a comparison between disposable and rechargeable household batteries
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1134-5

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New research, May 27, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 27, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Constraints on climate sensitivity from space-based measurements of low-cloud reflection
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0897.1

Role of Indian Ocean SST Variability on the Recent Global Warming Hiatus
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300412

Observed concentration budgets of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0121.1

Dynamic preconditioning of the minimum September sea-ice extent
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0515.1

Modeling debris-covered glaciers: response to steady debris deposition (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1105/2016/

The climatic mass balance of Svalbard glaciers: a 10-year simulation with a coupled atmosphere–glacier mass balance model (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1089/2016/

Ecosystem impacts of climate extremes crucially depend on the timing
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/21/5768.short

Changes in winter warming events in the Nordic Arctic Region
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0763.1

Spectral analysis of sea level during the altimetry era, and evidence for GIA and glacial melting fingerprints
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301862

Recent slowing of Atlantic overturning circulation as a recovery from earlier strengthening
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2715.html

Observational Advances in Estimates of Oceanic Heating
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-016-0037-7

Spatial Redistribution of USA Tornado Activity between 1954 and 2013
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0342.1

Modeling financial losses resulting from tornadoes in European countries
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0036.1

Future acidification of marginal seas: A comparative study of the Japan/ East Sea and the South China Sea
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068760/abstract

Overlooked methane transport process controls significant portion of a wetland’s methane emissions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068782/abstract

Climate change and the long-term viability of the World’s busiest heavy haul ice road (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1830-x

Urban effects on summertime air temperature in Germany under climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4748/abstract

Variability of growing degree days in Poland in response to ongoing climate changes in Europe (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1190-3

Impact of climate variability and anthropogenic activity on streamflow in the Three Rivers Headwater Region, Tibetan Plateau, China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1833-7

Can the Tibetan Plateau snow cover influence the interannual variations of Eurasian heat wave frequency?
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2775-y

Risk factors for deaths during the 2009 heat wave in Adelaide, Australia: a matched case-control study
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1189-9

The influence of soil moisture deficits on Australian heatwaves (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064003/meta

Warm spring reduced carbon cycle impact of the 2012 US summer drought
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/21/5880.short

Local short-term variability in solar irradiance (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/6365/2016/

The Last Millennium Climate Reanalysis Project: Framework and First Results
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024751/abstract

Human adaptation to mid- to late-Holocene climate change in Northeast Thailand
http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2016/05/25/0959683616645947.abstract

Onset and demise of Cretaceous Oceanic Anoxic Events: the coupling of surface and bottom oceanic processes in two pelagic basins of the western Tethys
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002922/abstract

Prebiotic chemistry and atmospheric warming of early Earth by an active young Sun
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2719.html

Time series analysis of satellite data reveals continuous deforestation of New England since the 1980s (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064002/meta

A critical analysis of energy efficiency improvement potentials in Taiwan’s cement industry
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302555

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New research, May 23, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 23, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007/meta

When will unusual heat waves become normal in a warming Africa? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054016/meta

Attribution of the spring snow cover extent decline in the Northern Hemisphere, Eurasia and North America to anthropogenic influence
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1632-2

Future land-use related water demand in California (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054018/meta

Detection of anthropogenic influence on the intensity of extreme temperatures in China
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4771/abstract

Linear Additive Impacts of Arctic Sea Ice Reduction and La Niña on Northern Hemispheric Winter Climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0416.1

Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054011/meta

Climate change and ecosystem services
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.404/abstract

Long-term climate impacts on breeding bird phenology in Pennsylvania, USA
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13363/abstract

A novel analysis of spring phenological patterns over Europe based on co-clustering
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003308/abstract

Urban heat island impacts on plant phenology: intra-urban variability and response to land cover (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054023/meta

Interactions between urban vegetation and surface urban heat islands: a case study in the Boston metropolitan region (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054020/meta

Temperature affects the morphology and calcification of Emiliania huxleyi strains (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2913/2016/

Bud break responds more strongly to daytime than nighttime temperature under asymmetric experimental warming
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13360/abstract

Enhancement of non-CO2 radiative forcing via intensified carbon cycle feedbacks (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068964/abstract

Surface air temperature variability and trends in the Arctic: new amplification assessment and regionalisation (open access)
http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/28234

Future Arctic Temperature Change resulting from a Range of Aerosol Emissions Scenarios (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000361/abstract

Quantifying Greenland freshwater flux underestimates in climate models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068878/abstract

Four-decade record of pervasive grounding line retreat along the Bellingshausen margin of West Antarctica
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068972/abstract

A lagrangian view of longwave radiative fluxes for understanding the direct heating response to a CO2 increase
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024738/abstract

The Role of Large-Scale Feedbacks in Cumulus Convection Parameter Estimation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0117.1

Multi-annual ocean-atmosphere adjustments to radiative forcing
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0312.1

Impact of synoptic atmospheric forcing on the mean ocean circulation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0819.1

On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions during periods of net negative CO2 emissions (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055006/meta

Climate change and projections for the Barents region: what is expected to change and what will stay the same? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054017/meta

Regime shift of the South China Sea SST in the late 1990s
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3178-4

Spatiotemporal investigation of long-term seasonal temperature variability in Libya
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809516301119

Temporal variations of atmospheric CO2 and CO at Ahmedabad in western India (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/6153/2016/

Mapping global patterns of drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of hazard, exposure and vulnerability
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300565

Impacts of the superimposed climate trends on droughts over 1961–2013 in Xinjiang, China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1822-x

Crop connectivity under climate change: future environmental and geographic risks of potato late blight in Scotland
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13368/abstract

Importance of soil thermal regime in terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics in the circumpolar north
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301539

Radiocarbon in dissolved organic carbon of the Atlantic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068746/abstract

The urban cool island phenomenon in a high-rise high-density city and its mechanisms
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4747/abstract

Regional influences of natural external forcings on the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0599.1

Coral Sr-U Thermometry
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002908/abstract

Resources of dark skies in German climatic health resorts
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1187-y

Climate change, malaria, and public health: accounting for socioeconomic contexts in past debates and future research
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.406/abstract

The politicization of climate change: problem or solution?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.405/abstract

From dwindling ice to headwater lakes: could dams replace glaciers in the European Alps? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054022/meta

China’s goal to increase non-fossil energy sources (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927816300090

Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2°C target (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13340/abstract

Spatially explicit estimates of N2O emissions from croplands suggest climate mitigation opportunities from improved fertilizer management
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13341/abstract

The durability of building materials under a changing climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.398/abstract

Impacts of adaptation and responsibility framings on attitudes towards climate change mitigation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1627-z

(Mis)communicating climate change? Why online adaptation databases may fail to catalyze adaptation action
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.401/abstract

Addressing the risk of maladaptation to climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.409/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 16, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 16, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Geophysical constraints on the Antarctic sea ice cover
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301481

Australasian temperature reconstructions spanning the last millennium
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00781.1

Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13302/abstract

Simulated response of the Pacific decadal oscillation to climate change
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0690.1

Sensitivity of global ocean heat content from reanalyses to the Atmospheric reanalysis forcing: A comparative study
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068605/abstract

Influences of riverine and upwelling waters on the coastal carbonate system off Central Chile, and their ocean acidification implications
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003213/abstract

Ocean acidification: assessing the vulnerability of socioeconomic systems in Small Island Developing States
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0949-8

On the stability and spatiotemporal variance distribution of salinity in the upper ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011523/abstract

Arctic layer salinity controls heat loss from deep Atlantic layer in seasonally ice-covered areas of the Barents Sea
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068421/abstract

Expansion of denitrification and anoxia in the eastern tropical North Pacific from 1972 – 2012http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068871/abstract

Climate change reduces warming potential of nitrous oxide by an enhanced Brewer-Dobson circulation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068390/abstract

Fast responses of climate system to carbon dioxide, aerosols and sulfate aerosols without the mediation of SST in the CMIP5
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4763/abstract

Estimation of global black carbon direct radiative forcing and its uncertainty constrained by observations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024326/abstract

The Influence of Southern Ocean Winds on the North Atlantic Carbon Sink
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005364/abstract

Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO2 exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (open access)
http://www.tellusb.net/index.php/tellusb/article/view/28968

Impacts of land use, restoration, and climate change on tropical peat carbon stocks in the twenty-first century: implications for climate mitigation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-016-9712-1

Carbon dioxide and methane supersaturation in lakes of semi-humid/semi-arid region, Northeastern China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231016303442

Equatorward phytoplankton migration during a cold spell within the Late Cretaceous super-greenhouse (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2859/2016/

Circumpolar vegetation dynamics product for global change study
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301869

Integrating parameter uncertainty of a process-based model in assessments of climate change effects on forest productivity
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1694-1

The Effect of Competition on Responses to Drought and Inter-annual Climate Variability of a Dominant Conifer Tree of Western North America
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12604/abstract

Evaluating confidence in climate-based predictions of population change in a migratory species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12461/abstract

Distribution, attribution, and radiative forcing of snow cover changes over China from 1982 to 2013
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1688-z

Climate change impact on the roles of temperature and precipitation in western U.S. snowpack variability
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068798/abstract

Impacts of recent climate change on trends in baseflow and stormflow in United States watersheds
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069121/abstract

Assessing the health effects of climate change in Alaska with community-based surveillance
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1687-0

Climate change amplifies gross nitrogen turnover in montane grasslands of Central Europe both in summer and winter seasons
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13353/abstract

Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0890-2

Climate change adaptation: a panacea for food security in Ondo State, Nigeria
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1825-7

A study on the enhancing earthquake frequency in northern Pakistan: is the climate change responsible?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-016-2226-z

Climate change impact assessments on the water resources of India under extensive human interventions
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-016-0784-7

Climatic changes and their impact on socio-economic sectors in the Bhutan Himalayas: an implementation strategy
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0868-0

Present climate and future projections of the thermal comfort index for the metropolitan region of São Paulo, Brazil
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1690-5

Large-scale impact of climate change versus land-use change on future biome shifts in Latin America
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13355/abstract

Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00089.1

Atmospheric changes caused by galactic cosmic rays over the period 1960–2010 (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5853/2016/

Past ice-sheet behaviour: retreat scenarios and changing controls in the Ross Sea, Antarctica (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1003/2016/

Combining lake core records with the limnologic model DYRESM-CAEDYM to evaluate lake response during the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10933-016-9893-3

Multi-method observation and analysis of a tsunami caused by glacier calving (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/995/2016/

A statistical framework for estimating air temperature using MODIS land surface temperature data
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4766/abstract

Illuminating the capabilities of Landsat 8 for mapping night lights
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301857

Climate adaptation of food value chains: the implications of varying consumer acceptance
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0976-5

The Carbon Ask: effects of climate policy on the value of fossil fuel resources and the implications for technological innovation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13412-016-0397-2

Renewable energy deployment in Europe up to 2030 and the aim of a triple dividend
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302397

The effectiveness of China’s wind power policy: An empirical analysis
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302415

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 12, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 12, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

The Super Greenhouse effect in a changing climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0234.1

The dynamics of the warming hiatus over the Northern Hemisphere
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3085-8

2014, The “year without a summer” in Italy: news media coverage and implications for the climate change debate
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9805-8

Comparison of Climate Response to Anthropogenic Aerosol versus Greenhouse Gas Forcing: Distinct Patterns
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0106.1

What Caused the Recent “Warm Arctic, Cold Continents” Trend Pattern in Winter Temperatures?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069024/abstract

An ongoing shift in Pacific Ocean sea level
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011815/abstract

Quantifying atmospheric methane emissions from oil and natural gas production in the Bakken shale region of North Dakota
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024631/abstract

Methane fluxes from the sea to the atmosphere across the Siberian shelf seas
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068977/abstract

Decadal trends in air-sea CO2 exchange in the Ross Sea (Antarctica)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069071/abstract

Evidence of recent changes in the ice regime of lakes in the Canadian High Arctic from spaceborne satellite observations (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/941/2016/

Voltinism and resilience to climate-induced phenological mismatch
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1691-4

Climate regulates alpine lake ice cover phenology and aquatic ecosystem structure
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069036/abstract

Phenology and species determine growing-season albedo increase at the altitudinal limit of shrub growth in the sub-Arctic
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13297/abstract

Larval connectivity across temperature gradients, and its potential effect on heat tolerance in coral populations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13347/abstract

Regional atmospheric cooling and wetting effect of permafrost thaw-induced boreal forest loss
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13348/abstract

Natural hazards in Australia: floods
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1689-y

Relative Roles of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases in Land and Oceanic Monsoon Changes during Past 156 years in CMIP5 Models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069282/abstract

Early Summer Response of the East Asian Summer Monsoon to Atmospheric CO2 Forcing and Subsequent Sea Surface Warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0649.1

The main characteristics of atmospheric circulation over East-Central Europe from 1871 to 2010
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00703-016-0455-z

A climatology of clouds in marine cold air outbreaks in both hemispheres
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0783.1

Thermohaline Instability and the Formation of Glacial North Atlantic Super Polynyas at the Onset of Dansgaard-Oeschger Warming Events
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068891/abstract

Ice core reconstruction of sea ice change in the Amundsen-Ross Seas since 1702 AD
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068130/abstract

Spatial climate dynamics in the Iberian Peninsula since 15 000 yr BP (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1137/2016/

The impact of Southern Ocean residual upwelling on atmospheric CO2 on centennial and millennial timescales
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3163-y

A review of potential physical impacts on harbours in the Mediterranean Sea under climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0972-9

The energy requirements of a developed world
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0973082616301892

Nuclear and intermittent renewables: Two compatible supply options? The case of the French power mix
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302063

Connecting Climate Information Producers and Users: Boundary Organization, Knowledge Networks, and Information Brokers at Caribbean Climate Outlook Forums
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0076.1

Weather Effects on Social Movements: Evidence from Washington D.C. and New York City, 1960-1995
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0072.1

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 6, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 6, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Evidence for the role of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and the ocean heat uptake in hiatus prediction
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1818-6

Reduction of climate sensitivity to solar forcing due to stratospheric ozone feedback
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0721.1

Statistical structure of intrinsic climate variability under global warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0505.1

Understanding the rapid summer warming and changes in temperature extremes since the mid-1990s over Western Europe
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3158-8

The extreme European summer of 2015 in a long-term perspective
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4751/abstract

Reconstructed and simulated temperature asymmetry between continents in both hemispheres over the last centuries
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3154-z

Cenozoic mean GHG and temperature changes with reference to the Anthropocene
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13342/abstract

Effects of melting ice sheets and orbital forcing on the early Holocene warming in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1119/2016/

Do climate models reproduce complexity of observed sea level changes ?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068971/abstract

Climate change, multiple stressors and human vulnerability: a systematic review
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0974-7

Impacts of temperature change on ambulance dispatches and seasonal effect modification
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1173-4

How Do Green Roofs Mitigate Urban Thermal Stress under Heat Waves?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024873/abstract

Global impact of tropical cyclones on primary production
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005214/abstract

Biome-specific scaling of ocean productivity, temperature, and carbon export efficiency
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068778/abstract

Impact of water table level on annual carbon and greenhouse gas balances of a restored peat extraction area (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2637/2016/

Differential response of alpine steppe and alpine meadow to climate warming in the central Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316302076

Foraging behaviour, swimming performance and malformations of early stages of commercially important fishes under ocean acidification and warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1682-5

Climate-driven changes to ocean circulation and their inferred impacts on marine dispersal patterns
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12456/abstract

Potential trends in snowmelt generated peak streamflows in a warming climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068935/abstract

Drinking water vulnerability to climate change and alternatives for adaptation in coastal South and South East Asia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1617-1

Simulating the extreme 2013/14 winter in a future climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024492/abstract

Midlatitude cloud shifts, their primary link to the Hadley cell, and their diverse radiative effects
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068242/abstract

Daytime Cirrus Cloud Top-of-Atmosphere Radiative Forcing Properties at a Midlatitude Site and their Global Consequence
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0217.1

The influence of continental shelf bathymetry on Antarctic Ice Sheet response to climate forcing
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300916

Adjustment of regional climate model output for modeling the climatic mass balance of all glaciers on Svalbard
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024380/abstract

Greenland Blocking Index 1851–2015: a regional climate change signal (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4673/abstract

Intensification of the Western North Pacific Anticyclone Response to the Short Decaying El Niño Event due to Greenhouse Warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0195.1

Does vertical temperature gradient of the atmosphere matter for El Niño development?
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3149-9

An Observational Analysis: Tropical Relative to Arctic influence on Mid-latitude Weather in the Era of Arctic Amplification
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069102/abstract

Changes of storm properties in the United States: Observations and multimodel ensemble projections
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300722

Detecting long-term changes in point-source fossil CO2 emissions with tree ring archives (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5481/2016/

Collective responsibility amplifies mitigation behaviors
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1670-9

The influence of economic growth, population, and fossil fuel scarcity on energy investments
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0902-5

Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0923-0

The effect of African growth on future global energy, emissions, and regional development
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0964-4

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

 
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