AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

Archive for November, 2015

New research, November 30, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 30, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C (open access)

How increasing CO2 leads to an increased negative greenhouse effect in Antarctica

Early Warning Signals for Abrupt Change Raise False Alarms During Sea Ice Loss

Variability and evolution of global land surface phenology over the past three decades (1982-2012)

Top ten European heatwaves since 1950 and their occurrence in the coming decades (open access)

Anthropogenic aerosol deposition reduces the sensitivity of oceanic productivity to warming

Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice during the last glacial

On the enigmatic similarity in Greenland δ18O between the Oldest and Younger Dryas

Revealing glacier flow and surge dynamics from animated satellite image sequences: examples from the Karakoram (open access)

Transitivity of the climate–vegetation system in a warm climate (open access)

Does GOSAT capture the true seasonal cycle of carbon dioxide? (open access)

Hurricane Names: A Bunch of Hot Air? (open access)

Bite without Bark: How The socioeconomic context of the 1950s U.S. drought minimized responses to a multiyear extreme climate event (open access)

Glaciomorphological Map of the Russian Federation

Drought stress impacts of climate change on rainfed rice in South Asia

Temperature, extreme precipitation, and diurnal rainfall changes in the urbanized Jakarta city during the past 130 years

Climate-induced mortality of spruce stands in Belarus (open access)

Land use patterns and related carbon losses following deforestation in South America (open access)

Potential emissions of CO2 and methane from proved reserves of fossil fuels: An alternative analysis

Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings (open access)

Changes in the 1963–2013 shallow ground thermal regime in Russian permafrost regions (open access)

Energy use, blue water footprint, and greenhouse gas emissions for current food consumption patterns and dietary recommendations in the US

Switching from fossil fuel to renewables in residential heating systems: An empirical study of homeowners’ decisions in Germany

Freshwater biota and rising pCO2?

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, November 24, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 24, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Global impacts of the 1980s regime shift (open access)

Climate change as a migration driver from rural and urban Mexico (open access)

Potential impacts of climate change on vegetation dynamics in Central Asia

A New method for identifying possible causal relationships between CO2, total solar irradiance and global temperature change

Fast and slow climate responses to CO2 and solar forcing: A linear multivariate regression model characterizing transient climate change

Predicting the maximum amplitude of solar cycle 25 and its timing

Evidence of a decadal solar signal in the Amazon River: 1903 to 2013

Decadal variability of upper ocean heat content in the Pacific: Responding to the 11-year solar cycle

Long-term variations in global sea level extremes

Ocean versus atmosphere control on western European wintertime temperature variability

Spectral characteristics of instrumental and climate model surface temperatures

Preaching to different choirs: How to motivate dismissive, uncommitted, and alarmed audiences to adapt to climate change?

Integrated radar and lidar analysis reveals extensive loss of remaining intact forest on Sumatra 2007–2010 (open access)

Global weather and local butterflies: variable responses to a large-scale climate pattern along an elevational gradient

Temperature changes derived from phenological and natural evidence in South Central China from 1850 to 2008 (open access)

Indications for a North Atlantic ocean circulation regime shift at the onset of the Little Ice Age

Air pollution and climate response to aerosol direct radiative effects: a modeling study of decadal trends across the northern hemisphere

Assessing the role of precursor cyclones on the formation of extreme Greenland blocking episodes and their impact on summer melting across the Greenland ice sheet

OMI total column ozone: extending the long-term data record (open access)

The changing ozone depletion potential of N2O in a future climate

First surface velocity maps for glaciers of Monte Tronador, North Patagonian Andes, derived from sequential Pléiades satellite images

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, November 19, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 19, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Regional dependence in the timing of onset of rapid decline in Arctic sea ice concentration

Can we map the interannual variability of the whole upper Southern Ocean with the current database of hydrographic observations?

An impulse response function for the ‘long tail’ of excess atmospheric CO2 in an Earth system model

The relationship between inter-annual and long-term cloud feedbacks

Clouds and the atmospheric circulation response to warming

The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on climate through its influence on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Changes in climate extremes and catastrophic events in the Mongolian Plateau from 1951 to 2012

An Initial Study on Climate Change Fingerprinting Using The Reflected Solar Spectra

Antarctic sea ice response to weather and climate modes of variability

Estimation of continuous anthropogenic CO2: model-based evaluation of CO2, CO, δ13C(CO2) and Δ14C(CO2) tracer methods (open access)

Radiative forcing and climate response to projected 21st century aerosol decreases (open access)

Climate response to Amazon forest replacement by heterogeneous crop cover (open access)

The effects of global change upon United States air quality (open access)

Timing of rice maturity in China is affected more by transplanting date than by climate change

Impacts, risks, and governance of climate engineering (open access)

Review: Potential catastrophic reduction of sea ice in the western Arctic Ocean: Its impact on biogeochemical cycles and marine ecosystems

The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review (open access)

Farmer’s intended and actual adoption of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies (open access)

Improving the estimation of the true mean monthly and true mean annual air temperatures in Greece (open access)

Heat content of the Arabian Sea Mini Warm Pool is increasing (open access)

Projections for the duration and degree days of the thermal growing season in Europe derived from CMIP5 model output

Global energy budgets and “Trenberth diagrams” for the climates of terrestrial and gas giant planets

Recent changes in Arctic temperature extremes: warm and cold spells during winter and summer (open access)

Why Finance Ministers Favor Carbon Taxes, Even If They Do Not Take Climate Change into Account

A probabilistic analysis of cumulative carbon emissions and long-term planetary warming (open access)

Nitrogen deposition and its effect on carbon storage in Chinese forests during 1981–2010

Environmental impacts of German food consumption and food losses

Between redeemer and work of the devil: The transnational Brazilian biofuel discourse

Temperature driven changes in the diet preference of omnivorous copepods: no more meat when it’s hot?

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, November 13, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 13, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Distinct energy budgets for anthropogenic and natural changes during global warming hiatus

Conceptual model analysis of the influence of temperature feedbacks on polar amplification

On Anomalous Ocean Heat Transport toward the Arctic and Associated Climate Predictability

Differences Between Conservatives and Liberals in Information Seeking Behavior and Perceived Risks Associated with Climate-driven Changes to Local Forest Conditions

Does the NMME Capture a Recent Decadal Shift Toward Increasing Drought Occurrence in the Southwestern US?

The transient and equilibrium climate response to rapid summertime sea ice loss in CCSM4

The global land shortwave cryosphere radiative effect during the MODIS era (open access)

Reducing uncertainties in projections of Antarctic ice mass loss (open access)

Putting the clouds back in aerosol–cloud interactions (open access)

Coastal lagoons and rising sea level: A review

Land surface phenology of China’s temperate ecosystems over 1999–2013: Spatial–temporal patterns, interaction effects, covariation with climate and implications for productivity

Is there a transition of solar radiation from dimming to brightening over India?

Re-estimation of glacier mass loss in Greenland from GRACE with correction of land-ocean leakage effects

Approaches to Observe Anthropogenic Aerosol-Cloud Interactions (open access)

What shapes perceptions of climate change? New research since 2010

Tropical cyclones and climate change

Climate change and larval-transport in the ocean: Fractional effects from physical and physiological factors

On assessment of the relationship between changes of sea ice extent and climate in the Arctic

Multi-decadal shoreline changes in response to sea level rise in the Marshall Islands

Metropolitan foodsheds: a resilient response to the climate change challenge?

Mediterranean climate future: an insightful look into the Basin’s precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing (open access)

Biogenic acidification reduces sea urchin gonad growth and increases susceptibility of aquaculture to ocean acidification

Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, November 7, 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on November 7, 2015

Some new papers from last few days:

Changing Amazon biomass and the role of atmospheric CO2 concentration, climate and land use

Loitering of the retreating sea ice edge in the Arctic Seas

Climatology and trends of tropical cyclone high wind in mainland China: 1959–2011

The relative contribution of orbital forcing and greenhouse gases to the North American deglaciation

How did ocean warming affect Australian rainfall extremes during the 2010/11 La Niña event?

Early Cenomanian “hot greenhouse” revealed by oxygen isotope record of exceptionally well-preserved foraminifera from Tanzania

Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica (open access)

Seasonal and interannual variability of fast ice extent in the southeastern Laptev Sea between 1999 and 2013

Atmospheric energy transport to the Arctic 1979-2012 (open access)

Mass balance of the Sør Rondane glacial system, East Antarctica

Large-scale reconstruction of accumulation rates in northern Greenland from radar data

Sensitivities of glacier mass balance and runoff to climate perturbations in Norway

Temperature distribution and thermal anomalies along a flowline of the Greenland ice sheet

Greenland high-elevation mass balance: inference and implication of reference period (1961–90) imbalance

Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning

Characterizing the Hadley circulation response through regional climate feedbacks

Elevation change of the Greenland Ice Sheet due to surface mass balance and firn processes, 1960–2014 (open access)

Conclusion to the special issue: Observed and projected changes in weather and climate extremes (open access)

An Overview of Weather and Climate Extremes – Products and Trends (open access)

Chemical weathering and consumption of atmospheric carbon dioxide in the Alpine region

Intercomparison of the temperature contrast between the arctic and equator in the pre- and post periods of the 1976/1977 regime shift

Climate change impacts on ecosystems and ecosystem services in the United States: process and prospects for sustained assessment

Temporal evolution of Hudson Bay Sea Ice (1971–2011)

Mapping current and future potential snakebite risk in the new world

Detection and attribution of the effects of climate change on bat distributions over the last 50 years

Recent Developments in Bayesian Estimation of Climate Sensitivity

Canopy leaf area of a mature evergreen Eucalyptus woodland does not respond to elevated atmospheric [CO2] but tracks water availability

Local indicators of climate change: the potential contribution of local knowledge to climate research

Reconstruction and homogenization of the longest instrumental precipitation series in the Iberian Peninsula (Barcelona, 1786–2014)

Novel wildlife in the Arctic: the influence of changing riparian ecosystems and shrub habitat expansion on snowshoe hares

Decadal changes in radiative fluxes at land and ocean surfaces and their relevance for global warming (open access)

Detection and attribution of regional CO2 concentration anomalies using surface observations

Life cycle assessment of energy generation in Poland (open access)

Leave before it’s too late: Anthropogenic and environmental triggers of autumn migration in a hunted ungulate population

Contrasting synchrony in root and leaf phenology across multiple sub-Arctic plant communities

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

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