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New research – climate change impacts on mankind (July 28, 2016)

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on July 28, 2016

Some of the latest papers on climate change impacts on mankind are shown below. First a few highlighted papers with abstracts and then a list of some other papers. If this subject interests you, be sure to check also the other papers – they are by no means less interesting than the highlighted ones.

Highlights

Attributing human mortality during extreme heat waves to anthropogenic climate change (Mitchell et al. 2016)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074006/meta

Abstract: It has been argued that climate change is the biggest global health threat of the 21st century. The extreme high temperatures of the summer of 2003 were associated with up to seventy thousand excess deaths across Europe. Previous studies have attributed the meteorological event to the human influence on climate, or examined the role of heat waves on human health. Here, for the first time, we explicitly quantify the role of human activity on climate and heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework, analysing both the Europe-wide temperature response in 2003, and localised responses over London and Paris. Using publicly-donated computing, we perform many thousands of climate simulations of a high-resolution regional climate model. This allows generation of a comprehensive statistical description of the 2003 event and the role of human influence within it, using the results as input to a health impact assessment model of human mortality. We find large-scale dynamical modes of atmospheric variability remain largely unchanged under anthropogenic climate change, and hence the direct thermodynamical response is mainly responsible for the increased mortality. In summer 2003, anthropogenic climate change increased the risk of heat-related mortality in Central Paris by ~70% and by ~20% in London, which experienced lower extreme heat. Out of the estimated ~315 and ~735 summer deaths attributed to the heatwave event in Greater London and Central Paris, respectively, 64 (±3) deaths were attributable to anthropogenic climate change in London, and 506 (±51) in Paris. Such an ability to robustly attribute specific damages to anthropogenic drivers of increased extreme heat can inform societal responses to, and responsibilities for, climate change.

Climate change and migration in the Pacific: options for Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands (Constable, 2016)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1004-5

Abstract: As climate change impacts, particularly rising sea levels, manifest there is a high probability that some island populations will be faced with the need to relocate. This article discusses several discourses around migration options for people affected by climate change impacts in small island developing states. Options currently available to citizens of the Pacific nations of Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands are explored, including the perspective that high levels of customary land tenure in the Pacific are a barrier to permanent movement to other Pacific countries. Migration to Pacific Rim countries such as Australia, New Zealand and the USA is complicated by strict migration eligibility criteria, which often require proof of language abilities and income, and may restrict the number of accompanying dependants. The Compact of Free Association provides visa-free entry to the USA for citizens of the Marshall Islands, but the lack of financial assistance restricts eligibility to those with existing financial resources or family networks that can provide access to capital. The difficulty of directly attributing single weather/climate events to climate change hinders the formulation of a definition of climate change-related migration. This obstacle in turn hinders the establishment of effective visa categories and migration routes for what is likely to become a growing number of people in coming decades.

Rural drinking water issues in India’s drought-prone area: a case of Maharashtra state (Udmale et al. 2016)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074013/meta

Abstract: Obtaining sufficient drinking water with acceptable quality under circumstances of lack, such as droughts, is a challenge in drought-prone areas of India. This study examined rural drinking water availability issues during a recent drought (2012) through 22 focus group discussions (FGDs) in a drought-prone catchment of India. Also, a small chemical water quality study was undertaken to evaluate the suitability of water for drinking purpose based on Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS). The drought that began in 2011 and further deteriorated water supplies in 2012 caused a rapid decline in reservoir storages and groundwater levels that led, in turn, to the failure of the public water supply systems in the Upper Bhima Catchment. Dried up and low-yield dug wells and borewells, tanker water deliveries from remote sources, untimely water deliveries, and degraded water quality were the major problems identified in the FGDs. In addition to severe drinking water scarcity during drought, the quality of the drinking water was found to be a major problem, and it apparently was neglected by local governments and users. Severe contamination of the drinking water with nitrate-nitrogen, ammonium-nitrogen, and chlorides was found in the analyzed drinking water samples. Hence, in addition to the water scarcity, the results of this study point to an immediate need to investigate the problem of contaminated drinking water sources while designing relief measures for drought-prone areas of India.

Climate change impacts on European agriculture revisited: adding the economic dimension of grasslands (Aghajanzadeh-Darzi et al. 2016)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1018-z

Abstract: Forage and more widely grassland systems are difficult to analyze in economic terms because a large proportion of what is produced is not marketed. Economic misestimation of these farm products may dramatically alter projected climate change impacts. This study estimates the economic value of grass and assesses the impact of climatic variations on grassland–livestock systems by taking various environmental and climatic factors into account. Accordingly, grass yield responses to nitrogen inputs (N-yield functions) have been simulated using the grassland biogeochemical PaSim model and then fed into the economic farm-type supply AROPAj model. We developed a computational method to estimate shadow prices of grass production, allowing us to better estimate the effects of climatic variability on grassland and crop systems. This approach has been used on a European scale under two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate scenarios (AR4 A2 and B1). Results show a significant change in land use over time. Accordingly, due to decreases in feed expenses, farmers may increase livestock, thereby increasing overall greenhouse gas emissions for all scenarios considered. As part of autonomous adaptation by farming systems, N-yield functions extending to pastures and fodders allow us to improve the model and to refine results when marketed and non-marketed crops are considered in a balanced way.

Impacts of Climate Change on the Collapse of Lowland Maya Civilization (Douglas et al. 2016)
http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-earth-060115-012512

Abstract: Paleoclimatologists have discovered abundant evidence that droughts coincided with collapse of the Lowland Classic Maya civilization, and some argue that climate change contributed to societal disintegration. Many archaeologists, however, maintain that drought cannot explain the timing or complex nature of societal changes at the end of the Classic Period, between the eighth and eleventh centuries ce. This review presents a compilation of climate proxy data indicating that droughts in the ninth to eleventh century were the most severe and frequent in Maya prehistory. Comparison with recent archaeological evidence, however, indicates an earlier beginning for complex economic and political processes that led to the disintegration of states in the southern region of the Maya lowlands that precedes major droughts. Nonetheless, drought clearly contributed to the unusual severity of the Classic Maya collapse, and helped to inhibit the type of recovery seen in earlier periods of Maya prehistory. In the drier northern Maya Lowlands, a later political collapse at ca. 1000 ce appears to be related to ongoing extreme drought. Future interdisciplinary research should use more refined climatological and archaeological data to examine the relationship between climate and social processes throughout the entirety of Maya prehistory.

Other papers

Death from respiratory diseases and temperature in Shiraz, Iran (2006–2011) (Dadbakhsh et al. 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1206-z

Food security in the face of climate change: Adaptive capacity of small-scale social-ecological systems to environmental variability (Pérez et al. 2016)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016301182

Precipitation Effects on Motor Vehicle Crashes Vary by Space, Time and Environmental Conditions (Tamerius et al. 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0009.1

The potential for adoption of climate smart agricultural practices in Sub-Saharan livestock systems (de Jalón et al. 2016)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1026-z

Can Gridded Precipitation Data and Phenological Observations Reduce Basis Risk of Weather Index-based Insurance? (Dalhaus et al. 2016)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0020.1

Sea surface temperature impacts on winter cropping systems in the Iberian Peninsula (Capa-Morocho et al. 2016)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316303045

Separating the effects of phenology and diffuse radiation on gross primary productivity in winter wheat (Williams et al. 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003317/abstract

Risk matrix approach useful in adapting agriculture to climate change (Cobon et al. 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1732-z

Heat-related mortality: Effect modification and adaptation in Japan from 1972 to 2010 (Ng et al. 2016)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300656

The effect of extreme cold temperatures on the risk of death in the two major Portuguese cities (Antunes et al. 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1196-x

Social and cultural issues raised by climate change in Pacific Island countries: an overview (Weir et al. 2016)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1012-5

Protein futures for Western Europe: potential land use and climate impacts in 2050 (Röös et al. 2016)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1013-4

“Climate change damages”, conceptualization of a legal notion with regard to reparation under international law (Kugler & Sariego, 2016)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096316300213

Temperature deviation index and elderly mortality in Japan (Lim et al. 2016)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-015-1091-x

Climatic influence on corn sowing date in the Midwestern United States (Choi et al. 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4799/abstract

New Zealand kiwifruit growers’ vulnerability to climate and other stressors (Cradock-Henry, 2016)
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1000-9

Climate change impacts and adaptive strategies: lessons from the grapevine (Mosedale et al. 2016)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13406/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research – climate change mitigation (July 25, 2016)

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on July 25, 2016

Some of the latest papers on climate change mitigation are shown below. First a few highlighted papers with abstracts and then a list of some other papers. If this subject interests you, be sure to check also the other papers – they are by no means less interesting than the highlighted ones.

Highlights

What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069563/abstract

Abstract: The 2015 Paris Agreement aims to limit warming to 2 or 1.5°C above preindustrial level, although combined Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) are likely insufficient to achieve these targets. We propose a set of idealized emission pathways consistent with the targets. If countries reduce emissions in line with their INDCs, the 2°C threshold could be avoided only if net zero greenhouse gas emissions (GHGEs) are achieved by 2085 and late century negative emissions are considerably in excess of those assumed in Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 (net −5 Gt CO2/yr, compared with −1.5 Gt CO2/yr in RCP2.6). More aggressive near-term reductions would allow 2°C to be avoided with less end-of-century carbon removal capacity. A 10% cut in GHGEs by 2030 (relative to 2015) could likely achieve 2°C with RCP2.6 level negative emissions. The 1.5°C target requires GHGEs to be reduced by almost a third by 2030 and net zero by 2050, while a 50 year overshoot of 1.5°C allows net zero GHGEs by 2060.

Productivity ranges of sustainable biomass potentials from non-agricultural land
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074026/meta

Abstract: Land is under pressure from a number of demands, including the need for increased supplies of bioenergy. While bioenergy is an important ingredient in many pathways compatible with reaching the 2 °C target, areas where cultivation of the biomass feedstock would be most productive appear to co-host other important ecosystems services. We categorize global geo-data on land availability into productivity deciles, and provide a geographically explicit assessment of potentials that are concurrent with EU sustainability criteria. The deciles unambiguously classify the global productivity range of potential land currently not in agricultural production for biomass cultivation. Results show that 53 exajoule (EJ) sustainable biomass potential are available from 167 million hectares (Mha) with a productivity above 10 tons of dry matter per hectare and year (tD Mha−1 a−1), while additional 33 EJ are available on 264 Mha with yields between 4 and 10 tD M ha−1 a−1: some regions lose less of their highly productive potentials to sustainability concerns than others and regional contributions to bioenergy potentials shift when less productive land is considered. Challenges to limit developments to the exploitation of sustainable potentials arise in Latin America, Africa and Developing Asia, while new opportunities emerge for Transition Economies and OECD countries to cultivate marginal land.

Understanding the nuclear controversy: An application of cultural theory
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303597

Abstract: The need for a secure and sustainable energy future has become firmly entrenched on the global political agenda. Governments worldwide are seeking solutions that will ensure security of their energy supplies, while reducing carbon emissions in the fight against climate change. Advocates of nuclear power have reframed the technology as the most reliable, cost-effective and immediate solution to both of these policy problems, and predicted the emergence of a ‘nuclear renaissance’. However, there is little evidence to date that suggests a nuclear renaissance has actually taken place. Public opinion polling demonstrates that many remain unconvinced of the need for nuclear power. This paper uses Cultural Theory as a heuristic to understand why the arguments for a nuclear renaissance have been largely unsuccessful. It argues that the failure of nuclear advocates to engage with a wider cross-section of world-views has prevented the controversy surrounding nuclear power from being resolved, and the nuclear renaissance from becoming a reality. In doing so, this paper builds upon a growing recognition of the contribution that social science research can make to understanding public acceptance of energy policy choices.

An overview of the Earth system science of solar geoengineering
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.423/abstract

Abstract: Solar geoengineering has been proposed as a means to cool the Earth by increasing the reflection of sunlight back to space, for example, by injecting reflective aerosol particles (or their precursors) into the lower stratosphere. Such proposed techniques would not be able to substitute for mitigation of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as a response to the risks of climate change, as they would only mask some of the effects of global warming. They might, however, eventually be applied as a complementary approach to reduce climate risks. Thus, the Earth system consequences of solar geoengineering are central to understanding its potentials and risks. Here we review the state-of-the-art knowledge about stratospheric sulfate aerosol injection and an idealized proxy for this, ‘sunshade geoengineering,’ in which the intensity of incoming sunlight is directly reduced in models. Studies are consistent in suggesting that sunshade geoengineering and stratospheric aerosol injection would generally offset the climate effects of elevated GHG concentrations. However, it is clear that a solar geoengineered climate would be novel in some respects, one example being a notably reduced hydrological cycle intensity. Moreover, we provide an overview of nonclimatic aspects of the response to stratospheric aerosol injection, for example, its effect on ozone, and the uncertainties around its consequences. We also consider the issues raised by the partial control over the climate that solar geoengineering would allow. Finally, this overview highlights some key research gaps in need of being resolved to provide sound basis for guidance of future decisions around solar geoengineering.

Pacific Islanders’ understanding of climate change: Where do they source information and to what extent do they trust it?
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-1001-8

Abstract: The experience of environmental stress and attitudes towards climate change was explored for 1226 students at the University of the South Pacific, the foremost tertiary institution serving the independent nations of the Pacific. Students sourced information regarding climate change from media including television, radio, and newspapers; the community (typically via their village, church, and extended family); the University and their friends; and in addition to regional agencies such as the Pacific Community. Most students concluded that they could not believe all of the informations provided by these sources. The findings demonstrate that most students—the future elite of the region—rank global environmental change as the highest future risk. Although nearly all respondents believed that climate change was happening, more than half of respondents believed that the risk was exaggerated and only one-third believed that science would find an answer, suggesting a lack of trust in scientific sources of information. Results also showed that these attitudes varied across demographic factors such as age, region, and gender. The understanding of contemporary attitudes towards global environmental change among a cohort that is likely to include future national leaders in the Pacific Islands region presents unique opportunities for long-range planning of intervention and support strategies. Of particular note for effective intervention and support is the breadth and trustworthiness of various information sources including Pacific Island leaders.

Other papers

What are the limits to oil palm expansion?
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300814

Risks affecting the biofuels industry: A US and Canadian company perspective
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303561

Investigating biofuels through network analysis
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303536

Life cycle inventories of electricity supply through the lens of data quality: exploring challenges and opportunities
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1163-0

Increasing beef production won’t reduce emissions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13436/abstract

Health and climate benefits of offshore wind facilities in the Mid-Atlantic United States
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074019/meta

Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002/meta

An assessment of alternative carbon mitigation policies for achieving the emissions reduction of the Clean Power Plan: Case study for the state of Indiana
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303500

A retrospective analysis of benefits and impacts of U.S. renewable portfolio standards
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303408

Can climate policy enhance sustainability?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1701-6

Contribution of the G20 economies to the global impact of the Paris agreement climate proposals
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1700-7

REDD+ politics in the media: a case from Nepal
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1731-0

Solutions for ecosystem-level protection of ocean systems under climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13423/abstract

The impact of different cooling strategies on urban air temperatures: the cases of Campinas, Brazil and Mendoza, Argentina
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1851-5

Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1729-7

Unravelling the United Kingdom’s climate policy consensus: The power of ideas, discourse and institutions
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300863

Could artificial ocean alkalinization protect tropical coral ecosystems from ocean acidification?
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074008/meta

Impacts of sea spray geoengineering on ocean biogeochemistry
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL070111/abstract

A comparative life cycle assessment of commercially available household silver-enabled polyester textiles
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1145-2

Most promising flexible generators for the wind dominated market
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303421

Conflicts of economic interests by limiting global warming to +3 °C
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-016-9718-8

Reforestation in a high-CO2 world—Higher mitigation potential than expected, lower adaptation potential than hoped for
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068824/abstract

Fossil fuels, employment, and support for climate policies
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302828

China’s low-carbon transition for addressing climate change
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927816300120

Safety and effective developing nuclear power to realize green and low-carbon development
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927816300168

Coping with climate change and China’s wind energy sustainable development
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927816300272

Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095937801630067X

An analysis of Chinese provincial carbon dioxide emission efficiencies based on energy consumption structure
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303202

The Hinkley Point decision: An analysis of the policy process
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303044

Implicit CO2 prices of fossil fuel use in Switzerland
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516303056

Could more civil society involvement increase public support for climate policy-making? Evidence from a survey experiment in China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300759

Understanding perceptions of changing hurricane strength along the US Gulf coast
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4805/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation | Leave a Comment »

New research, June 17, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 17, 2016

After this, there will be a few weeks break in these posts. New research posts will then resume possibly in a new form – stay tuned.

Some new papers from last few days:

Investigating the pace of temperature change and its implications over the twenty-first century
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1659-4

Threshold Sensitivity of Shallow Arctic Lakes and Sub-lake Permafrost to Changing Winter Climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068506/abstract

Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GB005405/abstract

Longer thaw seasons increase nitrogen availability for leaching during fall in tundra soils (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064013/meta

Spatial patterns and frequency of unforced decadal-scale changes in global mean surface temperature in climate models
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0609.1

Uncertainties in the attribution of greenhouse gas warming and implications for climate prediction
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024337/abstract

The linkage between stratospheric water vapor and surface temperature in an observation-constrained coupled general circulation model
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3231-3

A new perspective on global mean sea-level (GMSL) acceleration
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069653/abstract

The analysis of Last Interglacial (MIS 5e) relative sea-level indicators: Reconstructing sea-level in a warmer world
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825216301246

Organic matter losses in German Alps forest soils since the 1970s most likely caused by warming
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2732.html

Reversal of global atmospheric ethane and propane trends largely due to US oil and natural gas production
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2721.html

A high resolution record of Greenland mass balance
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069666/abstract

Derivation and validation of supraglacial lake volumes on the Greenland Ice Sheet from high-resolution satellite imagery
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302267

Revisiting Extreme Storms of the Past 100 Years for Future Safety of Large Water Management Infrastructures (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000368/abstract

Evidence of rising and poleward shift of storm surge in western North Pacific in recent decades
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011777/abstract

Role of ocean evaporation in California droughts and floods
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069386/abstract

Effects of a Warming Climate on Daily Snowfall Events in the Northern Hemisphere
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1

Can significant trends be detected in surface air temperature and precipitation over South America in recent decades?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4792/abstract

On the ambiguous nature of the 11-year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069958/abstract

Improved Retrieval of Cloud Liquid Water from CloudSat and MODIS
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0077.1

Albedo climatology for European land surfaces retrieved from AVHRR data (1990-2014) and its spatial and temporal analysis from green–up to vegetation senescence
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024933/abstract

Using satellite-derived optical thickness to assess the influence of clouds on terrestrial carbon uptake
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JG003365/abstract

An observationally based global band-by-band surface emissivity dataset for climate and weather simulations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0355.1

Decadal to centennial variability of salinity in the Baltic Sea
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0443.1

Highest drought sensitivity and lowest resistance to growth suppression are found in the range core of the tree Fagus sylvatica L. not the equatorial range edge (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13366/abstract

Biodiversity in marine invertebrate responses to acute warming revealed by a comparative multi-omics approach
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13357/abstract

The effects of elevated CO2 and eutrophication on surface elevation gain in a European saltmarsh
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13396/abstract

How will climate change affect the vegetation cycle over France ? A generic modeling approach
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209631630016X

Micro-climatic controls and warming effects on flowering time in alpine snowbeds
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-016-3669-3

Spring bloom onset in the Nordic Seas (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3485/2016/

The influence of climate variability on internal migration flows in South Africa
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300589

Regional organisations and climate change adaptation in small island developing states
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0991-6

Should we build wind farms close to load or invest in transmission to access better wind resources in remote areas? A case study in the MISO region
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302944

Paradigms and poverty in global energy policy: research needs for achieving universal energy access (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064014/meta

Climatic Tipping Points and Optimal Fossil-Fuel Use
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-016-0042-2

Likelihood of climate change pathways under uncertainty on fossil fuel resources availability
http://pubs.rsc.org/en/Content/ArticleLanding/2016/EE/C6EE01008C

A quantitative description of state-level taxation of oil and gas production in the continental U.S
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302920

Towards a low carbon growth in Mexico: Is a double dividend possible? A dynamic general equilibrium assessment
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302956

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, June 13, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 13, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Sensitivity of Arctic warming to sea-ice concentration
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023953/abstract

New visualizations highlight new information on the contrasting Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice trends since the late 1970s
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302218

Conventional intensive logging promotes loss of organic carbon from the mineral soil
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13387/abstract

Bergmann’s rule in the oceans? Temperature strongly correlates with global interspecific patterns of body size in marine mammals
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12476/abstract

Quantifying the drivers of ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GB005400/abstract

Climate impacts on multidecadal pCO2 variability in the North Atlantic: 1948–2009 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3387/2016/

A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2727.html

Variability of Tornado Occurrence over the Continental United States since 1950
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024465/abstract

Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Drought in the Continental U.S. during the Past Century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069660/abstract

Drought in Northeast Brazil—past, present, and future
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1840-8

Anthropogenic influence on the frequency of extreme temperatures in China
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069296/abstract

Fire and Climate in Mongolia (1532-2010 CE)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069059/abstract

Increasing Trend of Pan Evaporation over Semi-Arid Loess Plateau under a Warming Climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0041.1

So, how much of the Earth’s surface is covered by rain gauges? (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00283.1

Century-scale causal relationships between global dry/wet conditions and the state of the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069628/abstract

Future Aerosol Reductions and Widening of the Northern Tropical Belt
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024803/abstract

Recent trends and tele-connections among South and East Asian summer monsoons in a warming environment
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3218-0

Anomalous mid-twentieth century atmospheric circulation change over the South Atlantic compared to the last 6000 years (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064009/meta

Tropospheric moisture in the Southwest Pacific as revealed by homogenized radiosonde data: climatology and decadal trend
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4780/abstract

Lower tropospheric mixing as a constraint on cloud feedback in a Multi-Parameter Multi-Physics Ensemble
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0042.1

Stratospheric Temperature Climate Data Record from Merged SSU and AMSU-A Observations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-16-0018.1

Amphibian Breeding Phenology Trends under Climate Change: Predicting the Past to Forecast the Future
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13390/abstract

Increased variance in temperature and lag effects alter phenological responses to rapid warming in a subarctic plant community
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13386/abstract

Anthropogenic-driven rapid shifts in tree distribution lead to increased dominance of broadleaf species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13394/abstract

Assessing woody vegetation trends in Sahelian drylands using MODIS based seasonal metrics
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302280

Daytime warming lowers community temporal stability by reducing the abundance of dominant, stable species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13391/abstract

Seagrass meadows are threatened by expected loss of peatlands in Indonesia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13392/abstract

Climate-driven vital rates do not always mean climate-driven population
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13330/abstract

Near future pH conditions severely impact calcification, metabolism and the nervous system in the pteropod Heliconoides inflatus
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13350/abstract

On the declining relationship between tree growth and climate in the Midwest United States: the fading drought signal
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1720-3

Recent glacier changes in the Tien Shan observed by satellite gravity measurements
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300321

Greenland Ice Sheet influence on Last Interglacial climate: global sensitivity studies performed with an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1313/2016/

An investigation into linearity with cumulative emissions of the climate and carbon cycle response in HadCM3LC (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/065003/meta

Conflict about Climate Change at the American Meteorological Society: Meteorologists’ Views on a Scientific and Organizational Controversy (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00265.1

Linking climate change perceptions to adaptation and mitigation action
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1718-x

An experimental investigation into ‘pledge and review’ in climate negotiations
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1711-4

Climate change and social transformations: is it time for a quantum leap?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.413/abstract

A people‐centred perspective on climate change, environmental stress, and livelihood resilience in Bangladesh
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11625-016-0379-z

Cost-effective electric vehicle charging infrastructure siting for Delhi (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064010/meta

The relative importance of climate change and population growth for exposure to future extreme droughts
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1716-z

Future heat-related climate change impacts on tourism industry in Cyprus
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0997-0

Assessing the impacts of temperature variations on rice yield in China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1707-0

Temperature and precipitation effects on agrarian economy in late imperial China (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064008/meta

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | 2 Comments »

New research, June 6, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 6, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Isolating the Temperature Feedback Loop and Its Effects on Surface Temperature
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0287.1

Changes in anthropogenic carbon storage in the Northeast Pacific in the last decade
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011775/abstract

Tropical amphibians in shifting thermal landscapes under land use and climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cobi.12769/abstract

Climate change impacts on wildlife in a High Arctic archipelago – Svalbard, Norway
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13381/abstract

Modelling interannual variation in the spring and autumn land surface phenology of the European forest (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3305/2016/

Disturbance and the Carbon Balance of US Forests: A Quantitative Review of Impacts from Harvests, Fires, Insects, and Droughts
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301892

Vulnerabilities of macrophytes distribution due to climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1837-3

Melt onset over Arctic sea ice controlled by atmospheric moisture transport
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069330/abstract

Using timing of ice retreat to predict timing of fall freeze-up in the Arctic
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069314/abstract

Time forecast of a break-off event from a hanging glacier (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1191/2016/

Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1708-z

Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3200-x

Fast–slow climate dynamics and peak global warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3202-8

The Atlanto-Pacific multidecade oscillation and its imprint on the global temperature record
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3179-3

Tropical climate variability: interactions across the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3199-z

On Cold Spells in North America and Storminess in Western Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069392/abstract

Interdecadal Change in Tropical Pacific Precipitation Anomaly Pattern around the late-1990s during Boreal Spring
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0462.1

Tropospheric circulation during the early twentieth century Arctic warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3212-6

Estimation of sampling error uncertainties in observed surface air temperature change in China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1836-4

Seasonality of Global and Arctic Black Carbon Processes in the AMAP Models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024849/abstract

Tambora 1815 as a test case for high impact volcanic eruptions: Earth system effects (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.407/abstract

1200 years of warm-season temperature variability in central Scandinavia inferred from tree-ring density (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1297/2016/

A 2000-year temperature reconstruction in the Animaqin Mountains of the Tibet Plateau, China
http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2016/06/03/0959683616646187.abstract

A refined method for calculating paleotemperatures from linear correlations in bamboo coral carbon and oxygen isotopes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016PA002931/abstract

Vulnerability of and risk to water resources in arid and semi-arid regions of West China under a scenario of climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1709-y

Climate change adaptation: factors influencing Chinese smallholder farmers’ perceived self-efficacy and adaptation intent
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0975-6

Impacts of drought and responses of rural populations in West Africa: a systematic review
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.411/abstract

Local communities’ belief in climate change in a rural region of Sub-Saharan Africa
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9816-5

Modelling climate change impacts on viticultural yield, phenology and stress conditions in Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13382/abstract

Interactive effects of temperature and drought on cassava growth and toxicity: implications for food security?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13380/abstract

Visual climate change art 2005–2015: discourse and practice
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.400/abstract

Nitrogen fertilization challenges the climate benefit of cellulosic biofuels (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064007/meta

Making sense of climate risk information: the case of future indoor climate risks in Swedish churches
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096316300110

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New research, June 2, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 2, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

No significant increase in long-term CH4 emissions on North Slope of Alaska despite significant increase in air temperature
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069292/abstract

Evidence for methane production by the marine algae Emiliania huxleyi (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3163/2016/

Southern Ocean warming delayed by circumpolar upwelling and equatorward transport
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2731.html

Circulation and meltwater distribution in the Bellingshausen Sea: from shelf break to coast
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068998/abstract

Ice flow dynamics and mass loss of Totten Glacier, East Antarctica from 1989 to 2015
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069173/abstract

Extraordinary runoff from the Greenland ice sheet in 2012 amplified by hypsometry and depleted firn retention (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1147/2016/

Modeling of ocean-induced ice melt rates of five West Greenland glaciers over the past two decades
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068784/abstract

Historic drought puts the brakes on earthflows in Northern California
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068378/abstract

Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064006/meta

A new method for generating the thermal growing degree-days and season in China during the last century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4781/abstract

Impact of pollen resources drift on common bumble bees in NW Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13373/abstract

Scale dependence of temperature as an abiotic driver of species’ distributions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12463/abstract

Effect of water temperature on survival of early-life stages of marbled flounder Pseudopleuronectes yokohamae in Tokyo Bay, Japan
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113616300939

Geospatial assessment of long-term changes in carbon stocks and fluxes in forests of India (1930–2013)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301163

Modelling impact of freezing temperatures on reproductive organs of deciduous fruit trees
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316302581

Distribution ranges and spring phenology explain late frost sensitivity in 170 woody plants from the Northern Hemisphere
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12466/abstract

Colony-specific calcification and mortality under ocean acidification in the branching coral Montipora digitata
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113616300940

Vulnerability of a semi-enclosed estuarine sea to ocean acidification in contrast with hypoxia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068996/abstract

Space-based detection of missing sulfur dioxide sources of global air pollution
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2724.html

Arctic sea surface height variability and change from satellite radar altimetry and GRACE, 2003-2014
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011579/abstract

Revealing the early ice flow patterns with historical Declassified Intelligence Satellite Photographs back to 1960s
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068990/abstract

Global snow cover estimation with Microwave Brightness Temperature measurements and one-class in situ observations
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302036

Eroding permafrost coasts release low amounts of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from ground ice into the nearshore zone of the Arctic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005337/abstract

Glacial onset predated Late Ordovician climate cooling
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016PA002928/abstract

Learning the hard way: a case study of an attempt at agricultural transformation in response to climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1698-x

Farmer perceptions of climate change: Associations with observed temperature and precipitation trends, irrigation, and climate beliefs
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300620

Climate change impacts on rainfed cropping production systems in the tropics and the case of smallholder farms in North-west Cambodia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9818-3

Heterogeneous Beliefs and Climate Catastrophes
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-016-0036-0

Green and cool roofs to mitigate urban heat island effects in the Chicago metropolitan area: evaluation with a regional climate model (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064004/meta

Bias present in US federal agency power plant CO2 emissions data and implications for the US clean power plan (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064005/meta

Exploring the causal relationship between carbon emissions and land urbanization quality in China using a panel data analysis
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9813-8

CO2 emission and economic growth in Algeria
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302713

Mode of action uncovered for the specific reduction of methane emissions from ruminants by the small molecule 3-nitrooxypropanol
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/22/6172.short

Impacts of artificial ocean alkalinization on the carbon cycle and climate in Earth system simulations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068576/abstract

A global life cycle assessment for primary zinc production
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1131-8

Life cycle assessment of consumption choices: a comparison between disposable and rechargeable household batteries
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1134-5

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New research, May 27, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 27, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Constraints on climate sensitivity from space-based measurements of low-cloud reflection
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0897.1

Role of Indian Ocean SST Variability on the Recent Global Warming Hiatus
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300412

Observed concentration budgets of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0121.1

Dynamic preconditioning of the minimum September sea-ice extent
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0515.1

Modeling debris-covered glaciers: response to steady debris deposition (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1105/2016/

The climatic mass balance of Svalbard glaciers: a 10-year simulation with a coupled atmosphere–glacier mass balance model (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1089/2016/

Ecosystem impacts of climate extremes crucially depend on the timing
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/21/5768.short

Changes in winter warming events in the Nordic Arctic Region
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0763.1

Spectral analysis of sea level during the altimetry era, and evidence for GIA and glacial melting fingerprints
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301862

Recent slowing of Atlantic overturning circulation as a recovery from earlier strengthening
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2715.html

Observational Advances in Estimates of Oceanic Heating
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-016-0037-7

Spatial Redistribution of USA Tornado Activity between 1954 and 2013
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0342.1

Modeling financial losses resulting from tornadoes in European countries
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0036.1

Future acidification of marginal seas: A comparative study of the Japan/ East Sea and the South China Sea
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068760/abstract

Overlooked methane transport process controls significant portion of a wetland’s methane emissions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068782/abstract

Climate change and the long-term viability of the World’s busiest heavy haul ice road (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1830-x

Urban effects on summertime air temperature in Germany under climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4748/abstract

Variability of growing degree days in Poland in response to ongoing climate changes in Europe (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1190-3

Impact of climate variability and anthropogenic activity on streamflow in the Three Rivers Headwater Region, Tibetan Plateau, China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1833-7

Can the Tibetan Plateau snow cover influence the interannual variations of Eurasian heat wave frequency?
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2775-y

Risk factors for deaths during the 2009 heat wave in Adelaide, Australia: a matched case-control study
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1189-9

The influence of soil moisture deficits on Australian heatwaves (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064003/meta

Warm spring reduced carbon cycle impact of the 2012 US summer drought
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/21/5880.short

Local short-term variability in solar irradiance (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/6365/2016/

The Last Millennium Climate Reanalysis Project: Framework and First Results
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024751/abstract

Human adaptation to mid- to late-Holocene climate change in Northeast Thailand
http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2016/05/25/0959683616645947.abstract

Onset and demise of Cretaceous Oceanic Anoxic Events: the coupling of surface and bottom oceanic processes in two pelagic basins of the western Tethys
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002922/abstract

Prebiotic chemistry and atmospheric warming of early Earth by an active young Sun
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2719.html

Time series analysis of satellite data reveals continuous deforestation of New England since the 1980s (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064002/meta

A critical analysis of energy efficiency improvement potentials in Taiwan’s cement industry
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302555

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 23, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 23, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007/meta

When will unusual heat waves become normal in a warming Africa? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054016/meta

Attribution of the spring snow cover extent decline in the Northern Hemisphere, Eurasia and North America to anthropogenic influence
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1632-2

Future land-use related water demand in California (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054018/meta

Detection of anthropogenic influence on the intensity of extreme temperatures in China
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4771/abstract

Linear Additive Impacts of Arctic Sea Ice Reduction and La Niña on Northern Hemispheric Winter Climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0416.1

Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054011/meta

Climate change and ecosystem services
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.404/abstract

Long-term climate impacts on breeding bird phenology in Pennsylvania, USA
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13363/abstract

A novel analysis of spring phenological patterns over Europe based on co-clustering
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003308/abstract

Urban heat island impacts on plant phenology: intra-urban variability and response to land cover (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054023/meta

Interactions between urban vegetation and surface urban heat islands: a case study in the Boston metropolitan region (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054020/meta

Temperature affects the morphology and calcification of Emiliania huxleyi strains (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2913/2016/

Bud break responds more strongly to daytime than nighttime temperature under asymmetric experimental warming
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13360/abstract

Enhancement of non-CO2 radiative forcing via intensified carbon cycle feedbacks (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068964/abstract

Surface air temperature variability and trends in the Arctic: new amplification assessment and regionalisation (open access)
http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/28234

Future Arctic Temperature Change resulting from a Range of Aerosol Emissions Scenarios (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000361/abstract

Quantifying Greenland freshwater flux underestimates in climate models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068878/abstract

Four-decade record of pervasive grounding line retreat along the Bellingshausen margin of West Antarctica
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068972/abstract

A lagrangian view of longwave radiative fluxes for understanding the direct heating response to a CO2 increase
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024738/abstract

The Role of Large-Scale Feedbacks in Cumulus Convection Parameter Estimation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0117.1

Multi-annual ocean-atmosphere adjustments to radiative forcing
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0312.1

Impact of synoptic atmospheric forcing on the mean ocean circulation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0819.1

On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions during periods of net negative CO2 emissions (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055006/meta

Climate change and projections for the Barents region: what is expected to change and what will stay the same? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054017/meta

Regime shift of the South China Sea SST in the late 1990s
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3178-4

Spatiotemporal investigation of long-term seasonal temperature variability in Libya
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809516301119

Temporal variations of atmospheric CO2 and CO at Ahmedabad in western India (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/6153/2016/

Mapping global patterns of drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of hazard, exposure and vulnerability
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300565

Impacts of the superimposed climate trends on droughts over 1961–2013 in Xinjiang, China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1822-x

Crop connectivity under climate change: future environmental and geographic risks of potato late blight in Scotland
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13368/abstract

Importance of soil thermal regime in terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics in the circumpolar north
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301539

Radiocarbon in dissolved organic carbon of the Atlantic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068746/abstract

The urban cool island phenomenon in a high-rise high-density city and its mechanisms
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4747/abstract

Regional influences of natural external forcings on the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0599.1

Coral Sr-U Thermometry
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002908/abstract

Resources of dark skies in German climatic health resorts
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1187-y

Climate change, malaria, and public health: accounting for socioeconomic contexts in past debates and future research
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.406/abstract

The politicization of climate change: problem or solution?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.405/abstract

From dwindling ice to headwater lakes: could dams replace glaciers in the European Alps? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054022/meta

China’s goal to increase non-fossil energy sources (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927816300090

Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2°C target (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13340/abstract

Spatially explicit estimates of N2O emissions from croplands suggest climate mitigation opportunities from improved fertilizer management
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13341/abstract

The durability of building materials under a changing climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.398/abstract

Impacts of adaptation and responsibility framings on attitudes towards climate change mitigation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1627-z

(Mis)communicating climate change? Why online adaptation databases may fail to catalyze adaptation action
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.401/abstract

Addressing the risk of maladaptation to climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.409/abstract

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 16, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 16, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Geophysical constraints on the Antarctic sea ice cover
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301481

Australasian temperature reconstructions spanning the last millennium
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00781.1

Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13302/abstract

Simulated response of the Pacific decadal oscillation to climate change
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0690.1

Sensitivity of global ocean heat content from reanalyses to the Atmospheric reanalysis forcing: A comparative study
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068605/abstract

Influences of riverine and upwelling waters on the coastal carbonate system off Central Chile, and their ocean acidification implications
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003213/abstract

Ocean acidification: assessing the vulnerability of socioeconomic systems in Small Island Developing States
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0949-8

On the stability and spatiotemporal variance distribution of salinity in the upper ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011523/abstract

Arctic layer salinity controls heat loss from deep Atlantic layer in seasonally ice-covered areas of the Barents Sea
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068421/abstract

Expansion of denitrification and anoxia in the eastern tropical North Pacific from 1972 – 2012http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068871/abstract

Climate change reduces warming potential of nitrous oxide by an enhanced Brewer-Dobson circulation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068390/abstract

Fast responses of climate system to carbon dioxide, aerosols and sulfate aerosols without the mediation of SST in the CMIP5
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4763/abstract

Estimation of global black carbon direct radiative forcing and its uncertainty constrained by observations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024326/abstract

The Influence of Southern Ocean Winds on the North Atlantic Carbon Sink
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005364/abstract

Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO2 exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (open access)
http://www.tellusb.net/index.php/tellusb/article/view/28968

Impacts of land use, restoration, and climate change on tropical peat carbon stocks in the twenty-first century: implications for climate mitigation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-016-9712-1

Carbon dioxide and methane supersaturation in lakes of semi-humid/semi-arid region, Northeastern China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231016303442

Equatorward phytoplankton migration during a cold spell within the Late Cretaceous super-greenhouse (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2859/2016/

Circumpolar vegetation dynamics product for global change study
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301869

Integrating parameter uncertainty of a process-based model in assessments of climate change effects on forest productivity
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1694-1

The Effect of Competition on Responses to Drought and Inter-annual Climate Variability of a Dominant Conifer Tree of Western North America
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12604/abstract

Evaluating confidence in climate-based predictions of population change in a migratory species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12461/abstract

Distribution, attribution, and radiative forcing of snow cover changes over China from 1982 to 2013
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1688-z

Climate change impact on the roles of temperature and precipitation in western U.S. snowpack variability
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068798/abstract

Impacts of recent climate change on trends in baseflow and stormflow in United States watersheds
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069121/abstract

Assessing the health effects of climate change in Alaska with community-based surveillance
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1687-0

Climate change amplifies gross nitrogen turnover in montane grasslands of Central Europe both in summer and winter seasons
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13353/abstract

Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0890-2

Climate change adaptation: a panacea for food security in Ondo State, Nigeria
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1825-7

A study on the enhancing earthquake frequency in northern Pakistan: is the climate change responsible?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-016-2226-z

Climate change impact assessments on the water resources of India under extensive human interventions
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-016-0784-7

Climatic changes and their impact on socio-economic sectors in the Bhutan Himalayas: an implementation strategy
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0868-0

Present climate and future projections of the thermal comfort index for the metropolitan region of São Paulo, Brazil
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1690-5

Large-scale impact of climate change versus land-use change on future biome shifts in Latin America
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13355/abstract

Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00089.1

Atmospheric changes caused by galactic cosmic rays over the period 1960–2010 (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5853/2016/

Past ice-sheet behaviour: retreat scenarios and changing controls in the Ross Sea, Antarctica (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1003/2016/

Combining lake core records with the limnologic model DYRESM-CAEDYM to evaluate lake response during the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10933-016-9893-3

Multi-method observation and analysis of a tsunami caused by glacier calving (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/995/2016/

A statistical framework for estimating air temperature using MODIS land surface temperature data
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4766/abstract

Illuminating the capabilities of Landsat 8 for mapping night lights
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301857

Climate adaptation of food value chains: the implications of varying consumer acceptance
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0976-5

The Carbon Ask: effects of climate policy on the value of fossil fuel resources and the implications for technological innovation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13412-016-0397-2

Renewable energy deployment in Europe up to 2030 and the aim of a triple dividend
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302397

The effectiveness of China’s wind power policy: An empirical analysis
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302415

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 12, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 12, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

The Super Greenhouse effect in a changing climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0234.1

The dynamics of the warming hiatus over the Northern Hemisphere
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3085-8

2014, The “year without a summer” in Italy: news media coverage and implications for the climate change debate
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9805-8

Comparison of Climate Response to Anthropogenic Aerosol versus Greenhouse Gas Forcing: Distinct Patterns
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0106.1

What Caused the Recent “Warm Arctic, Cold Continents” Trend Pattern in Winter Temperatures?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069024/abstract

An ongoing shift in Pacific Ocean sea level
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011815/abstract

Quantifying atmospheric methane emissions from oil and natural gas production in the Bakken shale region of North Dakota
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024631/abstract

Methane fluxes from the sea to the atmosphere across the Siberian shelf seas
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068977/abstract

Decadal trends in air-sea CO2 exchange in the Ross Sea (Antarctica)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069071/abstract

Evidence of recent changes in the ice regime of lakes in the Canadian High Arctic from spaceborne satellite observations (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/941/2016/

Voltinism and resilience to climate-induced phenological mismatch
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1691-4

Climate regulates alpine lake ice cover phenology and aquatic ecosystem structure
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069036/abstract

Phenology and species determine growing-season albedo increase at the altitudinal limit of shrub growth in the sub-Arctic
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13297/abstract

Larval connectivity across temperature gradients, and its potential effect on heat tolerance in coral populations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13347/abstract

Regional atmospheric cooling and wetting effect of permafrost thaw-induced boreal forest loss
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13348/abstract

Natural hazards in Australia: floods
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1689-y

Relative Roles of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases in Land and Oceanic Monsoon Changes during Past 156 years in CMIP5 Models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069282/abstract

Early Summer Response of the East Asian Summer Monsoon to Atmospheric CO2 Forcing and Subsequent Sea Surface Warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0649.1

The main characteristics of atmospheric circulation over East-Central Europe from 1871 to 2010
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00703-016-0455-z

A climatology of clouds in marine cold air outbreaks in both hemispheres
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0783.1

Thermohaline Instability and the Formation of Glacial North Atlantic Super Polynyas at the Onset of Dansgaard-Oeschger Warming Events
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068891/abstract

Ice core reconstruction of sea ice change in the Amundsen-Ross Seas since 1702 AD
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068130/abstract

Spatial climate dynamics in the Iberian Peninsula since 15 000 yr BP (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1137/2016/

The impact of Southern Ocean residual upwelling on atmospheric CO2 on centennial and millennial timescales
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3163-y

A review of potential physical impacts on harbours in the Mediterranean Sea under climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0972-9

The energy requirements of a developed world
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0973082616301892

Nuclear and intermittent renewables: Two compatible supply options? The case of the French power mix
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302063

Connecting Climate Information Producers and Users: Boundary Organization, Knowledge Networks, and Information Brokers at Caribbean Climate Outlook Forums
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0076.1

Weather Effects on Social Movements: Evidence from Washington D.C. and New York City, 1960-1995
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0072.1

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

 
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