AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

New research, June 17, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 17, 2016

After this, there will be a few weeks break in these posts. New research posts will then resume possibly in a new form – stay tuned.

Some new papers from last few days:

Investigating the pace of temperature change and its implications over the twenty-first century
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1659-4

Threshold Sensitivity of Shallow Arctic Lakes and Sub-lake Permafrost to Changing Winter Climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068506/abstract

Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GB005405/abstract

Longer thaw seasons increase nitrogen availability for leaching during fall in tundra soils (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064013/meta

Spatial patterns and frequency of unforced decadal-scale changes in global mean surface temperature in climate models
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0609.1

Uncertainties in the attribution of greenhouse gas warming and implications for climate prediction
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024337/abstract

The linkage between stratospheric water vapor and surface temperature in an observation-constrained coupled general circulation model
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3231-3

A new perspective on global mean sea-level (GMSL) acceleration
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069653/abstract

The analysis of Last Interglacial (MIS 5e) relative sea-level indicators: Reconstructing sea-level in a warmer world
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825216301246

Organic matter losses in German Alps forest soils since the 1970s most likely caused by warming
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2732.html

Reversal of global atmospheric ethane and propane trends largely due to US oil and natural gas production
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2721.html

A high resolution record of Greenland mass balance
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069666/abstract

Derivation and validation of supraglacial lake volumes on the Greenland Ice Sheet from high-resolution satellite imagery
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302267

Revisiting Extreme Storms of the Past 100 Years for Future Safety of Large Water Management Infrastructures (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000368/abstract

Evidence of rising and poleward shift of storm surge in western North Pacific in recent decades
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011777/abstract

Role of ocean evaporation in California droughts and floods
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069386/abstract

Effects of a Warming Climate on Daily Snowfall Events in the Northern Hemisphere
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1

Can significant trends be detected in surface air temperature and precipitation over South America in recent decades?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4792/abstract

On the ambiguous nature of the 11-year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069958/abstract

Improved Retrieval of Cloud Liquid Water from CloudSat and MODIS
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0077.1

Albedo climatology for European land surfaces retrieved from AVHRR data (1990-2014) and its spatial and temporal analysis from green–up to vegetation senescence
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024933/abstract

Using satellite-derived optical thickness to assess the influence of clouds on terrestrial carbon uptake
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JG003365/abstract

An observationally based global band-by-band surface emissivity dataset for climate and weather simulations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0355.1

Decadal to centennial variability of salinity in the Baltic Sea
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0443.1

Highest drought sensitivity and lowest resistance to growth suppression are found in the range core of the tree Fagus sylvatica L. not the equatorial range edge (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13366/abstract

Biodiversity in marine invertebrate responses to acute warming revealed by a comparative multi-omics approach
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13357/abstract

The effects of elevated CO2 and eutrophication on surface elevation gain in a European saltmarsh
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13396/abstract

How will climate change affect the vegetation cycle over France ? A generic modeling approach
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209631630016X

Micro-climatic controls and warming effects on flowering time in alpine snowbeds
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00442-016-3669-3

Spring bloom onset in the Nordic Seas (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3485/2016/

The influence of climate variability on internal migration flows in South Africa
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300589

Regional organisations and climate change adaptation in small island developing states
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0991-6

Should we build wind farms close to load or invest in transmission to access better wind resources in remote areas? A case study in the MISO region
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302944

Paradigms and poverty in global energy policy: research needs for achieving universal energy access (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064014/meta

Climatic Tipping Points and Optimal Fossil-Fuel Use
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-016-0042-2

Likelihood of climate change pathways under uncertainty on fossil fuel resources availability
http://pubs.rsc.org/en/Content/ArticleLanding/2016/EE/C6EE01008C

A quantitative description of state-level taxation of oil and gas production in the continental U.S
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302920

Towards a low carbon growth in Mexico: Is a double dividend possible? A dynamic general equilibrium assessment
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302956

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, June 13, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 13, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Sensitivity of Arctic warming to sea-ice concentration
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023953/abstract

New visualizations highlight new information on the contrasting Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice trends since the late 1970s
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302218

Conventional intensive logging promotes loss of organic carbon from the mineral soil
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13387/abstract

Bergmann’s rule in the oceans? Temperature strongly correlates with global interspecific patterns of body size in marine mammals
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12476/abstract

Quantifying the drivers of ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GB005400/abstract

Climate impacts on multidecadal pCO2 variability in the North Atlantic: 1948–2009 (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3387/2016/

A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2727.html

Variability of Tornado Occurrence over the Continental United States since 1950
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024465/abstract

Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Drought in the Continental U.S. during the Past Century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069660/abstract

Drought in Northeast Brazil—past, present, and future
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1840-8

Anthropogenic influence on the frequency of extreme temperatures in China
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069296/abstract

Fire and Climate in Mongolia (1532-2010 CE)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069059/abstract

Increasing Trend of Pan Evaporation over Semi-Arid Loess Plateau under a Warming Climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0041.1

So, how much of the Earth’s surface is covered by rain gauges? (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00283.1

Century-scale causal relationships between global dry/wet conditions and the state of the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069628/abstract

Future Aerosol Reductions and Widening of the Northern Tropical Belt
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024803/abstract

Recent trends and tele-connections among South and East Asian summer monsoons in a warming environment
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3218-0

Anomalous mid-twentieth century atmospheric circulation change over the South Atlantic compared to the last 6000 years (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064009/meta

Tropospheric moisture in the Southwest Pacific as revealed by homogenized radiosonde data: climatology and decadal trend
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4780/abstract

Lower tropospheric mixing as a constraint on cloud feedback in a Multi-Parameter Multi-Physics Ensemble
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0042.1

Stratospheric Temperature Climate Data Record from Merged SSU and AMSU-A Observations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-16-0018.1

Amphibian Breeding Phenology Trends under Climate Change: Predicting the Past to Forecast the Future
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13390/abstract

Increased variance in temperature and lag effects alter phenological responses to rapid warming in a subarctic plant community
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13386/abstract

Anthropogenic-driven rapid shifts in tree distribution lead to increased dominance of broadleaf species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13394/abstract

Assessing woody vegetation trends in Sahelian drylands using MODIS based seasonal metrics
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302280

Daytime warming lowers community temporal stability by reducing the abundance of dominant, stable species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13391/abstract

Seagrass meadows are threatened by expected loss of peatlands in Indonesia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13392/abstract

Climate-driven vital rates do not always mean climate-driven population
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13330/abstract

Near future pH conditions severely impact calcification, metabolism and the nervous system in the pteropod Heliconoides inflatus
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13350/abstract

On the declining relationship between tree growth and climate in the Midwest United States: the fading drought signal
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1720-3

Recent glacier changes in the Tien Shan observed by satellite gravity measurements
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300321

Greenland Ice Sheet influence on Last Interglacial climate: global sensitivity studies performed with an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1313/2016/

An investigation into linearity with cumulative emissions of the climate and carbon cycle response in HadCM3LC (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/065003/meta

Conflict about Climate Change at the American Meteorological Society: Meteorologists’ Views on a Scientific and Organizational Controversy (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00265.1

Linking climate change perceptions to adaptation and mitigation action
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1718-x

An experimental investigation into ‘pledge and review’ in climate negotiations
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1711-4

Climate change and social transformations: is it time for a quantum leap?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.413/abstract

A people‐centred perspective on climate change, environmental stress, and livelihood resilience in Bangladesh
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11625-016-0379-z

Cost-effective electric vehicle charging infrastructure siting for Delhi (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064010/meta

The relative importance of climate change and population growth for exposure to future extreme droughts
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1716-z

Future heat-related climate change impacts on tourism industry in Cyprus
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0997-0

Assessing the impacts of temperature variations on rice yield in China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1707-0

Temperature and precipitation effects on agrarian economy in late imperial China (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064008/meta

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | 2 Comments »

New research, June 6, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 6, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Isolating the Temperature Feedback Loop and Its Effects on Surface Temperature
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0287.1

Changes in anthropogenic carbon storage in the Northeast Pacific in the last decade
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011775/abstract

Tropical amphibians in shifting thermal landscapes under land use and climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cobi.12769/abstract

Climate change impacts on wildlife in a High Arctic archipelago – Svalbard, Norway
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13381/abstract

Modelling interannual variation in the spring and autumn land surface phenology of the European forest (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3305/2016/

Disturbance and the Carbon Balance of US Forests: A Quantitative Review of Impacts from Harvests, Fires, Insects, and Droughts
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301892

Vulnerabilities of macrophytes distribution due to climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1837-3

Melt onset over Arctic sea ice controlled by atmospheric moisture transport
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069330/abstract

Using timing of ice retreat to predict timing of fall freeze-up in the Arctic
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069314/abstract

Time forecast of a break-off event from a hanging glacier (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1191/2016/

Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1708-z

Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3200-x

Fast–slow climate dynamics and peak global warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3202-8

The Atlanto-Pacific multidecade oscillation and its imprint on the global temperature record
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3179-3

Tropical climate variability: interactions across the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3199-z

On Cold Spells in North America and Storminess in Western Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069392/abstract

Interdecadal Change in Tropical Pacific Precipitation Anomaly Pattern around the late-1990s during Boreal Spring
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0462.1

Tropospheric circulation during the early twentieth century Arctic warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3212-6

Estimation of sampling error uncertainties in observed surface air temperature change in China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1836-4

Seasonality of Global and Arctic Black Carbon Processes in the AMAP Models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024849/abstract

Tambora 1815 as a test case for high impact volcanic eruptions: Earth system effects (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.407/abstract

1200 years of warm-season temperature variability in central Scandinavia inferred from tree-ring density (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1297/2016/

A 2000-year temperature reconstruction in the Animaqin Mountains of the Tibet Plateau, China
http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2016/06/03/0959683616646187.abstract

A refined method for calculating paleotemperatures from linear correlations in bamboo coral carbon and oxygen isotopes
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016PA002931/abstract

Vulnerability of and risk to water resources in arid and semi-arid regions of West China under a scenario of climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1709-y

Climate change adaptation: factors influencing Chinese smallholder farmers’ perceived self-efficacy and adaptation intent
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0975-6

Impacts of drought and responses of rural populations in West Africa: a systematic review
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.411/abstract

Local communities’ belief in climate change in a rural region of Sub-Saharan Africa
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9816-5

Modelling climate change impacts on viticultural yield, phenology and stress conditions in Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13382/abstract

Interactive effects of temperature and drought on cassava growth and toxicity: implications for food security?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13380/abstract

Visual climate change art 2005–2015: discourse and practice
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.400/abstract

Nitrogen fertilization challenges the climate benefit of cellulosic biofuels (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064007/meta

Making sense of climate risk information: the case of future indoor climate risks in Swedish churches
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096316300110

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, June 2, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on June 2, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

No significant increase in long-term CH4 emissions on North Slope of Alaska despite significant increase in air temperature
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069292/abstract

Evidence for methane production by the marine algae Emiliania huxleyi (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/3163/2016/

Southern Ocean warming delayed by circumpolar upwelling and equatorward transport
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2731.html

Circulation and meltwater distribution in the Bellingshausen Sea: from shelf break to coast
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068998/abstract

Ice flow dynamics and mass loss of Totten Glacier, East Antarctica from 1989 to 2015
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069173/abstract

Extraordinary runoff from the Greenland ice sheet in 2012 amplified by hypsometry and depleted firn retention (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1147/2016/

Modeling of ocean-induced ice melt rates of five West Greenland glaciers over the past two decades
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068784/abstract

Historic drought puts the brakes on earthflows in Northern California
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068378/abstract

Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064006/meta

A new method for generating the thermal growing degree-days and season in China during the last century
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4781/abstract

Impact of pollen resources drift on common bumble bees in NW Europe
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13373/abstract

Scale dependence of temperature as an abiotic driver of species’ distributions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12463/abstract

Effect of water temperature on survival of early-life stages of marbled flounder Pseudopleuronectes yokohamae in Tokyo Bay, Japan
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113616300939

Geospatial assessment of long-term changes in carbon stocks and fluxes in forests of India (1930–2013)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301163

Modelling impact of freezing temperatures on reproductive organs of deciduous fruit trees
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316302581

Distribution ranges and spring phenology explain late frost sensitivity in 170 woody plants from the Northern Hemisphere
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12466/abstract

Colony-specific calcification and mortality under ocean acidification in the branching coral Montipora digitata
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113616300940

Vulnerability of a semi-enclosed estuarine sea to ocean acidification in contrast with hypoxia
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068996/abstract

Space-based detection of missing sulfur dioxide sources of global air pollution
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2724.html

Arctic sea surface height variability and change from satellite radar altimetry and GRACE, 2003-2014
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011579/abstract

Revealing the early ice flow patterns with historical Declassified Intelligence Satellite Photographs back to 1960s
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068990/abstract

Global snow cover estimation with Microwave Brightness Temperature measurements and one-class in situ observations
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716302036

Eroding permafrost coasts release low amounts of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from ground ice into the nearshore zone of the Arctic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005337/abstract

Glacial onset predated Late Ordovician climate cooling
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016PA002928/abstract

Learning the hard way: a case study of an attempt at agricultural transformation in response to climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1698-x

Farmer perceptions of climate change: Associations with observed temperature and precipitation trends, irrigation, and climate beliefs
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300620

Climate change impacts on rainfed cropping production systems in the tropics and the case of smallholder farms in North-west Cambodia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9818-3

Heterogeneous Beliefs and Climate Catastrophes
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-016-0036-0

Green and cool roofs to mitigate urban heat island effects in the Chicago metropolitan area: evaluation with a regional climate model (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064004/meta

Bias present in US federal agency power plant CO2 emissions data and implications for the US clean power plan (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064005/meta

Exploring the causal relationship between carbon emissions and land urbanization quality in China using a panel data analysis
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9813-8

CO2 emission and economic growth in Algeria
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302713

Mode of action uncovered for the specific reduction of methane emissions from ruminants by the small molecule 3-nitrooxypropanol
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/22/6172.short

Impacts of artificial ocean alkalinization on the carbon cycle and climate in Earth system simulations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068576/abstract

A global life cycle assessment for primary zinc production
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1131-8

Life cycle assessment of consumption choices: a comparison between disposable and rechargeable household batteries
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-016-1134-5

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 27, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 27, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Constraints on climate sensitivity from space-based measurements of low-cloud reflection
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0897.1

Role of Indian Ocean SST Variability on the Recent Global Warming Hiatus
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300412

Observed concentration budgets of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0121.1

Dynamic preconditioning of the minimum September sea-ice extent
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0515.1

Modeling debris-covered glaciers: response to steady debris deposition (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1105/2016/

The climatic mass balance of Svalbard glaciers: a 10-year simulation with a coupled atmosphere–glacier mass balance model (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1089/2016/

Ecosystem impacts of climate extremes crucially depend on the timing
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/21/5768.short

Changes in winter warming events in the Nordic Arctic Region
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0763.1

Spectral analysis of sea level during the altimetry era, and evidence for GIA and glacial melting fingerprints
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301862

Recent slowing of Atlantic overturning circulation as a recovery from earlier strengthening
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2715.html

Observational Advances in Estimates of Oceanic Heating
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-016-0037-7

Spatial Redistribution of USA Tornado Activity between 1954 and 2013
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0342.1

Modeling financial losses resulting from tornadoes in European countries
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0036.1

Future acidification of marginal seas: A comparative study of the Japan/ East Sea and the South China Sea
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068760/abstract

Overlooked methane transport process controls significant portion of a wetland’s methane emissions
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068782/abstract

Climate change and the long-term viability of the World’s busiest heavy haul ice road (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1830-x

Urban effects on summertime air temperature in Germany under climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4748/abstract

Variability of growing degree days in Poland in response to ongoing climate changes in Europe (open access)
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1190-3

Impact of climate variability and anthropogenic activity on streamflow in the Three Rivers Headwater Region, Tibetan Plateau, China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1833-7

Can the Tibetan Plateau snow cover influence the interannual variations of Eurasian heat wave frequency?
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2775-y

Risk factors for deaths during the 2009 heat wave in Adelaide, Australia: a matched case-control study
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1189-9

The influence of soil moisture deficits on Australian heatwaves (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064003/meta

Warm spring reduced carbon cycle impact of the 2012 US summer drought
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/21/5880.short

Local short-term variability in solar irradiance (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/6365/2016/

The Last Millennium Climate Reanalysis Project: Framework and First Results
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024751/abstract

Human adaptation to mid- to late-Holocene climate change in Northeast Thailand
http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2016/05/25/0959683616645947.abstract

Onset and demise of Cretaceous Oceanic Anoxic Events: the coupling of surface and bottom oceanic processes in two pelagic basins of the western Tethys
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002922/abstract

Prebiotic chemistry and atmospheric warming of early Earth by an active young Sun
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2719.html

Time series analysis of satellite data reveals continuous deforestation of New England since the 1980s (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064002/meta

A critical analysis of energy efficiency improvement potentials in Taiwan’s cement industry
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302555

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New research, May 23, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 23, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007/meta

When will unusual heat waves become normal in a warming Africa? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054016/meta

Attribution of the spring snow cover extent decline in the Northern Hemisphere, Eurasia and North America to anthropogenic influence
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1632-2

Future land-use related water demand in California (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054018/meta

Detection of anthropogenic influence on the intensity of extreme temperatures in China
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4771/abstract

Linear Additive Impacts of Arctic Sea Ice Reduction and La Niña on Northern Hemispheric Winter Climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0416.1

Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054011/meta

Climate change and ecosystem services
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.404/abstract

Long-term climate impacts on breeding bird phenology in Pennsylvania, USA
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13363/abstract

A novel analysis of spring phenological patterns over Europe based on co-clustering
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003308/abstract

Urban heat island impacts on plant phenology: intra-urban variability and response to land cover (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054023/meta

Interactions between urban vegetation and surface urban heat islands: a case study in the Boston metropolitan region (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054020/meta

Temperature affects the morphology and calcification of Emiliania huxleyi strains (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2913/2016/

Bud break responds more strongly to daytime than nighttime temperature under asymmetric experimental warming
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13360/abstract

Enhancement of non-CO2 radiative forcing via intensified carbon cycle feedbacks (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068964/abstract

Surface air temperature variability and trends in the Arctic: new amplification assessment and regionalisation (open access)
http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/28234

Future Arctic Temperature Change resulting from a Range of Aerosol Emissions Scenarios (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000361/abstract

Quantifying Greenland freshwater flux underestimates in climate models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068878/abstract

Four-decade record of pervasive grounding line retreat along the Bellingshausen margin of West Antarctica
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068972/abstract

A lagrangian view of longwave radiative fluxes for understanding the direct heating response to a CO2 increase
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024738/abstract

The Role of Large-Scale Feedbacks in Cumulus Convection Parameter Estimation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0117.1

Multi-annual ocean-atmosphere adjustments to radiative forcing
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0312.1

Impact of synoptic atmospheric forcing on the mean ocean circulation
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0819.1

On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions during periods of net negative CO2 emissions (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055006/meta

Climate change and projections for the Barents region: what is expected to change and what will stay the same? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054017/meta

Regime shift of the South China Sea SST in the late 1990s
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3178-4

Spatiotemporal investigation of long-term seasonal temperature variability in Libya
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809516301119

Temporal variations of atmospheric CO2 and CO at Ahmedabad in western India (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/6153/2016/

Mapping global patterns of drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of hazard, exposure and vulnerability
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300565

Impacts of the superimposed climate trends on droughts over 1961–2013 in Xinjiang, China
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1822-x

Crop connectivity under climate change: future environmental and geographic risks of potato late blight in Scotland
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13368/abstract

Importance of soil thermal regime in terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics in the circumpolar north
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116301539

Radiocarbon in dissolved organic carbon of the Atlantic Ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068746/abstract

The urban cool island phenomenon in a high-rise high-density city and its mechanisms
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4747/abstract

Regional influences of natural external forcings on the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0599.1

Coral Sr-U Thermometry
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015PA002908/abstract

Resources of dark skies in German climatic health resorts
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1187-y

Climate change, malaria, and public health: accounting for socioeconomic contexts in past debates and future research
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.406/abstract

The politicization of climate change: problem or solution?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.405/abstract

From dwindling ice to headwater lakes: could dams replace glaciers in the European Alps? (open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054022/meta

China’s goal to increase non-fossil energy sources (open access)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927816300090

Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2°C target (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13340/abstract

Spatially explicit estimates of N2O emissions from croplands suggest climate mitigation opportunities from improved fertilizer management
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13341/abstract

The durability of building materials under a changing climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.398/abstract

Impacts of adaptation and responsibility framings on attitudes towards climate change mitigation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1627-z

(Mis)communicating climate change? Why online adaptation databases may fail to catalyze adaptation action
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.401/abstract

Addressing the risk of maladaptation to climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.409/abstract

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New research, May 16, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 16, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Geophysical constraints on the Antarctic sea ice cover
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301481

Australasian temperature reconstructions spanning the last millennium
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00781.1

Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13302/abstract

Simulated response of the Pacific decadal oscillation to climate change
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0690.1

Sensitivity of global ocean heat content from reanalyses to the Atmospheric reanalysis forcing: A comparative study
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068605/abstract

Influences of riverine and upwelling waters on the coastal carbonate system off Central Chile, and their ocean acidification implications
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003213/abstract

Ocean acidification: assessing the vulnerability of socioeconomic systems in Small Island Developing States
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0949-8

On the stability and spatiotemporal variance distribution of salinity in the upper ocean
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011523/abstract

Arctic layer salinity controls heat loss from deep Atlantic layer in seasonally ice-covered areas of the Barents Sea
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068421/abstract

Expansion of denitrification and anoxia in the eastern tropical North Pacific from 1972 – 2012http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068871/abstract

Climate change reduces warming potential of nitrous oxide by an enhanced Brewer-Dobson circulation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068390/abstract

Fast responses of climate system to carbon dioxide, aerosols and sulfate aerosols without the mediation of SST in the CMIP5
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4763/abstract

Estimation of global black carbon direct radiative forcing and its uncertainty constrained by observations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024326/abstract

The Influence of Southern Ocean Winds on the North Atlantic Carbon Sink
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005364/abstract

Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO2 exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (open access)
http://www.tellusb.net/index.php/tellusb/article/view/28968

Impacts of land use, restoration, and climate change on tropical peat carbon stocks in the twenty-first century: implications for climate mitigation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-016-9712-1

Carbon dioxide and methane supersaturation in lakes of semi-humid/semi-arid region, Northeastern China
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231016303442

Equatorward phytoplankton migration during a cold spell within the Late Cretaceous super-greenhouse (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2859/2016/

Circumpolar vegetation dynamics product for global change study
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301869

Integrating parameter uncertainty of a process-based model in assessments of climate change effects on forest productivity
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1694-1

The Effect of Competition on Responses to Drought and Inter-annual Climate Variability of a Dominant Conifer Tree of Western North America
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12604/abstract

Evaluating confidence in climate-based predictions of population change in a migratory species
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12461/abstract

Distribution, attribution, and radiative forcing of snow cover changes over China from 1982 to 2013
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1688-z

Climate change impact on the roles of temperature and precipitation in western U.S. snowpack variability
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068798/abstract

Impacts of recent climate change on trends in baseflow and stormflow in United States watersheds
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069121/abstract

Assessing the health effects of climate change in Alaska with community-based surveillance
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1687-0

Climate change amplifies gross nitrogen turnover in montane grasslands of Central Europe both in summer and winter seasons
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13353/abstract

Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0890-2

Climate change adaptation: a panacea for food security in Ondo State, Nigeria
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1825-7

A study on the enhancing earthquake frequency in northern Pakistan: is the climate change responsible?
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-016-2226-z

Climate change impact assessments on the water resources of India under extensive human interventions
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-016-0784-7

Climatic changes and their impact on socio-economic sectors in the Bhutan Himalayas: an implementation strategy
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0868-0

Present climate and future projections of the thermal comfort index for the metropolitan region of São Paulo, Brazil
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1690-5

Large-scale impact of climate change versus land-use change on future biome shifts in Latin America
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13355/abstract

Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II (open access)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00089.1

Atmospheric changes caused by galactic cosmic rays over the period 1960–2010 (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5853/2016/

Past ice-sheet behaviour: retreat scenarios and changing controls in the Ross Sea, Antarctica (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/1003/2016/

Combining lake core records with the limnologic model DYRESM-CAEDYM to evaluate lake response during the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10933-016-9893-3

Multi-method observation and analysis of a tsunami caused by glacier calving (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/995/2016/

A statistical framework for estimating air temperature using MODIS land surface temperature data
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4766/abstract

Illuminating the capabilities of Landsat 8 for mapping night lights
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716301857

Climate adaptation of food value chains: the implications of varying consumer acceptance
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0976-5

The Carbon Ask: effects of climate policy on the value of fossil fuel resources and the implications for technological innovation
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13412-016-0397-2

Renewable energy deployment in Europe up to 2030 and the aim of a triple dividend
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302397

The effectiveness of China’s wind power policy: An empirical analysis
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302415

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New research, May 12, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 12, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

The Super Greenhouse effect in a changing climate
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0234.1

The dynamics of the warming hiatus over the Northern Hemisphere
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3085-8

2014, The “year without a summer” in Italy: news media coverage and implications for the climate change debate
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10668-016-9805-8

Comparison of Climate Response to Anthropogenic Aerosol versus Greenhouse Gas Forcing: Distinct Patterns
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0106.1

What Caused the Recent “Warm Arctic, Cold Continents” Trend Pattern in Winter Temperatures?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069024/abstract

An ongoing shift in Pacific Ocean sea level
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011815/abstract

Quantifying atmospheric methane emissions from oil and natural gas production in the Bakken shale region of North Dakota
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024631/abstract

Methane fluxes from the sea to the atmosphere across the Siberian shelf seas
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068977/abstract

Decadal trends in air-sea CO2 exchange in the Ross Sea (Antarctica)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069071/abstract

Evidence of recent changes in the ice regime of lakes in the Canadian High Arctic from spaceborne satellite observations (open access)
http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/941/2016/

Voltinism and resilience to climate-induced phenological mismatch
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1691-4

Climate regulates alpine lake ice cover phenology and aquatic ecosystem structure
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069036/abstract

Phenology and species determine growing-season albedo increase at the altitudinal limit of shrub growth in the sub-Arctic
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13297/abstract

Larval connectivity across temperature gradients, and its potential effect on heat tolerance in coral populations
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13347/abstract

Regional atmospheric cooling and wetting effect of permafrost thaw-induced boreal forest loss
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13348/abstract

Natural hazards in Australia: floods
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1689-y

Relative Roles of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases in Land and Oceanic Monsoon Changes during Past 156 years in CMIP5 Models
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069282/abstract

Early Summer Response of the East Asian Summer Monsoon to Atmospheric CO2 Forcing and Subsequent Sea Surface Warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0649.1

The main characteristics of atmospheric circulation over East-Central Europe from 1871 to 2010
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00703-016-0455-z

A climatology of clouds in marine cold air outbreaks in both hemispheres
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0783.1

Thermohaline Instability and the Formation of Glacial North Atlantic Super Polynyas at the Onset of Dansgaard-Oeschger Warming Events
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068891/abstract

Ice core reconstruction of sea ice change in the Amundsen-Ross Seas since 1702 AD
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068130/abstract

Spatial climate dynamics in the Iberian Peninsula since 15 000 yr BP (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1137/2016/

The impact of Southern Ocean residual upwelling on atmospheric CO2 on centennial and millennial timescales
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3163-y

A review of potential physical impacts on harbours in the Mediterranean Sea under climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0972-9

The energy requirements of a developed world
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0973082616301892

Nuclear and intermittent renewables: Two compatible supply options? The case of the French power mix
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516302063

Connecting Climate Information Producers and Users: Boundary Organization, Knowledge Networks, and Information Brokers at Caribbean Climate Outlook Forums
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0076.1

Weather Effects on Social Movements: Evidence from Washington D.C. and New York City, 1960-1995
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0072.1

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New research, May 6, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 6, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

Evidence for the role of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and the ocean heat uptake in hiatus prediction
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-016-1818-6

Reduction of climate sensitivity to solar forcing due to stratospheric ozone feedback
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0721.1

Statistical structure of intrinsic climate variability under global warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0505.1

Understanding the rapid summer warming and changes in temperature extremes since the mid-1990s over Western Europe
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3158-8

The extreme European summer of 2015 in a long-term perspective
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4751/abstract

Reconstructed and simulated temperature asymmetry between continents in both hemispheres over the last centuries
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3154-z

Cenozoic mean GHG and temperature changes with reference to the Anthropocene
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13342/abstract

Effects of melting ice sheets and orbital forcing on the early Holocene warming in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere (open access)
http://www.clim-past.net/12/1119/2016/

Do climate models reproduce complexity of observed sea level changes ?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068971/abstract

Climate change, multiple stressors and human vulnerability: a systematic review
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-016-0974-7

Impacts of temperature change on ambulance dispatches and seasonal effect modification
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-016-1173-4

How Do Green Roofs Mitigate Urban Thermal Stress under Heat Waves?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD024873/abstract

Global impact of tropical cyclones on primary production
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005214/abstract

Biome-specific scaling of ocean productivity, temperature, and carbon export efficiency
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068778/abstract

Impact of water table level on annual carbon and greenhouse gas balances of a restored peat extraction area (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2637/2016/

Differential response of alpine steppe and alpine meadow to climate warming in the central Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316302076

Foraging behaviour, swimming performance and malformations of early stages of commercially important fishes under ocean acidification and warming
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1682-5

Climate-driven changes to ocean circulation and their inferred impacts on marine dispersal patterns
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12456/abstract

Potential trends in snowmelt generated peak streamflows in a warming climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068935/abstract

Drinking water vulnerability to climate change and alternatives for adaptation in coastal South and South East Asia
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1617-1

Simulating the extreme 2013/14 winter in a future climate
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024492/abstract

Midlatitude cloud shifts, their primary link to the Hadley cell, and their diverse radiative effects
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068242/abstract

Daytime Cirrus Cloud Top-of-Atmosphere Radiative Forcing Properties at a Midlatitude Site and their Global Consequence
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0217.1

The influence of continental shelf bathymetry on Antarctic Ice Sheet response to climate forcing
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300916

Adjustment of regional climate model output for modeling the climatic mass balance of all glaciers on Svalbard
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024380/abstract

Greenland Blocking Index 1851–2015: a regional climate change signal (open access)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4673/abstract

Intensification of the Western North Pacific Anticyclone Response to the Short Decaying El Niño Event due to Greenhouse Warming
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0195.1

Does vertical temperature gradient of the atmosphere matter for El Niño development?
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-016-3149-9

An Observational Analysis: Tropical Relative to Arctic influence on Mid-latitude Weather in the Era of Arctic Amplification
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069102/abstract

Changes of storm properties in the United States: Observations and multimodel ensemble projections
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300722

Detecting long-term changes in point-source fossil CO2 emissions with tree ring archives (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5481/2016/

Collective responsibility amplifies mitigation behaviors
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1670-9

The influence of economic growth, population, and fossil fuel scarcity on energy investments
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0902-5

Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0923-0

The effect of African growth on future global energy, emissions, and regional development
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0964-4

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

New research, May 2, 2016

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on May 2, 2016

Some new papers from last few days:

A cautionary note about messages of hope: Focusing on progress in reducing carbon emissions weakens mitigation motivation
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300450

Leveling the playing field of transportation fuels: Accounting for indirect emissions of natural gas
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030142151630194X

Amazon forest response to repeated droughts
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005133/abstract

Detecting significant decreasing trends of land surface soil moisture in eastern China during the past three decades (1979-2010)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024676/abstract

Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current Understanding with a Focus on SST Drivers of Precipitation Deficits
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0452.1

Is climate sensitivity related to dynamical sensitivity?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024687/abstract

Atmospheric drivers of Greenland surface melt revealed by Self Organizing Maps
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024550/abstract

A comparison of Antarctic Ice Sheet surface mass balance from atmospheric climate models and in situ observations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0642.1

The dynamics of supraglacial water storage in the Everest region, central Himalaya
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116300339

The rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid-1990s in an eddy permitting ocean reanalysis (1982-2013)
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0438.1

Ocean chemistry, ocean warming, and emerging hypoxia: Commentary
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC011651/abstract

Uncertainty partition challenges the predictability of vital details of climate change
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015EF000336/abstract

Climate seasonality limits leaf carbon assimilation and wood productivity in tropical forests (open access)
http://www.biogeosciences.net/13/2537/2016/

Uncertainty analysis of terrestrial net primary productivity and net biome productivity in China during 1901-2005
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JG003062/abstract

Changes in phenological sequences of alpine communities across a natural elevation gradient
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316302441

Fruit productivity of Stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) along a climatic gradient in Chile
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192316302428

Variations in the potential climatic suitability distribution patterns and grain yields for spring maize in Northeast China under climate change
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1652-y

Juvenile recruitment in loggerhead sea turtles linked to decadal changes in ocean circulation
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13331/abstract

Boom and bust: rapid feedback responses between insect outbreak dynamics and canopy leaf area impacted by rainfall and CO2
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13334/abstract

Is it getting hot in here? Adjustment of hydraulic parameters in six boreal and temperate tree species after three years of warming
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13323/abstract

Wind and light exposure, more than elevation–related temperature, limit treeline seedling abundance on three continents
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2745.12599/abstract

A review of severe thunderstorms in Australia
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809516300618

Characteristics of stratospheric warming events during Northern winter
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024226/abstract

Identifying sensitive ranges in global warming precipitation change dependence on convective parameters
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069022/abstract

Trends of mean temperatures and warm extremes in Northern Tropical Africa (1961-2014) from observed and PPCA-reconstructed time series
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024303/abstract

Marine response to climate changes during the last five millennia in the central Mediterranean Sea
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115301673

Factors Controlling Cloud Albedo in Marine Subtropical Stratocumulus Regions in Climate Models and Satellite Observations
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0095.1

Comparing the influence of sunspot activity and geomagnetic activity on winter surface climate
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682616301092

Investigating Alaskan methane and carbon dioxide fluxes using measurements from the CARVE tower (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5383/2016/

NOx lifetimes and emissions of cities and power plants in polluted background estimated by satellite observations (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5283/2016/

The distributional and nutritional impacts and mitigation potential of emission-based food taxes in the UK
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1673-6

Why Did Better Place Fail?: Range anxiety, interpretive flexibility, and electric vehicle promotion in Denmark and Israel
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516301987

How much carbon offsetting and where? Implications of efficiency, effectiveness, and ethicality considerations for public opinion formation
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516301847

Impact of climate change on U.S. building energy demand: sensitivity to spatiotemporal scales, balance point temperature, and population distribution
http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-016-1681-6

Potential impact of a US climate policy and air quality regulations on future air quality and climate change (open access)
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/5323/2016/

Posted in Adaptation & Mitigation, Climate science, Global warming effects | Leave a Comment »

 
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