AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

New research – February 2014

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on March 4, 2014

Some selected papers as included in my New research stream in Twitter and in Facebook during February 2014. There are 155 papers, which makes it about 5.5 papers per day.

CLIMATE SCIENCE

CMIP5 multi-model hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early 2000s hiatus http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059256/abstract

Record occurrence and record values in daily and monthly temperatures http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1693-0

Causes of past and future Arctic stratospheric temperature trends (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/1679/2014/acp-14-1679-2014.html

A Lagrangian Investigation of Hot and Cold Temperature Extremes in Europe http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2339/abstract

Improved Historical Temperature and Precipitation Time Series For U.S. Climate Divisions http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0248.1

Surface and tropospheric temperature trends in Armenia http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3928/abstract

Temporal and spatial variation of 10-day mean air temperature in Northwestern China http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1100-8

Temperature trends under climate change in the source region of the Yellow River, China http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1112-4

Homogenization via pairwise comparisons with application to Argentinean temperature series http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3925/abstract

Competing roles of GHGs and anthropogenic aerosols in Indian Ocean SST during the 20th century http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00396.1

Decadal variability of heat content in the South China Sea (open access) http://www.ocean-sci.net/10/135/2014/os-10-135-2014.html

European degree-day climatologies and trends for the period 1951–2011 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3959/abstract

Model simulation and projection of European heat waves in present-day and future climates http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00284.1

Northern Eurasian Heat Waves and Droughts http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00360.1

Attribution of temperature and precipitation changes to greenhouse gases in northwest Iran http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618214000354

Estimating climate sensitivity and future temperature in presence of natural climate variability http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058532/abstract

Statistical Significance of Climate Sensitivity Predictors Obtained by Data Mining http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059205/abstract

Impact of AMOC on ocean heat storage and transient climate change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058998/abstract

Is AMOC more predictable than North Atlantic heat content? http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00274.1

Comparison of surface albedo feedback in climate models and observations (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059280/abstract

Uncertainty of concentration-terrestrial carbon feedback in Earth system models http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00177.1

On the alleged coherence between the global temperature and the sun’s movement http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682614000273

The controversial early brightening in the first half of 20th century: measurements in Madrid http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818114000368

China’s dimming and brightening: evidence, causes and hydrological implications (open access) http://www.ann-geophys.net/32/41/2014/angeo-32-41-2014.html

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2098.html

Volcanic forcing for climate modeling: a data set covering years 1600–present (open access) http://www.clim-past.net/10/359/2014/cp-10-359-2014.html

Global survey of instantaneous linkages between cloud vertical structure and large-scale climate http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020669/abstract

Decrease in cloud cover over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau since 1600 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S027737911400016X

Extreme precipitation over Europe and its relationships with teleconnection patterns (open access) http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/18/709/2014/hess-18-709-2014.html

Causes and predictability of the record wet east Australian spring 2010 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1700-5

Trends in precipitation extremes and return levels in Hawaiian Islands under a changing climate http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3950/abstract

North Sea storminess from a novel storm surge record since AD 1843 http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00427.1

Projected changes in hailstorms during the 21st century over the UK http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3958/abstract

Climate change impacts on extreme events in the United States (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-1048-1

North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and U.S. Flooding http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00060.1

Tropical cyclones in enhanced resolution CMIP5 experiments http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1818-5

A 66-year tropical cyclone record for south-east Africa: temporal trends in a global context http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3932/abstract

Climatic Change special issue: A new scenario framework for climate change research (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0912-3

Airborne high spatial and moderate spectral resolution imaging of methane (open access) http://www.atmos-meas-tech.net/7/491/2014/amt-7-491-2014.html

Special Workshop on Climatic Effects of Ozone Depletion in the Southern Hemisphere (open access) http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00143.1

Evolution of Total Atmospheric Ozone from 1900 to 2100 Estimated with Statistical Models http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-13-052.1

Future Arctic temperature and ozone: the role of stratospheric composition changes http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021100/abstract

Pollution trends over Europe constrain global aerosol forcing as simulated by climate models http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058715/abstract

Brown Carbon in the Continental Troposphere http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058976/abstract

Understanding and attributing the Euro-Russian summer blocking signatures http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.490/abstract

Extreme temperature events in Central Europe related to high pressure blocking situations (open access) http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/schweiz/mz/2013/00000022/00000005/art00002

The varied impacts of El Niño – Southern Oscillation on Pacific island climates http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00130.1

The Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on climate http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059274/abstract

Observed decline of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation 2004–2012 (open access) http://www.ocean-sci.net/10/29/2014/os-10-29-2014.html

The implication of radiative forcing and feedback for meridional energy transport http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059079/abstract

Effects of changing winds and temperatures on the oceanography of Ross Sea in 21st century http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059311/abstract

Tropical origin of the severe European winter of 1962/63 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2346/abstract

Equatorward shift of the South Asian high in response to anthropogenic forcing http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1095-1

Robust response of the East Asian monsoon rainband to solar variability http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00482.1

Performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models over the north-east Atlantic region http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2078-8

Multi-decadal global cooling and ozone loss following regional nuclear conflict (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013EF000205/abstract

Modeling the impacts of a man-made lake on the meteorological conditions of the surrounding areas http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0163.1

Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2071.html

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS

Greenland Ice Sheet melt from MODIS and associated atmospheric variability (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059185/abstract

77% increase of ice discharge since 1973 from Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059069/abstract

Export and circulation of ice cavity water in Pine Island Bay, West Antarctica http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009307/abstract

Contribution of snow and glacier melt to discharge for highly glacierised catchments in Norway (open access) http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/18/511/2014/hess-18-511-2014.html

Modelled trends in Antarctic sea ice thickness http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00301.1

Changes in Arctic melt season and implications for sea ice loss http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058951/abstract

Cyclone impact on sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/8/303/2014/tc-8-303-2014.html

The role of the mean state of Arctic sea ice on near-surface temperature trends http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00617.1

Sea-ice extent and its trend provide limited metrics of model performance (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/8/229/2014/tc-8-229-2014.html

Interannual predictability of Arctic sea ice in a global climate model (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2071-2

Summer Arctic sea ice albedo in CMIP5 models (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/1987/2014/acp-14-1987-2014.html

Autumn Eurasian snow depth, autumn Arctic sea ice cover and East Asian winter monsoon http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3936/abstract

Spatial variations in snow cover and seasonally frozen ground over N China and Mongolia, 1988-2010 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818114000538

Snowfall time-series reconstruction in Italy over the last 300 years http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2014/01/30/0959683613518590.abstract

New permafrost is forming around shrinking Arctic lakes, but will it last? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059251/abstract

Response of ice cover on shallow lakes of N Slope of Alaska to climate conditions (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/8/167/2014/tc-8-167-2014.html

Local spring warming drives earlier river-ice breakup in a large Arctic delta (Mackenzie River) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058761/abstract

Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.271/abstract

Amazon forest biomass density maps: tackling the uncertainty in carbon emission estimates http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1058-7

Heterogeneity of impacts of high CO2 on the North Western European Shelf (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/601/2014/bg-11-601-2014.html

Tree mortality in response to climate change induced drought across Beijing, China http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1089-0

The imprint of climate within Northern Hemisphere trees http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277379114000146

Effects of forest age on albedo in boreal forests http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425714000509

Phenology as a strategy for carbon optimality: a global model (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/763/2014/bg-11-763-2014.html

Spring leaf phenology and the diurnal temperature range in a temperate maple forest http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-012-0603-1

A 170-year spring phenology index of plants in eastern China http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JG002565/abstract

Increasing altitudinal gradient of spring vegetation phenology on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192314000045

Landward migration potential of Mangroves in response to sea level rise (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/857/2014/bg-11-857-2014.html

Climate change has confounding impact on Phytophthora cinnamomi occurrence risk in the SW USA http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12463/abstract

Estimation of environmental suitability for malaria vector development in Portugal http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425714000273

A continental (N America) risk assessment of West Nile virus under climate change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12534/abstract

Larvae of the coral eating crown-of-thorns starfish in warmer-high CO2 ocean http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12530/abstract

Global warming will reshuffle areas of high prevalence of three avian blood parasite genera http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12542/abstract

Food resources and vegetation structure mediate climatic effects on species richness of birds http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12151/abstract

Albedo-induced radiative forcing from mountain pine beetle outbreaks in forests (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/563/2014/bg-11-563-2014.html

Evolutionary responses to global change: lessons from invasive species (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12262/abstract

Net terrestrial CO2 exchange over China during 2001-2010 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021297/abstract

Predicting ecosystem carbon balance in a warming Arctic http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12549/abstract

A Growing Oceanic Carbon Uptake: Results from an inversion study of surface pCO2 data http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GB004585/abstract

Influence of the oceanic cool skin layer on global air–sea CO2 flux estimates http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S003442571300446X

Air–sea CO2 flux in the Pacific Ocean for the period 1990–2009 (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/709/2014/bg-11-709-2014.html

Evidence for a differential sea level rise between hemispheres over the 20th century http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059039/abstract

On the ability of global sea level reconstructions to determine trends and variability http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009298/abstract

Sea level extremes at the coasts of China http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009607/abstract

Cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function sea-level reconstruction (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.6/abstract

Exploring local (California Current) adaptation and the ocean acidification seascape (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/1053/2014/bg-11-1053-2014.html

Response of ocean acidification to gradual increase and decrease of atmospheric CO2 (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/2/024012

Climate change drives coherent trends in physics and oxygen content in North American lakes http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1085-4

Impact of human population density on fire frequency at the global scale (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/1085/2014/bg-11-1085-2014.html

Changes to the drivers of fire weather with a warming climate in southeast Tasmania http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1070-y

Fire weather and large fire potential in the northern Sierra Nevada http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192314000069

Radiative effect of August 2010 Russian wildfires (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/1999/2014/acp-14-1999-2014.html

Long-term groundwater variations in Northwest India from satellite gravity measurements http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818114000526

Climate change generally increases water stress in USA (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013EF000214/abstract

High-mortality days during winter season: comparing meteorological conditions across 5 US cities http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-013-0640-4

Climate-driven variability of water scarcity in food production potential (open access) http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/18/447/2014/hess-18-447-2014.html

The impacts of long-term and year-to-year temperature change on corn yield in China http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-014-1093-3

Recent trends in international tourist climate preferences http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1086-3

Climate and security: evidence, emerging risks, and a new agenda http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1074-7

Impact of climate change on human-wildlife-ecosystem interactions in Trans-Himalaya region of Nepal http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-013-0902-4

CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION

Climate change and energy security: an analysis of policy research http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0895-0

Quantifying the climate impacts of albedo changes due to biofuel production (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/2/024015

Germany’s regional and local climate response to arable land bioenergy production http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020877/abstract

Perceptions of time in relation to climate change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.272/abstract

Analysis of Ultimate Fossil Fuel Reserves and Associated CO2 Emissions in IPCC Scenarios http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11053-013-9207-7

The future role of agriculture and land use change for climate change mitigation in Bangladesh http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11027-014-9545-8

Geothermal Energy for Northern Canada: Is it Economical? http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11053-013-9199-3

Carbon Footprint Taxes http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-013-9749-5

Recent and future trends in synthetic greenhouse gas radiative forcing http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059099/abstract

The feasibility of a European-wide integrated CO2 transport network http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ghg.1410/abstract

Nitrous oxide emissions 1999 to 2009 from a global atmospheric inversion (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/1801/2014/acp-14-1801-2014.html

Modern economies are not following a sustainable energy consumption path http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0973082614000088

The potential of microblogs for the study of public perceptions of climate change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.273/abstract

Japan’s energy conundrum: Post-Fukushima scenarios from a life cycle perspective http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421513006381

Cold and warm spells and their impact on energy consumption in urban areas http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-014-1074-y

Blame avoidance and problem denial in climate change policy-making http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378013002392

Stratospheric ozone response to sulfate geoengineering http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020566/abstract

Examining politics and practice in urban climate change experiments http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378014000120

Well-to-wheel analysis on greenhouse gas emission and energy use with natural gas in Korea http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-014-0704-7

Changing consumption choices has high greenhouse gas reduction potential http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378014000077

The politics of climate change in the UK http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.274/abstract

Autonomous adaptation to climate change has already begun in agricultural region of N Europe http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-014-0594-z

Communicating adaptation to climate change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.276/abstract

From climate research to climate compatible development in the Netherlands http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-013-0567-7

Global look at climate adaptation actions financed through the Global Environment Facility http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378014000065

PALAEOCLIMATE

Can sea ice albedo uncertainty reconcile data-model discord for Pliocene and 20th/21st centuries? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058872/abstract

Precipitation reconstruction for the Czech Lands, AD 1501–2010 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3957/abstract

Interdependence of the growth of the NH ice sheets during the last glaciation (open access) http://www.clim-past.net/10/345/2014/cp-10-345-2014.html

Little Ice Age on the Tibetan Plateau and its bordering mountains http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092181811400040X

Climate as a driver of ecological community change across the Anthropocene boundary http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12548/abstract

Hysteresis of Glaciations in the Permo-Carboniferous http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020524/abstract

High-resolution 1500-year chironomid stratigraphy from a southwestern Greenland lake http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033589414000076

Middle- to late-Holocene storminess in Brittany (NW France) http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2014/02/07/0959683613519687.abstract

Characterizing atmospheric circulation signals in Greenland ice cores http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2074-z

Using palaeo-climate comparisons to constrain future projections in CMIP5 (open access) http://www.clim-past.net/10/221/2014/cp-10-221-2014.html

The impact of climate-vegetation interactions on the onset of the Antarctic ice sheet http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058994/abstract

OTHERS

A glossary for biometeorology (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-013-0729-9

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