AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

New research – August 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on September 1, 2015

Below are some new climate related papers from August 2015. They are not ordered by subject but roughly by publication time.

Contrasting human versus climatic impacts on erosion

More tropical cyclones in a cooler climate?

Last glacial maximum radiative forcing from mineral dust aerosols in an Earth System model

Investigating the recent apparent hiatus in surface temperature increases: Part 1. Construction of two 30-member Earth System Model ensembles

Influence of ice thickness and surface properties on light transmission through Arctic sea ice

Sea surface temperature warming patterns and future vegetation change

Modelling annual mass balances of eight Scandinavian glaciers using statistical models (open access)

The mechanisms of North Atlantic CO2 uptake in a large Earth System Model ensemble (open access)

Accelerated sea level rise and Florida Current transport (open access)

Distribution of near-surface permafrost in Alaska: Estimates of present and future conditions

NDVI-based vegetation responses to climate change in an arid area of China

Trophic mismatch and its effects on the growth of young in an Arctic herbivore

Global inequities between polluters and the polluted: climate change impacts on coral reefs

Scholarly motivations to conduct interdisciplinary climate change research

Glacial fluctuations since the ‘Medieval Warm Period’ at Rothera Point (western Antarctic Peninsula)

Response of Atlantic Overturning to Future Warming in a coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Ice Sheet Model

Submarine permafrost depth from ambient seismic noise

Solar influences on spatial patterns of Eurasian winter temperature and atmospheric general circulation anomalies

Detection of recent regional sea surface temperature warming in the Caribbean and surrounding region

State of the Climate in 2014

Mechanisms of Stratospheric and Tropospheric Circulation Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss

A New Estimation of Urbanization’s Contribution to the Warming Trend in China

How has subtropical stratocumulus and associated meteorology changed since the 1980s?

Area, elevation and mass changes of the two southernmost ice caps of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago between 1952 and 2014 (open access)

Probing the past 30-year phenology trend of US deciduous forests (open access)

Recent changes in north-west Greenland climate documented by NEEM shallow ice core data and simulations, and implications for past-temperature reconstructions (open access)

A collection of sub-daily pressure and temperature observations for the early instrumental period with a focus on the “year without a summer” 1816 (open access)

Uncertainties in global aerosols and climate effects due to biofuel emissions (open access)

Climatology and changes in cloud cover in the area of the Black, Caspian, and Aral seas (1991–2010): a comparison of surface observations with satellite and reanalysis products

Why is the Bay of Bengal experiencing a reduced rate of sea surface warming?

Montane forest ecotones moved downslope in northeastern US in spite of warming between 1984 and 2011

The interacting effects of food, spring temperature, and global climate cycles on population dynamics of a migratory songbird

Projections of rapidly rising surface temperatures over Africa under low mitigation (open access)

Change points of global temperature (open access)

New satellite climate data records indicate strong coupling between recent frozen season changes and snow cover over high northern latitudes (open access)

Projected changes in regional climate extremes arising from Arctic sea ice loss (open access)

Inventory and recent changes of small glaciers on the northeast margin of the Southern Patagonia Icefield, Argentina

New long-term mass-balance series for the Swiss Alps

Expansion of the Southern Hemisphere Hadley Cell in response to greenhouse gas forcing

Climate Variability and Change since 850 C.E.: An Ensemble Approach with the Community Earth System Model (CESM)

A Global Repository for Planet-Sized Experiments and Observations

Mass loss and imbalance of glaciers along the Andes Cordillera to the sub-Antarctic islands

Improved surface temperature estimates with MASTER/AVIRIS sensor fusion

Permafrost or seasonal frost? A review of paleoclimate proxies of the last glacial cycle in the East Central European lowlands

A processing system to monitor Greenland outlet glacier velocity variations at decadal and seasonal time scales utilizing the Landsat imagery

Estimating the onset of spring from a complex phenology database: trade-offs across geographic scales

Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change

Changes of temperature and precipitation extremes in China: past and future

The spiritual significance of glaciers in an age of climate change

Carbon emissions reduction in China’s food industry

A global synthesis of the effects of biological invasions on greenhouse gas emissions

On solar geoengineering and climate uncertainty

Increasing carbon dioxide concentration in the upper atmosphere observed by SABER

Low-cloud characteristics over the tropical western Pacific from ARM observations and CAM5 simulations

The response of precipitation minus evapotranspiration to climate warming: Why the “wet-get-wetter, dry-get-drier” scaling does not hold over land

Air-Mass Origin in the Arctic. Part II: Response to Increases in Greenhouse Gases

How Well Do the CMIP5 Models Simulate the Antarctic Atmospheric Energy Budget?

Melt pond fraction and spectral sea ice albedo retrieval from MERIS data – Part 2: Case studies and trends of sea ice albedo and melt ponds in the Arctic for years 2002–2011 (open access)

The match and mismatch between photosynthesis and land surface phenology of deciduous forests

How will climate change affect explosive cyclones in the extratropics of the Northern Hemisphere?

Recent trend analysis of mean air temperature in Greece based on homogenized data

Impact of urbanization on US surface climate (open access)

The impact of weather changes on air quality and health in the United States in 1994–2012 (open access)

Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era

Substantial glacier mass loss in the Tien Shan over the past 50 years

First observations, trends and emissions of HCFC-31 (CH2ClF) in the global atmosphere

A Comparison of Temperature and Precipitation Responses to Different Earth Radiation Management Geoengineering Schemes

Anomalous behavior of Indian summer monsoon in the warming environment

Responses of wheat and rice to factorial combinations of ambient and elevated CO2 and temperature in FACE experiments

Net ecosystem exchange of CO2 with rapidly changing high Arctic landscapes

Facing unprecedented drying of the Central Andes? Precipitation variability over the period AD 1000–2100 (open access)

How effective is albedo modification (solar radiation management geoengineering) in preventing sea-level rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet? (open access)

Is the ozone climate penalty robust in Europe? (open access)

Mixed-phase cloud physics and Southern Ocean cloud feedback in climate models

Grounding line retreat of Totten Glacier, East Antarctica, 1996 to 2013

On the Southern Ocean CO2 uptake and the role of the biological carbon pump in the 21st century

Trends of ice breakup date in south-central Ontario

Sensitivity of radiative forcing, ocean heat uptake and climate feedbacks to changes in anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols

Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014

Fluxes and fate of dissolved methane released at the seafloor at the landward limit of the gas hydrate stability zone offshore western Svalbard

Improving Arctic sea ice prediction using PIOMAS initial sea ice thickness in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model

A new method of comparing forcing agents in climate models

Deep ocean temperature measurement with an uncertainty of 0.7 mK

Endless cold: a seasonal reconstruction of temperature and precipitation in the Burgundian Low Countries during the 15th century based on documentary evidence (open access)

Retrieving the paleoclimatic signal from the deeper part of the EPICA Dome C ice core (open access)

Century-scale simulations of the response of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to a warming climate (open access)

Glacier changes and related glacial lake expansion in the Bhutan Himalaya, 1990–2010

Can we trust climate models to realistically represent severe European windstorms? (open access)

Learning from mistakes in climate research (open access)

How do young people engage with climate change? The role of knowledge, values, message framing, and trusted communicators

Climate-induced warming imposes a threat to North European spring ecosystems

Facing unprecedented drying of the Central Andes? Precipitation variability over the period AD 1000–2100 (open access)

Net exchanges of methane and carbon dioxide on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau from 1979 to 2100 (open access)

Modified climate with long term memory in tree ring proxies (poen access)

The Arctic and Polar cells act on the Arctic sea ice variation (open access)

Orbitally forced ice sheet fluctuations during the Marinoan Snowball Earth glaciation

Recent contrasting winter temperature changes over North America linked to enhanced positive Pacific North American pattern

Atmospheric responses to the redistribution of anthropogenic aerosols

Subglacial water drainage, storage, and piracy beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet

Increased influence of nitrogen limitation on CO2 emissions from future land use and land-use change

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions and the extremely low Bothnian Bay sea ice extent in 2014/15

Reassessment and update of long-term trends in downward surface shortwave radiation over Europe (1939-2012)

Robust warming pattern of global subtropical oceans and its mechanism

Quantifying climate forcings and feedbacks over the last millennium in the CMIP5/PMIP3 models

Water Under a Changing and Uncertain Climate: Lessons from Climate Model Ensembles

The sea-level response to external forcings in historical simulations of CMIP5 climate models

Separating internal variability from the externally forced climate response

Environmental drivers of drought deciduous phenology in the Community Land Model (open access)

Modelled and observed changes in aerosols and surface solar radiation over Europe between 1960 and 2009 (open access)

Methane exchange in a poorly-drained black spruce forest over permafrost observed using the eddy covariance technique

Contrasting responses of gross primary productivity to precipitation events in a water-limited and a temperature-limited grassland ecosystem

Evidence linking satellite-derived sea-surface temperature signals to changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Threshold of the volcanic forcing that leads the El Niño-like warming in the last millennium: results from the ERIK simulation

Rapid genetic divergence in response to 15 years of simulated climate change (open access)

Recent temperature variability and change in the Altiplano of Bolivia and Peru

Rate and velocity of climate change caused by cumulative carbon emissions (open access)

Biosphere–atmosphere exchange of methane in India as influenced by multiple environmental changes during 1901–2010

The potential for reducing China’s carbon dioxide emissions: Role of foreign-invested enterprises

Is anthropogenic sea level fingerprint already detectable in the Pacific Ocean? (open access)

Assessing carbon lock-in (open access)

Foregone carbon sequestration due to land occupation—the case of agro-bioenergy in Finland

Climate change-associated tree mortality increases without decreasing water availability

Two distinct influences of Arctic warming on cold winters over North America and East Asia

Soil carbon storage controlled by interactions between geochemistry and climate

Estimates of volcanic-induced cooling in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 1,500 years

Responses of carbon uptake and oceanic pCO2 to climate change in the North Atlantic: A model study with the Bergen Earth System Model

Tornadoes, Social Science, and the False Alarm Effect

Physical Mechanisms of Tropical Climate Feedbacks Investigated using Temperature and Moisture Trends

Improving Arctic sea ice edge forecasts by assimilating high horizontal resolution sea ice concentration data into the US Navy’s ice forecast systems (open access)

Assessing biodiversity vulnerability to climate change: testing different methodologies for Portuguese herpetofauna

The climate responsibilities of industrial carbon producers (open access)

Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming (open access)

On judging the credibility of climate predictions (open access)

The language of denial: text analysis reveals differences in language use between climate change proponents and skeptics

Contrasting regional versus global radiative forcing by megacity pollution emissions

The political economy of passing climate change legislation: Evidence from a survey

Climate change beliefs and perceptions of agricultural risks: An application of the exchangeability method

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