AGW Observer

Observations of anthropogenic global warming

New research – August 2015

Posted by Ari Jokimäki on September 1, 2015

Below are some new climate related papers from August 2015. They are not ordered by subject but roughly by publication time.

Contrasting human versus climatic impacts on erosion http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064436/abstract

More tropical cyclones in a cooler climate? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064929/abstract

Last glacial maximum radiative forcing from mineral dust aerosols in an Earth System model http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023742/abstract

Investigating the recent apparent hiatus in surface temperature increases: Part 1. Construction of two 30-member Earth System Model ensembles
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023859/abstract

Influence of ice thickness and surface properties on light transmission through Arctic sea ice http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC010914/abstract

Sea surface temperature warming patterns and future vegetation change http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00528.1

Modelling annual mass balances of eight Scandinavian glaciers using statistical models (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/1401/2015/tc-9-1401-2015.html

The mechanisms of North Atlantic CO2 uptake in a large Earth System Model ensemble (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/4497/2015/bg-12-4497-2015.html

Accelerated sea level rise and Florida Current transport (open access) http://www.ocean-sci.net/11/607/2015/os-11-607-2015.html

Distribution of near-surface permafrost in Alaska: Estimates of present and future conditions http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425715300778

NDVI-based vegetation responses to climate change in an arid area of China http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-015-1572-1

Trophic mismatch and its effects on the growth of young in an Arctic herbivore http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13057/abstract

Global inequities between polluters and the polluted: climate change impacts on coral reefs http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13015/abstract

Scholarly motivations to conduct interdisciplinary climate change research http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13412-015-0307-z

Glacial fluctuations since the ‘Medieval Warm Period’ at Rothera Point (western Antarctic Peninsula) http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2015/08/04/0959683615596827.abstract

Response of Atlantic Overturning to Future Warming in a coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Ice Sheet Model http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065276/abstract

Submarine permafrost depth from ambient seismic noise http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065409/abstract

Solar influences on spatial patterns of Eurasian winter temperature and atmospheric general circulation anomalies http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023415/abstract

Detection of recent regional sea surface temperature warming in the Caribbean and surrounding region http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065002/abstract

State of the Climate in 2014 http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2015BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Mechanisms of Stratospheric and Tropospheric Circulation Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0169.1

A New Estimation of Urbanization’s Contribution to the Warming Trend in China http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00427.1

How has subtropical stratocumulus and associated meteorology changed since the 1980s? http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0120.1

Area, elevation and mass changes of the two southernmost ice caps of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago between 1952 and 2014 (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/1535/2015/tc-9-1535-2015.html

Probing the past 30-year phenology trend of US deciduous forests (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/4693/2015/bg-12-4693-2015.html

Recent changes in north-west Greenland climate documented by NEEM shallow ice core data and simulations, and implications for past-temperature reconstructions (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/1481/2015/tc-9-1481-2015.html

A collection of sub-daily pressure and temperature observations for the early instrumental period with a focus on the “year without a summer” 1816 (open access) http://www.clim-past.net/11/1027/2015/cp-11-1027-2015.html

Uncertainties in global aerosols and climate effects due to biofuel emissions (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/8577/2015/acp-15-8577-2015.html

Climatology and changes in cloud cover in the area of the Black, Caspian, and Aral seas (1991–2010): a comparison of surface observations with satellite and reanalysis products http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4435/abstract

Why is the Bay of Bengal experiencing a reduced rate of sea surface warming? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4414/abstract

Montane forest ecotones moved downslope in northeastern US in spite of warming between 1984 and 2011 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13046/abstract

The interacting effects of food, spring temperature, and global climate cycles on population dynamics of a migratory songbird http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13053/abstract

Projections of rapidly rising surface temperatures over Africa under low mitigation (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/085004

Change points of global temperature (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084002

New satellite climate data records indicate strong coupling between recent frozen season changes and snow cover over high northern latitudes (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084004

Projected changes in regional climate extremes arising from Arctic sea ice loss (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084006

Inventory and recent changes of small glaciers on the northeast margin of the Southern Patagonia Icefield, Argentina http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/jog/2015/00000061/00000227/art00009

New long-term mass-balance series for the Swiss Alps http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/igsoc/jog/2015/00000061/00000227/art00012

Expansion of the Southern Hemisphere Hadley Cell in response to greenhouse gas forcing http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0139.1

Climate Variability and Change since 850 C.E.: An Ensemble Approach with the Community Earth System Model (CESM) http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00233.1

A Global Repository for Planet-Sized Experiments and Observations http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00132.1

Mass loss and imbalance of glaciers along the Andes Cordillera to the sub-Antarctic islands http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818115300023

Improved surface temperature estimates with MASTER/AVIRIS sensor fusion http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425715300195

Permafrost or seasonal frost? A review of paleoclimate proxies of the last glacial cycle in the East Central European lowlands http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S104061821500703X

A processing system to monitor Greenland outlet glacier velocity variations at decadal and seasonal time scales utilizing the Landsat imagery http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425715300742

Estimating the onset of spring from a complex phenology database: trade-offs across geographic scales http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-015-1036-4

Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1478-z

Changes of temperature and precipitation extremes in China: past and future http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-015-1584-x

The spiritual significance of glaciers in an age of climate change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.354/abstract

Carbon emissions reduction in China’s food industry http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515300422

A global synthesis of the effects of biological invasions on greenhouse gas emissions http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.12360/abstract

On solar geoengineering and climate uncertainty http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065391/abstract

Increasing carbon dioxide concentration in the upper atmosphere observed by SABER http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064696/abstract

Low-cloud characteristics over the tropical western Pacific from ARM observations and CAM5 simulations http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023369/abstract

The response of precipitation minus evapotranspiration to climate warming: Why the “wet-get-wetter, dry-get-drier” scaling does not hold over land http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0369.1

Air-Mass Origin in the Arctic. Part II: Response to Increases in Greenhouse Gases http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0296.1

How Well Do the CMIP5 Models Simulate the Antarctic Atmospheric Energy Budget? http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0027.1

Melt pond fraction and spectral sea ice albedo retrieval from MERIS data – Part 2: Case studies and trends of sea ice albedo and melt ponds in the Arctic for years 2002–2011 (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/1567/2015/tc-9-1567-2015.html

The match and mismatch between photosynthesis and land surface phenology of deciduous forests http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192315002129

How will climate change affect explosive cyclones in the extratropics of the Northern Hemisphere? http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2791-y

Recent trend analysis of mean air temperature in Greece based on homogenized data http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-015-1592-x

Impact of urbanization on US surface climate (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084010

The impact of weather changes on air quality and health in the United States in 1994–2012 (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084009

Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2510.html

Substantial glacier mass loss in the Tien Shan over the past 50 years http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2513.html

First observations, trends and emissions of HCFC-31 (CH2ClF) in the global atmosphere http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064709/abstract

A Comparison of Temperature and Precipitation Responses to Different Earth Radiation Management Geoengineering Schemes http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023269/abstract

Anomalous behavior of Indian summer monsoon in the warming environment http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825215300283

Responses of wheat and rice to factorial combinations of ambient and elevated CO2 and temperature in FACE experiments http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13065/abstract

Net ecosystem exchange of CO2 with rapidly changing high Arctic landscapes http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13064/abstract

Facing unprecedented drying of the Central Andes? Precipitation variability over the period AD 1000–2100 (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084017

How effective is albedo modification (solar radiation management geoengineering) in preventing sea-level rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet? (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084018

Is the ozone climate penalty robust in Europe? (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084015

Mixed-phase cloud physics and Southern Ocean cloud feedback in climate models http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023603/abstract

Grounding line retreat of Totten Glacier, East Antarctica, 1996 to 2013 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065701/abstract

On the Southern Ocean CO2 uptake and the role of the biological carbon pump in the 21st century http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005140/abstract

Trends of ice breakup date in south-central Ontario http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023370/abstract

Sensitivity of radiative forcing, ocean heat uptake and climate feedbacks to changes in anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023364/abstract

Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064924/abstract

Fluxes and fate of dissolved methane released at the seafloor at the landward limit of the gas hydrate stability zone offshore western Svalbard http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JC011084/abstract

Improving Arctic sea ice prediction using PIOMAS initial sea ice thickness in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0097.1

A new method of comparing forcing agents in climate models http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00663.1

Deep ocean temperature measurement with an uncertainty of 0.7 mK http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-15-0013.1

Endless cold: a seasonal reconstruction of temperature and precipitation in the Burgundian Low Countries during the 15th century based on documentary evidence (open access) http://www.clim-past.net/11/1049/2015/cp-11-1049-2015.html

Retrieving the paleoclimatic signal from the deeper part of the EPICA Dome C ice core (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/1633/2015/tc-9-1633-2015.html

Century-scale simulations of the response of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to a warming climate (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/1579/2015/tc-9-1579-2015.html

Glacier changes and related glacial lake expansion in the Bhutan Himalaya, 1990–2010 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0853-7

Can we trust climate models to realistically represent severe European windstorms? (open access) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2777-9

Learning from mistakes in climate research (open access) http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-015-1597-5

How do young people engage with climate change? The role of knowledge, values, message framing, and trusted communicators http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.353/abstract

Climate-induced warming imposes a threat to North European spring ecosystems http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13067/abstract

Facing unprecedented drying of the Central Andes? Precipitation variability over the period AD 1000–2100 (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084017

Net exchanges of methane and carbon dioxide on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau from 1979 to 2100 (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/085007

Modified climate with long term memory in tree ring proxies (poen access) http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/8/084020

The Arctic and Polar cells act on the Arctic sea ice variation (open access) http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/27692

Orbitally forced ice sheet fluctuations during the Marinoan Snowball Earth glaciation http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v8/n9/full/ngeo2502.html

Recent contrasting winter temperature changes over North America linked to enhanced positive Pacific North American pattern http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065656/abstract

Atmospheric responses to the redistribution of anthropogenic aerosols http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023665/abstract

Subglacial water drainage, storage, and piracy beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065393/abstract

Increased influence of nitrogen limitation on CO2 emissions from future land use and land-use change http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005086/abstract

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions and the extremely low Bothnian Bay sea ice extent in 2014/15 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064901/abstract

Reassessment and update of long-term trends in downward surface shortwave radiation over Europe (1939-2012) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023321/abstract

Robust warming pattern of global subtropical oceans and its mechanism http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00809.1

Quantifying climate forcings and feedbacks over the last millennium in the CMIP5/PMIP3 models http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0063.1

Water Under a Changing and Uncertain Climate: Lessons from Climate Model Ensembles http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00793.1

The sea-level response to external forcings in historical simulations of CMIP5 climate models http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0376.1

Separating internal variability from the externally forced climate response http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0069.1

Environmental drivers of drought deciduous phenology in the Community Land Model (open access) http://www.biogeosciences.net/12/5061/2015/bg-12-5061-2015.html

Modelled and observed changes in aerosols and surface solar radiation over Europe between 1960 and 2009 (open access) http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/9477/2015/acp-15-9477-2015.html

Methane exchange in a poorly-drained black spruce forest over permafrost observed using the eddy covariance technique http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016819231500684X

Contrasting responses of gross primary productivity to precipitation events in a water-limited and a temperature-limited grassland ecosystem http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192315006838

Evidence linking satellite-derived sea-surface temperature signals to changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425715301024

Threshold of the volcanic forcing that leads the El Niño-like warming in the last millennium: results from the ERIK simulation http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2799-3

Rapid genetic divergence in response to 15 years of simulated climate change (open access) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12966/abstract

Recent temperature variability and change in the Altiplano of Bolivia and Peru http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4459/abstract

Rate and velocity of climate change caused by cumulative carbon emissions (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/095001/meta

Biosphere–atmosphere exchange of methane in India as influenced by multiple environmental changes during 1901–2010 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015301503

The potential for reducing China’s carbon dioxide emissions: Role of foreign-invested enterprises http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378015300170

Is anthropogenic sea level fingerprint already detectable in the Pacific Ocean? (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084024/meta

Assessing carbon lock-in (open access) http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084023/meta

Foregone carbon sequestration due to land occupation—the case of agro-bioenergy in Finland http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11367-015-0956-x

Climate change-associated tree mortality increases without decreasing water availability http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12500/abstract

Two distinct influences of Arctic warming on cold winters over North America and East Asia http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2517.html

Soil carbon storage controlled by interactions between geochemistry and climate http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2516.html

Estimates of volcanic-induced cooling in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 1,500 years http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2526.html

Responses of carbon uptake and oceanic pCO2 to climate change in the North Atlantic: A model study with the Bergen Earth System Model http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GB005109/abstract

Tornadoes, Social Science, and the False Alarm Effect http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00052.1

Physical Mechanisms of Tropical Climate Feedbacks Investigated using Temperature and Moisture Trends http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0253.1

Improving Arctic sea ice edge forecasts by assimilating high horizontal resolution sea ice concentration data into the US Navy’s ice forecast systems (open access) http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/1735/2015/tc-9-1735-2015.html

Assessing biodiversity vulnerability to climate change: testing different methodologies for Portuguese herpetofauna http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-015-0858-2

The climate responsibilities of industrial carbon producers (open access) http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1472-5

Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming (open access) http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0911-4

On judging the credibility of climate predictions (open access) http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-013-0813-5

The language of denial: text analysis reveals differences in language use between climate change proponents and skeptics http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1475-2

Contrasting regional versus global radiative forcing by megacity pollution emissions http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231015303009

The political economy of passing climate change legislation: Evidence from a survey http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378015300297

Climate change beliefs and perceptions of agricultural risks: An application of the exchangeability method http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378015300121

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